Jump to content
DiamondCentric
DiamondCentric Contributor
Posted
Image courtesy of © Robert Edwards-Imagn Images / © Rafael Suanes-Imagn Images

For the 2026 season, MLB implemented the Automated Ball-Strike (ABS) Challenge System. Although the system debuted during spring training in 2025, 2026 marked its first season in competitive games. Now that the season has reached the All-Star break, catchers have had the first half of the season to get used to the system and develop strategies. Some players have emerged as some of the best (and worst) in the league at challenging calls behind the plate.

Baseball Savant provides leaderboards and summaries for all catchers’ performances, and all data referenced below can be found from their leaderboard.  

Success Rate

Success rate is measured by total overturned calls divided by the number of challenges. While this metric does not necessarily indicate overall value, it is important to get calls right when challenges are made and not waste one of the two challenges each game. However, the success rate does not account for the quality or difficulty of the challenges themselves.

Best Catcher ABS Success Rate (min. 20 challenges)

Player

Team

Challenges Won

Total Challenges

Success Rate

J.T. Realmuto

Phillies

31

39

79%

Carson Kelly

Cubs

33

43

77%

Sandy Leon

Braves

16

21

76%

Worst Catcher ABS Success Rate (min. 20 challenges)

Player

Team

Challenges Won

Total Challenges

Success Rate

Jhonny Pereda

Mariners

7

22

32%

Samuel Basallo

Orioles

17

41

41%

Brandon Valenzuela

Blue Jays

15

36

42%

Net Overturns

Net Overturns measures how often a catcher overturns calls compared with what would be expected if an average catcher had faced the same pitches. Unlike the success rate, net overturns measures a catcher’s decision-making by how they compare to other catchers’ tendencies if faced with a similar decision. This is calculated by:

(challenges won - expected challenges won) - (challenges lost - expected challenges lost)

Best Catchers In ABS Net Overturns (min. 20 challenges)

Player

Team

Challenges Won vs Expected (+ is good)

Challenges Lost vs Expected (- is good)

Net Overturns

Dillon Dingler

Tigers

9.7

-13.2

23.0

Hunter Goodman

Rockies

17.8

-2.4

20.2

Victor Caratini

Twins

21.3

6.3

15.0

Worst Catchers In ABS Net Overturns (min. 20 challenges)

Player

Team

Challenges Won vs Expected (+ is good)

Challenges Lost vs Expected (- is good)

Net Overturns

Samuel Basallo

Orioles

-15.6

3.8

-19.4

Edgar Quero

White Sox

4.4

23.4

-19.0

Carter Jensen

Royals

-12.9

1.1

-14.0

Net Runs

While it is important for calls to be overturned, it is also important that teams are able to generate value from those challenges. Baseball Savant assigns a run value for all challenges. This metric accounts for the direct impact of a challenge. A successful challenge with the bases loaded and two outs will carry a different run value than the first pitch of an inning.

Best Catchers In ABS Net Runs (min. 20 challenges)

Player

Team

Net Runs For

J.T. Realmuto

Phillies

1.5

Carson Kelly

Cubs

1.5

Tyler Stephenson

Reds

1.1

Worst Catchers In ABS Net Overturns (min. 20 challenges)

Player

Team

Net Runs For

William Contreras

Brewers

-3.8

Drew Millas

Nationals

-3.6

Edgar Quero

White Sox

-3.6

Outcome Flips

Catchers can help out their pitchers by saving their challenges for important times in the count. Removing walks or adding strikeouts can not only improve a pitcher’s box score but also dramatically impact a team’s win probability and overall success in the game, depending on the situation. Since this is a counting metric, it would be unfair to highlight the fewest flips.

Best Catchers In Outcome Flips (min. 20 challenges)

Player

Team

Strikeouts Flipped

Walks Flipped

Shea Langeliers

Athletics

20

8

Victor Caratini

Twins

17

6

Hunter Goodman

Rockies

17

4

Tyler Stephenson

Reds

17

4

Reasonable Challenges

According to Baseball Savant, a "reasonable" challenge opportunity occurs when at least one of the following is true: The original call was incorrect; the pitch is within 3 inches of the strike zone edge and an overturn would gain at least 0.3 runs; the pitch carries an expected challenge rate of at least 20%.

Reasonable challenges would indicate if a player is choosing the correct pitches to challenge and not needlessly wasting them on low-probability decisions. A challenge classified as  “unreasonable” would certainly result in a confirmed call. Catchers need to balance making sure that their challenges are reasonable when taken, and not missing out on challenges that could have been overturned.

Best Catchers In Reasonable Challenges (min. 20 challenges)

Player

Team

% Challenges Considered Reasonable

% of Reasonable Challenge Opportunities Taken

Mitch Garver

Mariners

87%

27%

Hunter Goodman

Rockies

86%

35%

Sandy Leon

Braves

86%

38%

Worst Catchers In Reasonable Challenges (min. 20 challenges)

Player

Team

% Challenges Considered Reasonable

% of Reasonable Challenge Opportunities Taken

Drew Millas

Nationals

49%

21%

Brandon Valenzuela

Blue Jays

50%

15%

Johnny Pereda

Mariners

50%

23%

Verdict

Which catchers stand out when combining all of these aspects?

Best Overall ABS Catcher: Hunter Goodman - Rockies

Goodman consistently ranked among the league leaders across nearly every metric. In the metrics where he fell outside of the top three, he ranks 13th at 67% (while having a larger sample size than all but one of the catchers ahead of him) and 4th in net runs with 0.9 runs. His strong decision-making and ability to reverse key outcomes led him to be one of MLB’s top performers in ABS challenges.

Worst Overall ABS Catcher: Drew Millas - Nationals

Millas is the only catcher who challenges fewer than half of the reasonable challenge opportunities. Despite having the 16th-most challenges (out of 62 catchers with at least 20 challenges), he only has four flipped calls. Only three catchers in this group have fewer flipped calls than he does. He has the second fewest net runs, but the leader Contreras has 60 more challenges than Millas, with only 0.2 fewer runs. Millas was also in the bottom five in both net turnovers and success rate. He will look to improve in these areas going into the second half of the season.


View full article

Recommended Posts

If you have an account on one of the following sites, you have a DiamondCentric account.

Twins Daily, Brewer Fanatic, North Side Baseball, Talk Sox, Jays Centre, Padres Mission, Royals Keep, Grand Central Mets, Fish On First.

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...