Brock Beauchamp

Hi, you'll get more action on this if you post it in our Twins forum: Minnesota Twins Talk - Twins Daily TWINSDAILY.COM Discuss the Minnesota Twins major league baseball team in our Twins message board forum.

I mean, as a whole the NL is a lot better.

I didn't expect the AL to get to Sanchez in the first.

Pretty ridiculous, but there are always a few of those in the All-Star Game.

I was wondering about some of those notes.

Yeah, a nice touch given it's Philly and the 250th.

Phillies fans alternating between loud booing and cheering is hilarious.

Star Trek has all the mirror universe content covered, there's no more room for it anywhere. Once Spock got a goatee, it was over.

Sorry all, I didn't check in to approve posts last night. I had to check out after two brutal draft days.

Alright, so we're gonna try something different this year. We're using a unified game thread across all of our sites. If you have an account on Twins Daily, Brewer Fanatic, North Side Baseball, Talk Sox, Jays Centre, Padres Mission, Royals Keep, or Grand Central Mets, that login works here as well! Who's your guy to watch in the ASG?

Image courtesy of © William Liang-Imagn Images / © William Liang-Imagn Images We've collected experts on the San Diego Padres and the Toronto Blue Jays to rank their respective teams' trade candidates and that player's likelihood of being traded before the MLB trade deadline on August 3. If The San Diego Padres Sell At The Trade Deadline Randy Holt frames San Diego as a team spiraling, having fallen to third place in the National League West, including 15-3, 23-3, and 12-7 blowouts. With the division gone and the Phillies and Cubs holding wild card spots, the Padres sit at the back of the pack, chasing the final playoff berth. A.J. Preller may not have it in him to sell, but a thin farm system, payroll strain, new ownership, and labor uncertainty could force his hand. Some names are excluded up front: Jackson Merrill and Manny Machado (contracts/building blocks), plus Joe Musgrove and Nick Pivetta. In the "Definitely Traded" tier, reliever Adrian Morejon leads as an elite high-leverage lefty and pending free agent, alongside middle-innings arm Wandy Peralta. The "Possibly Traded" group is deeper: SP Michael King (whose player options complicate his market), IF Jake Cronenworth (reasonable contract but limited by a concussion-shortened year), veteran SP Walker Buehler, SS Xander Bogaerts (whom Holt argues they should try to offload to clear payroll, even eating money), and reliever Yuki Matsui. In "Unlikely To Be Traded": Fernando Tatis Jr., the franchise face who would only move in a full teardown, and Mason Miller, the game's best reliever in 2026 (0.78 ERA), acquired for top prospect Leo De Vries and under team control for three more years. The Padres' unpredictability makes projecting their moves especially difficult. Ranking Padres Trade Candidates If They Sell At MLB Trade Deadline - Padres - Padres Mission PADRESMISSION.COM If the Padres decide to sell at next month's trade deadline, who should we expect to be available to prospective buyers? If The Toronto Blue Jays Sell At The Trade Deadline Jesse Burrill writes that the Blue Jays, seven games below .500 heading into the All-Star break, have fallen short of sky-high 2026 expectations after injuries and underperformance by last year's World Series contributors. Their playoff odds had dropped to a season-low 25.2%, and while a sell-off isn't guaranteed, the front office must prepare for it by moving expiring contracts and veterans for pieces who could contribute by 2027, echoing their 2024 deadline approach rather than a full rebuild. In "Most Likely To Be Traded": SP Kevin Gausman, the biggest potential return as a durable workhorse (though he holds an eight-team no-trade clause); CF Daulton Varsho, a pending free agent and elite defender with left-handed power upside; and OF Myles Straw, valued for speed and defense if Toronto eats some salary. The "Worth Watching" tier includes DH George Springer (struggling at 36 with 10-and-5 no-trade rights), SP Shane Bieber (a former Cy Young winner scuffling post-injury), OF Jesús Sánchez (a useful bench bat controlled through 2027), and RHP Jeff Hoffman, whose strong season and 2027 control make him a tougher call if Toronto expects to contend, though Toronto fans are clamoring to see him leave Rogers Centre. "Probably Staying Put": OF Nathan Lukes, OF/2B Davis Schneider, and RHP Max Scherzer, the 41-year-old whose injuries, ineffectiveness, and full no-trade clause make a move hard to envision. Burrill concludes the next three weeks will determine the franchise's direction. Ranking Blue Jays Trade Candidates If They Sell at the MLB Trade Deadline - Blue Jays - Jays Centre JAYSCENTRE.COM The Blue Jays aren't out of the playoff push yet, but until their play improves, the possibility of selling at the deadline becomes more real. Here are the names to watch if they go that route. View full article

Hey RG, you'll get a lot more traction on this if you post it over in the Twins forum: Minnesota Twins Talk - Twins Daily TWINSDAILY.COM Discuss the Minnesota Twins major league baseball team in our Twins message board forum.

The moment I read the thesis, my head went to Harold Baines. Glad you focus on him later in the piece.

Welcome and thanks for sharing!

This is an evaluation of third-order wins. From the article: "Based on Clay Davenport's adjusted standings, the metric looks beyond simple wins and losses by incorporating run differential, strength of schedule, and ballpark effects. The result is a clearer picture of which clubs are playing the best baseball and which may be benefiting from good fortune or favorable circumstances." It's not a be-all, end-all number, but it gives insight into how teams are playing if baseball were a truly neutral environment.

Do you mean Brooks Lee or Royce Lewis? Because Lee is under team control for... maybe five more years? While Lewis has 2-3 seasons left.

We've collected experts on the Twins, Red Sox, Royals, and Mets to rank their respective teams' trade candidates and that player's likelihood of being traded before the MLB trade deadline on August 3. If The Minnesota Twins Sell At The Trade Deadline The Twins sit two games behind the final AL Wild Card spot in mid-June, close enough to dream but facing a difficult decision. Cody Christie of Twins Daily lays out who goes if they sell. In the "Definitely Traded" tier, ace Joe Ryan headlines; with another full season of team control remaining after 2026, Ryan offers contenders certainty beyond October, and his return could rival any package the org has recently received. Catcher Ryan Jeffers, a pending free agent who was hitting well before a broken hamate, profiles as a classic deadline move to flip an expiring contract to a contender. Also listed: 1B Josh Bell, LHP Taylor Rogers, and RHP Yoendrys Gómez, a cash-considerations pickup turned closer who is riding a high in performance. The "Possibly Traded" group covers OF Trevor Larnach, UTL Kody Clemens, LH reliever Anthony Banda, and Royce Lewis, a potential change-of-scenery candidate. Buxton (full no-trade protection, wants to stay) and Victor Caratini are deemed unlikely to move. Christie concludes Ryan and Jeffers are the likeliest headliners, with the standings dictating Zoll's direction. Ranking Twins Trade Candidates If They Sell At MLB Trade Deadline - Twins - Twins Daily TWINSDAILY.COM The American League remains a mess. Despite an inconsistent first half, the Minnesota Twins have played better over the last week and continue to hang around the Wild Card race. Entering... If The Boston Red Sox Sell At The Trade Deadline Alex Mayes frames Boston as a clear seller despite a recent hot stretch of play, including a sweep of the Yankees. In "Definitely Will Be Traded": closer Aroldis Chapman, described as arguably the AL's best closer and the top reliever likely available, and SP Sonny Gray, an affordable rental (the Cardinals are covering half his salary), who should return a package similar to or better than Chapman's. The "Possibly Could Be Traded" tier includes OF Jarren Duran (underperforming in an outfield that could be improved with Roman Anthony starting every day), UTIL Isiah Kiner-Falefa, RP Justin Slaten, 1B Willson Contreras, and C Connor Wong, who the team has reportedly been shopping. Contreras, the team's best hitter, is unlikely to move unless Boston is blown away, since dealing him would hurt the 2027 hopes of contention. In "Unlikely To Be Traded": two-time Gold Glove OF Wilyer Abreu, RP Garrett Whitlock (the closer-in-waiting), and SS Trevor Story, whose $23.33 million AAV and injury history make his deal almost certainly unmovable at this juncture. Ranking Red Sox Trade Candidates If They Sell at MLB Trade Deadline - Red Sox - Talk Sox TALKSOX.COM The Red Sox somehow still aren't completely out of the AL Wild Card picture, but they have been stacking losses as of late. It's time to turn towards the trade deadline and figure out who will... If The Kansas City Royals Sell At The Trade Deadline Kevin O'Brien writes that the Royals, 35-50 and last in the AL Central with 2.7% playoff odds per FanGraphs, should approach this deadline like 2023: dealing veterans for prospects rather than buying. "Definitely Traded" candidates: OF Lane Thomas (a useful righty platoon bat), 37-year-old OF Starling Marte, RP John Schreiber (the bullpen's lone bright spot in a unit ranking 30th in reliever ERA), SP Kris Bubic (returning from injury), and RP Matt Strahm, who has struggled but could rebound elsewhere. "Probably Traded" covers SP Michael Wacha, the team's best starter this season, though trading a pitcher who wants to stay risks bad blood, plus the pricier SP Seth Lugo and relievers Daniel Lynch IV and Alex Lange (a local guy whose value has never been higher), and Lucas Erceg, who has slumped but retains 97-plus velocity. Unlikely to move: injured Kyle Isbel, slumping Vinnie Pasquantino (recovering from hamate surgery), and Salvador Perez, whom the team wants to retire a Royal. Ranking Royals Trade Candidates If They Sell At MLB Trade Deadline - Royals - Royals Keep ROYALSKEEP.COM Kansas City sits at the bottom of the AL Central Standings and could be quite active at this year's Trade Deadline. Here are some names to watch. If The New York Mets Sell At The Trade Deadline Michael Reed reports the Mets at 35-50, second-worst in the National League, with David Stearns potentially shedding payroll for the future ahead of the likely 2027 lockout. The "Will Be Traded" group is pitching-heavy: SP Freddy Peralta, acquired last offseason for Brandon Sproat and Jett Williams, whose name value should fetch a decent prospect haul despite uneven results; reliever Brooks Raley, a reliable veteran southpaw on an expiring deal; RP Huascar Brazobán, controllable through 2029, which Reed notes could make his value higher than expected; and lefty A.J. Minter, who has yet to allow an earned run since returning from a lat tear. The "Could Be Traded" tier features RP Luke Weaver (controlled through 2027, so the Mets could hold him), struggling closer Devin Williams (whose contract Stearns would likely need to eat partly), and SP Clay Holmes, recovering from a fractured fibula but on one of baseball's better contracts. Reed names the Cubs, Cardinals, White Sox, Rays, and A's as likely Peralta suitors. The article carries no "unlikely to trade" tier. Ranking Mets Trade Candidates If They Sell At MLB Trade Deadline - Mets - Grand Central Mets GRANDCENTRALMETS.COM The Mets remain on the outside looking in on the NL playoff race. if David Stearns decides to pull the plug on 2026, these are the most likely trade candidates. View full article

I emailed you, check the email linked to this account.

Hawkeye, what are you seeing when you try to go to TD?

Inversely, it's not great that Milwaukee and Tampa needs to run at 99% efficiency to compete, whereas the Phillies just throw money at the problem but aren't particularly smart about it. I actually don't want pure, NFL-style balance, but I do want a less stratified system.

Same. I fully expected the owners' first offer to include a floor of $80m or something equally laughable. I'm hopeful that their first offer is actually quite reasonable, and could lead to the sport being better when all is said and done.

Thanks for mentioning the benefits part. I knew benefits were included, but hadn't seen what the adjusted floor looks like. $150m is still a good starting point, IMO.

Yep, this is a problem we're working on right now.