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Despite the victory, the Sounds were still on the short end of their season-opening 3-game series. Transactions: N/A Game Action: Nashville Pre-Game Media Notes Final: Nashville 6, Norfolk 2 Box Score and Game Log Via the Sounds’ website, game details and we encourage readers to review affiliate write-ups as part of their Link Report routine: Sounds Secure First Win of Season 6-2 Over Norfolk Starting LHP Tate Kuehner may not yet be on MLB.com’s Top 30 Prospects list for the Brewers, but the 25-year old continues to make his case, posting a 2.77 ERA in 23 AA/AAA starts in 2025 and now commencing the 2026 season with a 2-hit, 1-run, 5-K outing to lead Nashville to victory (5 2/3 IP). Per the linked game report, Nashville led wire-to-wire in this contest, with 3B Jett Williams reaching base and scoring in each of the 1st (HBP), 5th (walk) and 6th (infield single) innings. 25-year old DH Eddys Leonard had a solid MLB Spring Training (.400 AVG, .926 OPS in 19 plate appearances) and has now commenced his Sounds’ career with a 3-for-4 Saturday effort and 2-for-5, 2-RBI Sunday contribution. His 4th inning single wasn’t capitalized on, but his 5th inning double the other way extended Nashville’s lead from 1-0 to 3-0. OF/1B Tyler Black (playing left field in this game) had a mixed performance, delivering a 2-out, 2-run single in the 6th inning to grow Nashville’s lead to 6-1. He also drew a walk, but struck out 3 times. 28-year old RHP Kaleb Bowman (2.76 ERA in 45 2/3 IP in AA in 2025) had a successful AAA debut, striking out two of four batters faced in a scoreless 8th inning before LHP Sammy Peralta set aside his wild Friday outing to toss a 3-up, 3-down final frame on Sunday. Sounds’ Extras: Four hit-by-pitches by Tides’ hurlers thankfully didn’t result in any early exits by Sounds’ batters, although the one Norfolk batter hit-by-pitch (by Kuehner in the 2nd inning) unfortunately exited. Three of those Nashville batters came around to score. After the sudden MLB call-up of Jeferson Quero, C Andrick Nava (150 AA/High-A plate appearances last year with a .529 OPS) was pressed into action to make his AAA debut, reaching via walk in the 3rd inning and HBP in the 5th inning. He scored twice and threw out Norfolk’s only attempted basestealer to end the 4th inning. OF Greg Jones followed up his 5-for-8 season start with an 0-for-3, 3-K performance, but did reach base via a hit-by-pitch and score a run. He also stole a base. OF Luis Lara (1-for-4) doubled, walked and went 1-for-2 on stolen base attempts, SS Cooper Pratt (1-for-5) had an infield single and stolen base, while 1B Luke Adams (0-for-3) walked. 3B Brock Wilken had the day off. Next week’s outlook: AAA Nashville (1-2) has a travel day on Monday, but returns to action with a 6-game homestand against Charlotte (3-0) commencing Tuesday evening. High-A Wisconsin kicks off their 2026 campaign at home against Beloit on Thursday, while Low-A Wilson and AA Biloxi commence their seasons on the road on Friday. We hope that you enjoy the Minor League Link Report. On Monday, Brewers’ fan can catch Milwaukee’s home opener against the Rays at 6:40pm CST while Minor League afficionados keep an eye out for possible roster announcements by Biloxi, Wisconsin and/or Wilson. Organizational Scoreboard including starting pitcher info, game times, MiLB TV links, and box scores Current Milwaukee Brewers Organization Batting Stats and Depth Current Milwaukee Brewers Organization Pitching Stats and Depth View the full article
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Twins Add Veteran Relief Depth with Pair of Minor League Signings
DiamondCentric posted an article in Twins Daily
Organizational depth matters in March, even if it rarely grabs headlines. The Minnesota Twins made a pair of under-the-radar moves aimed at bolstering that depth, signing right-handers John Brebbia and Drew Smith to minor league deals. Both pitchers arrive with big-league experience and something to prove, offering the Twins low-risk options as the season begins. Brebbia, who will turn 36 next month, is the more established of the two. Not long ago, he looked like a steady late-inning option. From 2022 through 2023, he posted a 3.47 ERA and 3.54 FIP across 106 1/3 innings, leaning on a deep arsenal even as his strikeout rate dipped to 22.5%. That stretch with San Francisco positioned him well for a return to free agency. The right-hander cashed in with a one-year deal from Chicago ahead of the 2024 season, but things unraveled quickly. Brebbia was tagged for a 6.29 ERA across 54 appearances with the White Sox, and while his 26.9 K% and 7.7 BB% were respectable, he was undone by the long ball. Nine home runs allowed in just under 49 innings proved too much to overcome, and Chicago moved on. Last season, his opportunity came in Detroit, but injuries and ineffectiveness limited him to just 18 appearances. A triceps strain interrupted his season, and when he did take the mound, the results were rough. Brebbia posted a 7.71 ERA, continuing a downward trend that forced him into a minor league pact this offseason. He initially latched on with Colorado but did not make the club out of camp after a difficult spring (7.00 ERA in 9 IP). Now with Minnesota, Brebbia will look to rediscover the form that once made him a dependable bullpen piece. If he can limit the home run damage, there is still enough swing-and-miss in his profile to make him a viable option. Smith presents a different kind of upside. The 32-year-old has spent his entire major league career with the Mets, quietly building a track record as a useful middle reliever. His 2023 campaign marked a high point, as he set career bests in both innings and appearances while also recording his first three saves. He appeared to be building on that success early in 2024. Smith posted a career-best 29.1 K% and picked up a pair of saves before an elbow sprain in July derailed his season. That injury ultimately led to his second Tommy John surgery, wiping out his entire 2025 campaign and prompting New York to decline a club option for 2026. Despite the long layoff, Smith showed encouraging signs this spring with Washington. He tossed 5 1/3 scoreless innings and struck out 35% of the batters he faced, looking like a pitcher who could contribute sooner rather than later. Even so, the Nationals opted to move in a different direction, giving the Twins an opportunity to bring him into the fold. For Minnesota, both signings fit a familiar mold. These are experienced relievers with clear flaws but also identifiable paths back to usefulness. Brebbia needs to keep the ball in the yard. Smith needs to prove his health and durability after multiple elbow procedures. Neither move will define the Twins' season, but both could matter more than expected. Bullpens are fluid, and the line between Triple-A depth and meaningful innings at Target Field is often thin. If even one of these veterans finds his footing, this will look like a quietly effective bit of roster building. At this time of year, that is exactly the kind of gamble worth making. View the full article -
Cubs Week In Review: Opening Weekend Ends With A Dud
DiamondCentric posted an article in North Side Baseball
As scores of revelers lined the streets of Wrigleyville in celebration of the arrival of another highly anticipated Chicago Cubs Opening Day, members of the team showed up at the player arrival entry on Waveland Avenue, prepared to go to work. Now, you're right to point out that even the most beloved individuals on this squad, such as Ian Happ and Pete Crow-Armstrong, don't technically "go to work"; they play a game. But, if the club is to reach some of its loftier goals for the year, they're going to have to treat the game like the most important job they've ever had. This squad, when healthy, aims to be one of the most fearsome in the majors. Notably, they are not healthy at the moment; though he'll be starting his rehab assignment soon, slugging outfielder Seiya Suzuki is still nursing his knee injury suffered in the World Baseball Classic. With the type of depth this club has, one would think that'd be enough to thwart Blake Butera's Nationals squad, especially with 2025 All-Star Matthew Boyd toeing the rubber, but it was not. The North Siders scattered eight hits and scraped only four runs across the plate. The Nats used a six-run fourth inning to take control of a contest that featured all kinds of hard contact. Cade Horton, one of the top-three leading vote getters in the 2025 Rookie of the Year race, looked the part of a Cy Young in his first start of the campaign against Washington. Horton heard deafening cheers through the first few innings, using an electric mix of his four-seam fastball and changeup to keep Nats hitters off balance. He surrendered just four hits in his 6.1 innings of work. While Horton impressed, the Cubs' offense came to life, once again jumping all over starter Miles Mikolas. Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner combined for three stolen bases, and the action was punctuated by homers from Ian Happ and Miguel Amaya, who continues his surprising ascent from last season. In the series' finales versus Washington, the Chicago Cubs collected four total hits, two of which were Alex Bregman's first and second home runs in the home pinstripes. Stop me if you've heard this one before, but after striking out the first two batters of the ball game, starter Shota Imanaga couldn't get out of the first inning, giving up a three-run blast to known Cub killer Joey Wiemer. Given both what Imanaga once was and due to the nature of his contract for this year, which will earn him $20 million, the North Siders must figure out a way to get Imanaga back to something resembling All-Star form. Up next, Craig Counsell's squad welcomes another mid-tier club, the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim, into the Friendly Confines for a three-game set. All eyes will be on the opening contest of this series as it will feature Edward Cabrera's first start in a Cub uniform. He has the opportunity to not only use his introduction as a means of proving the front office right for signing him, but most importantly, get his squad a tally in the win column. View the full article -
The 2025 Colorado Rockies came two losses short of joining the 2024 Chicago White Sox as the worst team in modern MLB history. That might be the nicest thing you can say about last year's team. Among the eye-gouging stats that include a 7-33 start: A minus-424 run differential, an MLB record. They were outscored by 2.6 runs per game—that includes the 43 games they won. The previous modern-day mark was minus-349 by the 1932 Boston Red Sox. The 2024 White Sox had a minus-306 run differential. But things are looking up, at least modestly in 2026, even though the Rockies will probably finish last in the NL West for the fifth year in a row. Rockies' Notable Offseason Moves The biggest move the Rockies made since the end of a disastrous 2025 was revamping the front office. After three straight 100-loss seasons and finishing fourth or fifth in the NL West in the last seven seasons, the Rox ditched general manager Bill Schmidt and brought in Paul DePodesta, who had spent the previous decade with the NFL's Cleveland Browns. It certainly brought some criticism, as the Browns have not exactly been a model franchise over that time, making the playoffs twice since 2002. DePodesta, who has plenty of MLB experience through his time with the "Moneyball" Oakland A's, has probably changed the perception of his hiring with what he has done this offseason. The front office has been brought into the modern ages and he hired Josh Byrnes, who had overseen the Los Angeles Dodgers' scouting and player development for the previous 11 years, as general manager. No star players were brought in, but there was a collection of moves that will at least help the Rockies put a competitive team on the field. The pitching staff now includes right-handers Michael Lorenzen and Tomoyuki Sugano and left-hander Jose Quintana, while outfielder Jake McCarthy (trade), utility man Willi Castro, infielder Edouard Julien and catcher Brett Sullivan were also brought in. Projected Rockies Lineup Jake McCarthy, LF Ezequiel Tovar, SS Hunter Goodman, C Mickey Moniak, DH Jordan Beck, RF Willi Castro, 3B Brenton Doyle, CF Troy Johnston, 1B Edouard Julien, 2B Goodman was stuck behind Jacob Stallings and Elias Diaz in 2024, but then stepped into the spotlight in 2025 with a .278/.323/.520 slash line with 31 homers and 91 RBIs, becoming an offensive centerpiece. Moniak finally realized some of the promise that made him the No. 1 overall pick in the 2016 draft, but it came after being released by his hometown Los Angeles Angels; he slashed .270/.306/.518 with 24 homers and 68 RBIs last year. Doyle had a rough season due to off-the-field issues, so he is looking to bounce back to the 23-homer performance of 2023, when he was put up 4.0 bWAR. Johnston will be someone to watch. He was waived by the Miami Marlins after a debut season in which he slashed .277/.331/.420 with four homers in 44 games. More consistent playing time in Coors Field could increase his value. Projected Rockies Rotation LH Kyle Freeland RH Michael Lorenzen LH Jose Quintana RH Tomoyuki Sugano RH Ryan Feltner As with the lineup, nothing truly stands out here. Freeland deserves a medal for sticking around with the Rockies for his 10th season. It could be his last, as there is a player option that vests at 170 innings for 2027. The front office convincing Lorenzen, Quintana and Sugano to pitch in Coors Field for a full season has to be considered a win. At worst, they should help eat some innings and keep the bullpen from working as much as it did in 2025, when it put up a 5.19 ERA. Feltner was the surprising winner over right-hander Chase Dollander for the last spot. Dollander, a highly touted prospect who made 21 starts in his debut season, had a 5.53 FIP, with an 11.1% walk rate contributing heavily to that. He will begin the season in the bullpen. The Verdict Warren Schaeffer managed the Rockies on an interim basis following Bud Black's surprising firing after going 7-33 (surprising in that Rockies ownership noticed the team wasn't doing well on the field). Shaeffer's Rockies went 36-86 and he was given the full-time job for this season. If Schaeffer can avoid a fourth straight 100-loss season, that would be considered a huge success in the first year of a new administration. Being better against the division would also help. The Rockies were 12-40 vs. the NL West in 2025. View the full article
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Maybe some apologies are due to Jed Hoyer. After 2021, fans rightfully doubted the team's willingness to spend. All of the franchise's pillars were gone, and the team had to rebuild from scratch. Clearly, the Cubs were going to behave like a mid-market franchise going forward. That skepticism turned out to be unwarranted. The Cubs and Tom Ricketts opened up their checkbooks, locking up Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner for the next six seasons. They're actively extending a window of contention. Who would have guessed that five years ago? Takeaway 1: The Cubs are Channeling the 1970s Dodgers. Steve Garvey. Ron Cey. Davey Lopes. Bill Russell. This group took the field for the Dodgers on Jun. 23, 1973 and went unchanged until after the World Series in 1981. It was eight and a half years of the same players. Michael Busch. Alex Bregman. Nico Hoerner. Dansby Swanson. The Cubs' group mirrors the Dodgers' era. Jed Hoyer has locked this group up through at least 2029. Cubs fans can look forward to an outstanding defensive infield for this time frame, and the front office moves forward with some cost certainty. In an era marked by roster churn, the Cubs are banking on continuity to maintain their playoff status. It's a bet on health and the infield aging gracefully, and if not, they have the financial wiggle room to pivot. Admittedly, it won't be quite the same as what the Dodgers did, or even as the glory days of Ron Santo, Ernie Banks and Billy Williams, who started over 1,300 games together for the Cubs. By modern standards, though, it's not that far off. Takeaway 2: The Bank is Open Fine, Tom. You've proved yourself. The Cubs spent at an insanely high level this offseason. In total, they splashed $30 million on the bullpen. They spent $22 million to bring back Shota Imanaga. They shelled out $175 million in guaranteed cash to Alex Bregman. Six-year extensions to Crow-Armstrong and Hoerner put the capstone on it all. This isn't just selective spending. This was a cash outlay to address specific needs. The roster is, on paper, a top-to-bottom contender. Hoyer identified what needed to be done, balanced the present with the future, and aggressively pursued his targets. In retrospect, there were signs. The Cubs have added major pieces every season since 2022, when Seiya Suzuki was brought into the fold. Based on this offseason and last (bringing in Kyle Tucker), Hoyer is well on his way to shedding his conservative reputation. What's Happ-ening next? The last time Hoerner signed an extension, Ian Happ was announced at around the same time. With his contract up at the end of the year, the switch-hitting left fielder is the next logical extension. Thanks to the Owen Caissie-for-Edward Cabrera trade, the Cubs don't have a replacement waiting in the minor leagues, and if Happ and fellow free agent-to-be Seiya Suzuki leave, the outfield is uncertain. Happ also fits the clubhouse ethos and in many ways is a leader of the team. The contract wouldn't require a six-year deal, and he's already taken a team-friendly approach to negotiations based on his ties to the area. Would another three-year deal satisfy him? If not, he's probably gone, but if so, something could be hammered out. If the Cubs are serious about maintaining this window, Happ is the next step to take. For now, though, we have to admit it: Hoyer did what we thought was beyond him. View the full article
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Baseball is here, and the Brewers look to continue their dominance of the NL Central. To do so, they may need some breakout performances. National baseball writers have released a slew of bold predictions, including Eno Sarris picking Jacob Misiorowski to win the Cy Young Award. Here’s a quartet of hot takes of my own for the Brewers. 1. Brandon Sproat will generate more WAR than Freddy Peralta this season. Now that Sproat has secured a spot in the rotation from day one, there's no reason he can’t be there all season. After throwing more than 140 innings last season, he should easily be good for a full season of 150+ this year. In his prospect writeup, Brewers Fanatic’s Spencer Michaelis highlighted Sproat’s deep six-pitch arsenal and the steep improvement he showed over the course of last season. Peralta will probably put up a typically strong season, but that’s what makes this a bold prediction. Sproat will have the benefit of the Brewers’ defense behind him, and as he said himself about the Brewers, “this team bets on themselves.” Here’s betting he has a Rookie of the Year-worthy season, even after a rough start. 2. Jake Bauers will lead the 2026 Brewers in home runs. Bauers raked all spring, leading the majors in homers (7), wRC+ (311), and OPS (1.725). Yes, every year players explode in spring training only to implode once the season starts, but Bauers’s transformation took place over the course of last season, peaking in September and the playoffs. Matt Trueblood highlighted how Bauers spent his offseason training to lock in the changes he made and build on his momentum. Christian Yelich led the 2025 Brewers with 29 home runs, and the team is much better off when Yelich is performing at a high level. To keep Yelich healthy and productive, the team might give him more rest this season and provide additional playing time for Bauers. Even before Jackson’s Chourio’s terribly-timed injury news (and Andrew Vaughn's even worse one), Tim Mura pointed out that Bauers could be slated for more playing time this season. It's unlikely that Bauers will face many left-handed pitchers, but if he gets close to 500 plate appearances, he could lead this team with 30 home runs. 3. Brice Turang will be the best second baseman in baseball. This is certainly less bold than the first two, but many national pundits and writers aren’t fully bought in on Turang’s August breakout last season. However, Turang represented his country with aplomb during the World Baseball Classic and looks primed to ascend to the top of the keystone position. Nico Hoerner and Ketel Marte led the league in fWAR by second basemen last season, but the majority of Hoerner’s value comes from his defense, while the opposite is true for Marte. Turang’s defense is often underrated by publicly available advanced defensive metrics, but it’s not hard to imagine he climbs back into the upper echelon of those rankings while maintaining the better part of his breakout at the plate. Elite defense combined with elite offense and durability should push Turang to post the top WAR at the position and fully stamp his arrival as a superstar. 4. Marco Dinges ascends to become the top catching prospect in baseball. Dinges is just a few years removed from surviving a life-threatening medical condition. After recovering, he spent one season playing Division I baseball at Florida State, where he crushed the ball but was mostly confined to DH duty. The Brewers drafted Dinges in the fourth round of the 2024 Draft and set about developing him as a catcher. Prospect gurus don’t have consistent rankings on Dinges, but they all agree his receiving and footwork behind the plate need work; he swings hard, with a solid approach; he has a strong arm; and he has “twitchy” athletic characteristics. 'Twitchy' is just about the best trait a baseball athlete can possess. Dinges wants to catch and is diving into the work. He has a lot to learn, but with ABS creeping into MLB, receiving skills are likely to become less important, and his strong arm and athletic traits should help him post strong caught stealing numbers in the future. Combine the middle-of-the-order offensive upside that Spencer Michaelis sees with Dinges’s athleticism, work ethic, and history of overcoming challenges most can’t imagine, and he is primed to become one of the best catching prospects in baseball. View the full article
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Toronto Blue Jays 2026 Top Prospect Rankings: No. 8 Victor Arias
DiamondCentric posted an article in Jays Centre
Jays Centre is counting down the top 20 prospects in the Toronto Blue Jays organization. Check out prior entries in the series here: No. 20 to 16 No. 15 to 11 No. 10 No. 9 With the Spring Breakout game in the rearview mirror, it's time to get further into Jays Center's Top 20 Prospects list. We have made it from 20-16, to 15-11, and began our top 10 journey with No. 10 Jake Bloss and No. 9 Yohendrick Pinango. Now we are setting our sights on another outfielder, Victor Arias, who comes in at No. 8 on our list. No. 8 OF Victor Arias (Vancouver, New Hampshire) table.stats { border-collapse: collapse; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; text-align: center; } table.stats th, table.stats td { border: 1px solid #333; padding: 8px 12px; } table.stats th { font-weight: bold; background-color: #f2f2f2; } PA H 2B 3B HR OPS wRC+ K% BB% 468 112 19 7 7 .755 114 21.8% 10.7% Victor Arias was signed by the Toronto Blue Jays out of Venezuela in 2019. It has been a long and winding path for him through the minor leagues, as he pushes toward the majors. It started with an above-average showing as a 17-year-old in the Dominican Summer League (DSL) in 2021. He had a 118 wRC+ to go with a slash line of .248/.388/.339, two home runs, and an elite walk rate of 17.9%. Sticking out as a negative would be his groundball rate of 52.1%, and that hasn't improved much over the years. In 2022, Arias repeated the DSL for a short 19-game stint. He got the ball in the air more, and his numbers jumped up, with him seeing his batting average rise to .315 and his on-base rate to .448. The next year saw a shortened season for him; he only played in 41 games at Rookie ball and three each at Single A and Double A. Despite being young, he still had a 109 wRC+ over those 47 games and a walk rate of 17.6%. 2024 would see Arias get a mostly full season, this time at Single A for 76 games. He really stepped up his game with a 146 wRC+ and earned a short 11-game stretch at High A to end the year. There, he stood out over the small sample, hitting .324/.425/.353 with a 150 wRC+. In 2025, he played the most games in one season of his minor league career, 102 between High-A Vancouver and Double-A New Hampshire. Combined, he would slash .272/.353/.403, with a 114 wRC+, launching seven home runs and seven triples and swiping 18 bags. What To Like Arias doesn't have a big frame, listed at 5-foot-9 and 150 pounds, but he puts everything he has into his swings. At one point in 2025, he was sporting a very good average exit velocity and 90th percentile exit velocity, 93 mph and 110.1 mph, respectively, according to Baseball America. His swing speeds are exceptional, and he transfers his weight well with his leg kick. This helped him to hit seven home runs, seven triples (98th percentile), and 19 doubles (80th percentile) last season. The young outfielder pairs his great exit velocities with above-average speed on the bases. He swiped 18 bags in 2025, which was good enough for the 80th percentile in the minor leagues. It appears he is well on his way to having an above-average profile with the bat, especially when it comes to extra-base hits, along with above-average potential on the bases. What To Work On The thing Arias needs to work on most is also the reason his elite raw power hasn't translated into more in-game power: his launch angles. He routinely has been a hitter who pounds the ball into the ground. He is also rather consistent with his groundball rates, hovering around 50-54% for his minor league career. Aside from his short sample in his second year at the DSL level, he has hit groundballs at a feverish pace (52%, 52%, 53%, 51%, 54%). If nothing changes, it will definitely be expected for those numbers to continue to climb as he moves up levels and faces tougher pitching. If he can drop that number down to the upper 30s or lower 40s, he would see a dramatic jump in his home run total. Pull-side power is how Arias will make a name for himself, if he can keep the ball in the air more than he has in the past, but he also needs to use the middle of the field more. He only hit 24.6% of his batted balls up the middle this past year. When he is facing tougher lefty-on-lefty matchups, he will need to hit the ball back up the middle or to the opposite field more. In 2025, he hit just .242/.301/.305 versus left-handed pitchers and didn't hit any home runs. As he continues to move up levels, he will need to improve those numbers against lefties, or he may ultimately fall into a utility role or drop back into a fourth outfielder type of potential outcome. What's Next? Arias will likely begin 2026 at Double-A New Hampshire and look to keep hitting his way up levels. If he can improve his groundball rates and keep the ball in the air more, he will see his raw power and elite swing speed translate to more home run power. This should see him unlock his true dual-threat potential as a hitter. The Blue Jays lack power/speed outfielders in the upper minors, so if Arias can keep improving and fix some of his launch angle issues, he may make it up to Triple-A Buffalo by the end of the season and push for some major league at-bats come 2027, when the Blue Jays' outfield should be less crowded. View the full article -
Luke Keaschall's Increased Bat Speed, and Why it Matters
DiamondCentric posted an article in Twins Daily
Power is not going to be the calling card for Luke Keaschall, no matter what. However, it doesn't look like defense will be, either, so the speedy and contact-savvy Twins second baseman might have to tap into a bit more pop in order to be as dynamic a player as the team needs him to be. Unfortunately, last season, he showed some of the lowest bat speed in baseball—which puts a frighteningly low ceiling on a player's power production. In his brief active stint (207 plate appearances, before and between a broken forearm and a thumb issue), Keaschall still slugged .529 on contact (SLGCON); the median hitter only had a .548 SLGCON last year. Some of that was good batted-ball luck, though, and some came from Keaschall's speed, as he had more than one hustle double. Though the hustle double is arguably the game's most delightful play, it's also one good defensive positioning often takes away—especially once the book on a given hitter gets out. Thus, coming into this season, the dearest hope for Keaschall boosters was that we would see an uptick in bat speed. That was certainly a reasonable thing for which to hope, too. Last spring, he was still technically recovering from Tommy John surgery he'd undergone in August 2024. He then broke his forearm when he was hit by a pitch, so even the longer stretch he got in the majors in August and September was marred (and his bat speed perhaps diminished) by a lingering issue in a body part essential to the swing. We only have one three-game series of data so far, but it looks like Keaschall has, indeed, found more bat speed this spring. He hasn't materially changed his stance, his bat path or his contact point, but he's swinging much faster. His average bat speed was just 66.9 MPH last year; it's up to 70.2 so far. Just as importantly, he's showing the ability to swing at a very high speed (north of, say, 74, MPH) that was missing last year. He only had 14 such swings in the big leagues in 2025; he had three this weekend in Baltimore. Now, not all swing speeds are created equal. A hitter can sometimes generate a whole lot of extra bat speed, but get no value from it, simply by cutting it loose for its own sake and disregarding making contact. We've all seen players swing from their heels and look theoretically dangerous, but not come especially near the baseball. In fact, Keaschall did do that once this weekend. eUxsQjhfVjBZQUhRPT1fVlZOWUJRZFJWUVVBRHdSUkJBQUhWVk5YQUFBQ1ZGWUFBUUFOQWdVR0J3cGRCUVVG.mp4 That was the first pitch he saw all season, and he seemed to think, "Wouldn't it be cool if I homered on the first pitch I saw?" It would have been, but he didn't come anywhere near doing it, and he exercised greater restraint the rest of the series. Still, he's also demonstrating higher functional bat speed, if you will. Consider his at-bat against Orioles closer Ryan Helsley Sunday afternoon. Keaschall was leading off the top of the ninth in a two-run game, so the goal was to get on base. With Helsley's intense stuff, though, that's no easy project—and no job for the weak or the meek. Keaschall took the first two pitches, to get ahead 2-0. Then, with Helelsy taking a bit off (the pitch was only 97 MPH), he fouled off the next offering. Here's what that looked like. bmJsMTlfVjBZQUhRPT1fQUZCVVZBSURWbEVBRDFNRkFnQUhWdzREQUZrQ1V3Y0FVMXdGVmdwUkIxWUFBd2NB.mp4 That swing was 74.9 MPH. Now, it also led to a foul ball to the right side, because Keaschall was late, so perhaps you're wondering why the bat speed matters. Wasn't he still beaten on the pitch? Yes, but in a greater sense, no. Raw bat speed is not how you hit high-velocity pitching. It matters, but (as the Statcast measurements confirm), the other guy can throw the little sphere in his hand faster than you can swing your big wooden club—especially because you have to react to him. Bat speed is often better applied in a situation like this, where a hitter anticipates a fastball, but doesn't want to start too early and end up chasing a pitch that wasn't really worth swinging at. Here, Keaschall wanted a heater, and geared up to hit one. But as the data and the result tell us, he wasn't getting antsy—not with nobody out and the tying run in the on-deck circle. It made much more sense to be patient unless he got a pitch right down the middle. He did, and he didn't do anything with it, but that doesn't make the swing a waste. This is a good example of how we can learn to use swing speed as a process stat—meaning not only that it's one input in the slow buildup to the actual result of a pitch or plate appearance, but that it tells us something about what the hitter was trying to do. In this spot, for Keaschall to swing fast but be late on a pitch in the lower range of Helsley's fastball velocity range, what we can learn is that he was laser-focused on not chasing. If he'd done everything perfectly, he still would have squared this ball up and driven it on a line somewhere, but he wasn't going to get himself out or freely give Helsley an advantage on this pitch. If he'd been one small click earlier, timing-wise, he would have gotten a hit on this pitch. If Helsley had thrown him a slider, instead of a fastball, but it had still been an in-zone pitch, Keaschall would have hit it over the wall in left field. That's the real benefit of bat speed, much of the time. It lets you start a hair later than you otherwise might, so if you guess wrong but see the ball well, you might be early in a good way. That's where a lot of extra-base hits come from. A hitter who makes a plan to take their 'A' swing on a pitch like this, or not to swing at all, is very unlikely to make the grievous mistake of (say) grounding out to shortstop on 2-0. On the next pitch, Keaschall modulated his plan a bit, knowing Helsley was back in the count. Again, though, Keaschall hadn't helped him; Helsley had just made the right pitch and gotten a bit less behind. This swing was only 68.2 MPH, but it worked gorgeously. bmJsMTlfVjBZQUhRPT1fQXdSUVhWRlhCd1VBQUFkV1VRQUhDUThDQUZoVVZ3UUFBMWRXQ1ZBRkNGSUFWQVJV.mp4 The thing not to take away from this is that swing speed isn't important. It is. It's just a complex number, disguised as a simple one. Keaschall got what could have been a rally-sparking hit Sunday on a slow swing, but it was made possible by a faster swing on the pitch before. Seeing Keaschall late on the 2-0 pitch, Helsley humped it up to 98.4 and came in on him on the next one, and Keaschall did have to shorten up to get the barrel to it. He did so, though, and he's very good at doing so. The lesson pitcher and catcher took from the previous offering was that they could beat Keaschall with velocity, but they were wrong. Keaschall had known what to look for and how hard to swing on the previous pitch, and he knew what to look for and how hard to swing on this one. The answer changed in between, but Keaschall was moving with it. Showing the ability to swing fast—especially early in counts or when ahead—is important. It forces pitchers to work differently to you. It gives you chances to unload on mistakes, even if power isn't the primary element of your game. Keaschall didn't really have that club in his bag last year, but in 2026, he looks more able to let it eat when the occasion calls for it. That will pay off, as long as he remains as adaptable and smart in the box as he's looked throughout his career to date. View the full article -
Padres Week in Review: Randy Vasquez Prevents Opening Sweep
DiamondCentric posted an article in Padres Mission
It wasn't the best week the San Diego Padres have ever had, but at least baseball is back. Weekly Snapshot Record last week: 1-2 Runs scored last week: 7 Runs allowed last week: 13 Standings Random Stats The Opening Day-record crowd of 45,673 at Petco Park was the fifth-largest in the stadium's history. In 47 starts for the Padres, Vasquez has gone at least five innings 27 times. He has a 2.26 ERA and is 20-7 in those outings. Tatis went 0-for-4 in Game 2 of the series to snap a nine-game hitting streak. He had a .353/.405/.618 slash line with three homers and six RBIs during that run. Backup catcher Luis Campusano went 2-for-3 in ball-strike challenges in the second game, the first challenges by the Padres this season. Cronenworth was the first Friars hitter to challenge, doing so successfully in the series finale. Saturday's win kept the Friars undefeated on March 28. They are now 4-0, having beaten Atlanta 4-3 last year, the San Francisco Giants 6-4 in 2024, and the Giants 2-0 in 2019. Website Highlights Cronenworth's Swing Adjustment Could Yield Massive Benefit for Padres — Randy Holt San Diego Padres 2026 Defensive Primer — Randy Holt Three reasons why the Padres will win the NL West and three reasons why they won't — Steve Drumwright Beverly Hills Billionaire Tom Gores Joins Bidders to Purchase Padres — Steve Drumwright Looking Ahead Monday: Giants (Landen Roupp) at Padres (Walker Buehler), 6:40 p.m. Tuesday: Giants (Logan Webb) at Padres (German Marquez), 6:40 p.m. Wednesday: Giants (Adrian Houser) at Padres (Nick Pivetta), 1:10 p.m. Thursday: Off. Friday: Padres (Michael King) at Red Sox, 11:10 a.m. Saturday: Padres (Randy Vasquez) at Red Sox, 1:10 p.m. Sunday: Padres (Walker Buehler) at Red Sox, 10:35 a.m. View the full article -
It wasn't the best week the San Diego Padres have ever had, but at least baseball is back. Weekly Snapshot Record last week: 1-2 Runs scored last week: 7 Runs allowed last week: 13 Standings Random Stats The Opening Day-record crowd of 45,673 at Petco Park was the fifth-largest in the stadium's history. In 47 starts for the Padres, Vasquez has gone at least five innings 27 times. He has a 2.26 ERA and is 20-7 in those outings. Tatis went 0-for-4 in Game 2 of the series to snap a nine-game hitting streak. He had a .353/.405/.618 slash line with three homers and six RBIs during that run. Backup catcher Luis Campusano went 2-for-3 in ball-strike challenges in the second game, the first challenges by the Padres this season. Cronenworth was the first Friars hitter to challenge, doing so successfully in the series finale. Saturday's win kept the Friars undefeated on March 28. They are now 4-0, having beaten Atlanta 4-3 last year, the San Francisco Giants 6-4 in 2024, and the Giants 2-0 in 2019. Website Highlights Cronenworth's Swing Adjustment Could Yield Massive Benefit for Padres — Randy Holt San Diego Padres 2026 Defensive Primer — Randy Holt Three reasons why the Padres will win the NL West and three reasons why they won't — Steve Drumwright Beverly Hills Billionaire Tom Gores Joins Bidders to Purchase Padres — Steve Drumwright Looking Ahead Monday: Giants (Landen Roupp) at Padres (Walker Buehler), 6:40 p.m. Tuesday: Giants (Logan Webb) at Padres (German Marquez), 6:40 p.m. Wednesday: Giants (Adrian Houser) at Padres (Nick Pivetta), 1:10 p.m. Thursday: Off. Friday: Padres (Michael King) at Red Sox, 11:10 a.m. Saturday: Padres (Randy Vasquez) at Red Sox, 1:10 p.m. Sunday: Padres (Walker Buehler) at Red Sox, 10:35 a.m. View the full article
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Jason and Jake settle in for the first show of the season, watching the final minutes of the Brewers' amazing comeback against the White Sox, completing their opening weekend sweep of the South Siders. Join us next Sunday at 4pm Central time! Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-brewer-fanatic-podcast/id1740648724 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5CY8mWsQayqjDXqw9OT2Td iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/263-the-brewer-fanatic-podcast-166534588/ Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/ommzz627 Watch On YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@brewerfanatic View the full article
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Owen and Jesse are back to talk about the Blue Jays' sweep of the Athletics on Opening Weekend. The guys talk about how similar the games were to 2025 before breaking down the first impressions of newcomers Kazuma Okamoto, Dylan Cease, Tyler Rogers, and Jesús Sánchez. They also get into Jeff Hoffman and Brendon Little's shaky starts to the season, debate the bullpen hierarchy, and discuss how Kevin Gausman and Eric Lauer had great starts. Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-jays-centre-podcast/id1846108462 Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Bi7SzfpcqMo5xYWnbCeoL Listen on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/263-the-jays-centre-podcast-300304824/ Listen on Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/2qk9wqxd Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@jayscentre View the full article
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Walker Jenkins, John Klein Help Keep Saints Undefeated
DiamondCentric posted an article in Twins Daily
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Can Twins Afford to Play Trevor Larnach Regularly in the Outfield?
DiamondCentric posted an article in Twins Daily
The season opened with the Twins on the road in Baltimore, and while the results were mixed, the early days of a new year often reveal more about process than outcome. There is a different voice in the dugout now, and with Derek Shelton taking over for Rocco Baldelli, every lineup card and late-inning decision is being examined through a new lens. Shelton’s arrival brings a natural curiosity. Baldelli’s tenure was defined by structure, matchup optimization, and an often deliberate deployment of players based on handedness and rest. Shelton, at least early on, appears more willing to lean into everyday roles, even if it means living with some of the trade-offs that come with them. That shift may not define every aspect of the 2026 Twins, but it's already surfacing in one of the more interesting roster decisions: how the team plans to use Trevor Larnach. A Spring Plan That Never Materialized For much of the spring, it seemed that the Twins would have a platoon in left field, with Austin Martin starting against left-handed pitchers and either James Outman or Alan Roden playing against right-handed pitchers. Outman beat out Roden for the backup outfielder job, but that might have been because Outman was out of options and Roden still had an option year remaining. One apparent consequence of that choice would be to put stronger defensive options in left and allow Larnach to DH more regularly. Instead, though, it looks like Larnach will get a good bit of time there more than Outman. “He’s going to have to play the outfield,” Shelton said of Larnach. “I know he DH’d 81 games last year and played the outfield early. The way the function of our roster is, he’s going to have to play the field. Because we do have [Josh Bell], we do have [Victor Caratini]. … And if you ask Trevor, he would prefer to play the outfield. So it’s just going to be trying to manage the volume and how long it actually happens in the game.” That quote does more than explain a single decision. It outlines a philosophical shift. The Twins aren't simply optimizing for defense late in games or protecting Larnach from exposure in the field. They're prioritizing getting as many bats into the lineup as possible, even if it creates defensive compromises along the way. A Roster Built Around Bats The reality of this roster is that Josh Bell and Victor Caratini are going to be in the lineup regularly, just like Ryan Jeffers and Kody Clemens. There are simply too many hitters the Twins want to play on a given night, and not enough defensive utility among them to make it all fit cleanly. As a result, the designated hitter spot becomes a rotation, rather than a fixed role. When that spot is occupied, it leaves Larnach without an easy landing place, forcing him back into left field more often than originally anticipated. That, in turn, shifts Outman into a more limited role that leans on late-game defense, pinch-hitting and pinch-running opportunities, and occasional work in center field. It's a domino effect that starts with roster construction. Under Baldelli, that may have resulted in more rigid platoons or defensive substitutions earlier in games. Under Shelton, at least for now, it looks like they're willing to stretch the defensive alignment to keep the offense intact. Larnach’s Defensive Issues During the 2025 season, Larnach didn’t play enough in the outfield to qualify for leaderboards, but his totals were poor even in limited action. He cost the team 7 runs, according to Statcast. His expected catch percentage was 91%; his actual catch percentage was 87%. Those gaps matter. They point to both range limitations and inefficiency in converting balls that should be outs. Over a full season, that kind of defensive profile can quietly cost a team many runs and potentially games. His arm strength has also become more of an issue in recent seasons. In 2021 and 2022, he was above the league average, including an 87.0 MPH mark in 2022. He's dropped to 84.0 MPH or less over the last three seasons, which ranks below average among outfielders. Put simply, Larnach isn't an average defender in left field. He's a bat-first player being asked to take on a role that exposes one of his weaknesses. Also, his bat hasn’t been strong enough in recent years to make up for his defensive flaws. The Trade-Off the Twins Are Willing to Make This is where Shelton’s approach becomes clear. The Twins are betting that Larnach’s offensive contributions outweigh the defensive cost. There's logic to that. Run prevention is critical, but so is run creation, and Minnesota’s roster leans heavily toward offense. If Larnach produces at the plate, the defensive shortcomings can be managed through positioning, late-game substitutions, and selective rest. The real question is not whether Larnach can survive in left field on a given night. It's whether the cumulative impact over a full season is something the Twins can absorb while still competing. So far, the plan seems to be to start Larnach against right-handed pitchers, but aggressively deploy Martin and Outman defensively. If Shelton continues down this path, it will mark one of the clearest differences from the Baldelli era. Less rigidity. More emphasis on everyday roles. And a greater willingness to live with imperfection in one area to maximize strength in another. Whether that balance holds could go a long way in defining the Twins’ 2026 season. Can the Twins continue to play Larnach regularly in left? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View the full article -
Growing up, my brother and I got called out of school each year for the Royals’ first home game. It was the coolest feeling to leave class and head to the K with our dad. Even as a little Royals fan, I always appreciated the pomp and circumstance associated with Opening Day: the bunting hanging from the upper deck, the Royals alumni lining the field before first pitch, and noticing the small updates made to the K each offseason. With that in mind, here are five notable Royals home openers since 2000, in chronological order: April 5, 2004 - Beltran Walks it Off Coming off a surprising 83-79 finish in 2003, dare I say expectations were raised for this mid-2000s Royals squad? A full house packed the K to see the Royals face the division rival White Sox. Five-year-old me was there! Can you name the Opening Day starter for the 2004 Royals? Lefty Brian Anderson took the mound for the Royals against Mark Buehrle, another southpaw who ended up with a 3.54 career ERA against the Royals over 366 innings. The White Sox raced out to a 4-1 lead thanks to a Paul Konerko double and Sandy Alomar's homer. Their lead ballooned to 7-2 by the bottom of the 7th, but the Royals weren’t finished. New acquisition Benito Santiago cracked an RBI double, and soon pinch-hitter Mendy Lopez stepped up to the plate. In fact, Lopez was a pinch-hitter for a pinch-hitter, as Matt Stairs was introduced but didn’t face lefty reliever, Damaso Marte. Lopez only played 18 games in 2004, the last of his career. However, his shining moment came when he slammed a game-tying three-run homer to left-center field. After Angel Berroa singled, Carlos Beltran stepped up and belted a walk-off homer to left field. Amidst all the fireworks, I’m pretty sure we left this game early. April 10, 2009 - Renovated Kauffman Stadium’s Debut A couple of years ago, I found this print at an antique mall. I didn’t have a George Brett shirsey, but this is the Kauffman Stadium I grew up with. However, the K didn’t look that way come 2009, because of a $250 million renovation that was fully unveiled against the mighty Yankees. This was the first game where Royals fans could experience the K’s iconic fountains from up close, thanks to the new Outfield Experience. Newly anchoring the outfield corners, Rivals sports bar and the Royals Hall of Fame building also made their debuts in 2009. The actual game itself was pretty ho-hum. Andy Pettitte dominated the Royals' lineup, going seven strong innings while allowing one run and striking out six. Sidney Ponson got the nod for the Royals and allowed four runs over six innings. Six months later, the Yankees would win the World Series, while Zack Greinke took home the American League Cy Young for the Royals. April 3, 2016 - Champs Debut New Threads This game felt big. How could it not? Sunday Night Baseball on ESPN, under the lights at the K. The Royals don’t often debut at night, but coming off their 2015 World Series victory over the New York Mets, they faced off against those same Mets to kick off the MLB slate in 2016. Adding to the shine of this game was the new uniforms sported by the new World Champions. The team sought permission from MLB, Majestic, and New Era to incorporate and then continue wearing their gold-trimmed home jerseys and hats for select games throughout the 2016 season, with this game as their debut. Just like Game 5 in 2015, the Royals got to Matt Harvey, chasing him in the sixth inning after scoring four runs on eight hits. Edinson Volquez continued his streak of clutch performances from the season prior and didn’t allow a run over six innings, and the bullpen survived a disastrous Joakim Soria outing to hang on for the 4-3 win. While the 2016 season was a letdown in general, this game was a fantastic start. July 31, 2020 - Pandemic Season at Empty K I had to include this game, even if very few people were there. In particular, BECAUSE very few people were there. The Royals started the COVID-abbreviated 2020 campaign on the road before returning to the K and an official attendance of “Not Given.” This highlight of Salvy’s RBI single shows the striking lack of fans, except for the goofy cardboard cutouts behind home plate. We’ll always know a 2020 season highlight upon first glance. Making his MLB debut on this night was Kris Bubic, part of the notable 2018 draft class that featured a bevy of college pitchers. Only Bubic and Daniel Lynch IV remain on the 2026 Royals, which is a little hard to believe given all the hype and promise of those arms. Bubic pitched fine for a rookie debuting under incredibly odd circumstances, going four innings before turning it over to relievers Tyler Zuber, Scott Barlow, Josh Staumont, Trevor Rosenthal, and Greg Holland. However, Dallas Keuchel scattered seven hits over 5.1 innings and held off the Royals for the 3-2 win. April 7, 2022 - Bobby Debuts in the Cold This was probably the coldest Royals game I’ve ever attended. My dad, brother, and I sat in the upper deck, with the wind swirling around and the temperature around 40 degrees. Perhaps that’s why the listed attendance was only 28,459. At least I got to wear my dad’s Royals coat from the 90s! Before the game, my brother was one of many in the Team Store at the K to buy a Bobby Witt Jr. jersey. I’d say that was a good investment! Bobby made his debut at third base and came up to the plate with the go-ahead run on second base in the eighth inning. “Bob-by, Bob-by, Bob-by” came out of our chilled lungs, hoping to see our 2019 first-round pick deliver in his debut. And he certainly did, knocking an RBI double down the left field line to score Michael A. Taylor. The starting pitcher for the Royals in this game? None other than Zack Greinke, who only allowed one run over 5 2/3 innings. His second stint with the Royals was a far cry from the peak of his powers in 2009, but it’s a sweet, fun fact that he was teammates with Bobby Witt Jr., the vanguard of this next Royals generation. View the full article
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Twins Daily Takes Over Smorgie’s for Home Opener Pregame
DiamondCentric posted an article in Twins Daily
Before the Minnesota Twins take on the Tampa Bay Rays at Target Field on April 3, we’re heading to Smorgie's for a pregame party packed with giveaways, Twins spirit, and plenty of baseball talk. If you’re looking for a go-to game day spot, Smorgie’s checks every box. First, it's just a block from Target Field. Also, their menu is built for fans – easy to share, full of flavor, and perfect with a drink in hand. Start with snacks like crispy pickle fries, cheese curds, loaded “totchos,” or classic wings tossed in buffalo, sweet chili, or dry rub. From there, step up to hearty handhelds like the Smorgie’s Smash burger, fried chicken sandwiches, or even a walking taco served right in a bag of Doritos. It’s comfort food done right, fast, satisfying, and exactly what you want before heading into nine innings. The drink menu brings just as much energy. Expect a mix of fun cocktails like a hibiscus spritz, Minnesota mule, or a house old-fashioned, alongside buckets, pitchers, and a full lineup of beers, seltzers, and wines. And the real MVP for game day? Their daily happy hour features 2-for-1 deals on rail drinks, house wine, and all tap beers. That combination – great food, strong drinks, and unbeatable specials – makes Smorgie’s an ideal spot whether you’re rallying before first pitch or celebrating after the final out. Add in the Twins Daily crowd, Opening Day buzz, and the return of baseball to Minneapolis, and you’ve got the perfect start to the season. So grab your crew, throw on your Twins gear, and join us on April 3. Smorgie’s isn’t just a stop along the way; it’s where the Home Opener really begins. EVENT DETAILS What: Home Opener Pre-Game Party Cost: Free When: 12:30 - 2 pm, April 3, 2026 Where: Smorgie’s, 508 N 1st Ave, Mpls View the full article -
Kyle Harrison learned in unexciting fashion that he would start the Brewers' fourth game of the regular season. "Nothing, really," the left-hander said with a laugh last week, when asked if he received a personal heads-up before the club announced its rotation. "Just saw that I'm pitching Monday." The question was not whether Harrison had earned a spot in the Opening Day rotation, but whether he'd be ready to pitch after developing a blister on his left index finger, which stemmed from the new kick-changeup grip he brought into spring training. When his fingernail started cutting his thumb as he made a circle along the inside of the baseball, Harrison trimmed the nail, but it caused the finger to blister. "That started to build a little blister on the finger just because I cut the nail too short," he said. "So now I know I need to have a longer nail, drink my collagen, get the nail stronger, and let it grow. Just kind of an annoying thing to deal with, but I'm glad that I got to stop it early." Harrison is a full go for his official Brewers debut on Monday night, after extensive work with pitching coaches Chris Hook, Jim Henderson, and Juan Sandoval in spring training. Much of that work was geared toward maximizing his strengths, which is the club's framework for developing all of its pitchers. "That's what I really love about it here," Harrison said. "It's been like you're running the show, basically. What you want to do, you go out and do it. They're going to be supportive, and they're going to give their input, and we're going to settle on something that's just going to be best for me." For Harrison, that means working off his signature four-seam fastball. While his new changeup's outlier depth captured headlines during camp, his heater remains his best pitch. He's thrown it roughly 60% of the time in each of his three big-league seasons so far. "I love my fastball," he said. "I've always loved my fastball. That's something I want to throw, but throw it in the right counts and throw it in the right locations." The Brewers like Harrison's fastball, too, and for good reason. With a -0.6 StuffPro (meaning that it decreases expected run production by 0.6 runs for every 100 he throws), it graded out as one of the better four-seamers among starting pitchers based on its velocity, movement, and where he releases it from his low arm slot. It induced whiffs on 26.2% of swings last season, while holding opponents to a .281 xwOBA. "There's an instance I remember from San Francisco when he was pitching against us, I thought to myself, 'Oh, fastball must play up a little bit,' because he got swing and miss with the fastball," manager Pat Murphy said. Harrison's hand stays behind the baseball exceptionally well at release, which gives it true backspin from his 27-degree arm angle. According to Statcast, 98% of the spin on his four-seamer contributed to its movement last year. With an average of 12.4 inches of induced vertical break and 14.3 inches of arm-side break, it has a ride-run shape that is less common than the typical movement of the modern four-seamer. "It's unique," Hook said, before comparing Harrison's heater to one of the most effective fastballs in franchise history. "Josh [Hader's] obviously had a little bit more vert, but similar slot things. Obviously, it's just a touch different, but I think he can get the same kind of angle at times." Plenty of pitchers throw with true spin on their fastballs, but most who do so have much higher arm slots, which carries other implications for their secondary pitches. Compare Harrison's active spin profile (the percentage of the spin on each of his pitch types that contributes to movement) to those of Hader and Jacob Misiorowski, and the differences jump out. Misiorowski, who throws from a similar angle to both Harrison and Hader, is more typical of pitchers in that slot, with lower-than-average spin efficiency on his fastball but higher-than-average efficiency on his breaking balls. Harrison and Hader are the opposite, which makes their fastballs more natural cousins to high-slot guys like Jeff Hoffman, Casey Mize, or Jack Dreyer. The expectation is that Harrison will get plenty of mileage out of that fastball, but part of his remaining development will be finding the best way to supplement it. After a midseason trade to the Boston Red Sox last year, their pitching coaches encouraged him to add a two-seamer and cutter and replace his existing changeup with the kick-change. The Brewers felt that trying to refine all of those pitches at once was hurting his development. Moreover, with limited time in spring training to improve Harrison's breaking ball, clean up his delivery, and tweak his routine between starts, they wouldn't be able to perfect every pitch by Opening Day. "I think it's very difficult when you're working on four ******* pitches and trying to be on time and trying to stay through it, and you're like, 'Okay, this is new, and this is new,'" Hook said. "When I get into crunch time, all of this is new to me. It's too much." To simplify things, they scrapped the cutter, which graded out as his worst pitch in 2025. Harrison's low slot and natural tendency to stay behind the ball—the same traits that make his fastball so effective—make it challenging to throw a true cutter. He was either releasing it too early (causing it to back up), or releasing it too late, causing it to spin like a slider instead of a cut fastball. In both cases, it led to poor location of what was supposed to be an in-zone pitch that bridged his fastball and slider. "The struggle that I had with it was maintaining the vertical break," Harrison said. "I'd throw one good one at eight [inches of] vert, kind of trying to get similar [carry] to your heater, and I had some where I'd stay on it a little too long. I'm a low-slot guy, so I stay on the heater, and then it just ends up getting like 2 vert. So that's something I wouldn't really want to throw at the top of the zone." The Brewers frequently target pitchers who throw cutters and often encourage those who don't to add one to their arsenal. They rank third in cutter usage since 2024. Harrison, though, is different than many of their recent starters, who throw from a more traditional slot and slightly cut their normal fastballs. The plan is to reintroduce a cutter in the future, but only after he makes the improvements necessary for throwing an effective one from his unique release point and angle. "If you're not effectively rotating, if you're not getting through the baseball the correct way, the cutter could be a detriment," Hook said. "It's going to be big. It's going to be early. So I want to make sure he's getting through the ball properly first, before it's potentially added here in a little bit." For now, Harrison and the Brewers are riding with his four best pitches: fastball, slider, changeup, and the occasional two-seamer to use inside to left-handed batters. In their eyes, he's far from a finished product, but they're optimistic about his ceiling. He already has uncommon stuff from the left side, and their internal testing shows that he's gotten stronger since joining the club, which they believe will lead to a velocity bump. "There's a lot of upside there," Hook said. "Left-handers with that unique slot and that velo and that makeup don't come around that often. To me, the combination of all those things makes a pitching coach super excited." "I've liked him a lot," Murphy said. "He seems like really the right guy. He'll figure it out at some point." View the full article
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Alex Bregman is Making Himself at Home in Unexpected Ways
DiamondCentric posted an article in North Side Baseball
When the Cubs signed Alex Bregman in January, much was made about the way he typically gets to his power. The former Red Sox third baseman was famous for pulling fly balls barely over the left-field wall, where the fence—especially at his two former home parks, in Houston and Boston—is quite close. Wrigley Field, with the left-field fence sitting 355 feet away from home plate, has the deepest left-field corner in the majors. After the signing was announced, our own Randy Holt examined Bregman’s tendencies. Randy compared Bregman’s spray chart to that of Isaac Paredes, another third baseman whom the Cubs brought in who had a tendency to pull a lot of fly balls over the left field wall. He ultimately concluded that Bregman would fare just fine at the Friendly Confines. Paredes only hits the ball down the line, while Bregman can, and has, sprayed the ball from gap-to-gap. On Sunday, Alex Bregman hit his first home run in a Cubs uniform, and it basically proved Randy right: He hit a home run to (left-)center field! But I thought he never hit home runs there? Well, you’re not entirely wrong. Here's a spray chart of every home run that Bregman has hit since 2020: That grouping of five home runs that I circled, just to the left of the 400 marker, is where Bregman hit this homer. So, yes, he doesn’t hit many home runs to that area. Typically. Usually. The thing is, Bregman also didn’t typically play baseball games at Wrigley Field. While Wrigley has a very deep left-field corner, the distance to the left-center field wall is incredibly short. Here's every out that Bregman made last year, overlaid onto Wrigley Field’s dimensions: There’s a lot of dots there, but I count about eight fly balls that would have sailed into the bleachers. This doesn’t even take the wind into account. According to Statcast, it gave his home run on Sunday an extra 25 feet of distance. It’ll cost him some home runs, but it will also give a fly-ball hitter like him some cheapies. In his last plate appearance of the game, Bregman stepped to the plate and did it again, this time homering to right-center: This one just feels like an anomaly, but I will leave you with this: Before this season, 17 of Bregman’s 209 career homers were to the opposite field. From 2020-2024, he only hit three. He hit three last season alone, and now in 2026, he already has one. It might be an anomaly. Or maybe he's continuing to adapt. Regardless, I can say one thing with a little bit more confidence after Sunday’s game: Alex Bregman is going to be just fine hitting in Wrigley Field. View the full article -
Welcome to the inaugural edition of Blue Jays Clutch Plays, a recurring post that highlights the six most pivotal plays (three pitching, three hitting) from the past week of Blue Jays baseball, according to MLB's win probability model. Last year's Blue Jays taught us that a slow start to the season isn't the end of the world. Then again, it doesn't hurt to get ahead. Headlined by consecutive nail-biter walk-off wins and punctuated with a record-setting day for the pitching staff on Sunday, the Jays completed a sweep of the Athletics to begin the year 3-0 for the first time since 1996. Their pitchers struck out 50 batters over the course of the series, a modern-era record to start a season. Not a bad way to kick off their 50th anniversary! Pitching 3. Louis Varland: Jacob Wilson GIDP, Top 7, 3/27 (+17.5% wPA) Varland picked up right where he left off in 2025 by pitching in a high-leverage spot. With the tying and go-ahead runs on and nobody out, he struck out Brent Rooker before inducing a perfectly-timed groundball from Jacob Wilson, hit right at second baseman Ernie Clement. The rest was academic. 2. Braydon Fisher: Jacob Wilson GIDP, Top 6, 3/28 (+17.7% wPA) It was a tough weekend for Wilson. Known for his contact skills, he struck out five times in 13 plate appearances, and even when he did put bat on ball, it didn't always end well. After a hard-luck start to the inning that saw the A's finally score on Dylan Cease after his masterful debut, Braydon Fisher came on and got another grounder from the not-Oakland shortstop. It wasn't the easiest double play in the world, but Toronto's dazzling middle infield combination of Giménez and Clement made it happen. 1. Louis Varland: Soderstrom GIDP Top 10 3/28 (+24.1% wPA) It's unfortunate for Varland that Brent Rooker drove in a run immediately after this because as it happened, it looked like the table would be set for the Jays to win it in the 10th. Ultimately, they only had to wait one more inning. After walking the white-hot Shea Langeliers to take away the open base with the ghost runner on in extra innings, Varland got a tailor-made groundball from Soderstrom for an easy 4-6-3. Hitting 3. Ernie Clement: Walk-off single, Bot 11, 3/28 (+29.0% wPA) The final act of Saturday afternoon's thrilling comeback victory came courtesy of Clement, who worked the count full against Luis Medina before turning on a 99-mph fastball and drilling it into the left-center gap. Pinch-runner Nathan Lukes scored the winning run from second with ease to cap off an eventful game that once saw the Jays trailing 6-2 heading to the bottom of the seventh before flipping the script to win 8-7 in extras. 2. Andrés Giménez: Walk-off single, Bot 9, 3/27 (+36.6% wPA) Andrés Giménez was one of many unlikely heroes in last year's playoff run after a lost season at the plate. To say he started off on the right foot in 2026 would be an understatement, as the opening night theatrics would not have come close to happening without him; he drove in all three runs during the 3-2 win. What began as a bases-empty, two-out scenario turned into a masterclass by the bottom of the order: Kazuma Okamoto singled to right, Ernie Clement chopped a double over third baseman Max Muncy's head, and then Giménez finished the job with a hard grounder back up the middle. Maybe being a world champion does make you feel different! 1. Alejandro Kirk: Solo HR, Bot 9, 3/28 (+46.7% wPA) The Blue Jays' first home run of the season could not have come at a better time. Mere seconds after Okamoto let an arguably challengeable pitch go by for strike three, Kirk shocked the Rogers Centre with a no-doubter to left field off A's reliever Michael Kelly to tie it at six with one out in the bottom of the ninth. Toronto's catcher, known for his flat swing, normally likes the ball high in the zone, but it was a sweeper middle-down that he deposited into the seats above the home bullpen. Fun fact: For how often the Jays found a way to win in 2025, this would've been their sixth-most clutch play of the last regular season. It was the most dramatic of swings in a game that saw a whopping six plays that caused at least a 20% swing in win probability. Up next for the Blue Jays: A home series against the Rockies to start the week before three games in Chicago for the White Sox home opener on the weekend. View the full article
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Garrett Crochet left all spring-training-related concerns by the wayside on Opening Day, striking out eight while allowing three hits and two walks. Despite a swinging strike rate of only 12.5%, Crochet limited hard-contact throughout the outing with an opponent barrel rate of 7.1% and xAVG of .215. Crochet was reported to have developed a splitter over the offseason that he liked so much, he offered the guy who suggested the change a job in Major League Baseball. While it did catch some attention (as well as some headlines), the pitch never ended up making many waves in the spring. It did not grade out poorly by any stretch, generating a tjStuff+ of 101, but its results on the field did not do enough to garner interest from the Red Sox or Crochet to bring it to regular season action. During spring training, Crochet threw the splitter 11 times. It sat around 88 mph and generated zero whiffs with a below-average zone percentage of 27.3%. Crochet's spring results likely reinforced the "If it ain't broke, don't fix it" mantra. The splitter never generated enough to justify shelving what already works, and what works, as Opening Day reminded us, is plenty. Jen McCaffery of The Athletic asked Crochet about the absence of the splitter in his opening outing, as Crochet had this to say: “Just a lot more strikes, a lot more usage of the three fastballs,” Crochet said. “In spring, toying with the splitter, today it was like, ‘Hey, I’m banging the splitter for the year.’ I’ll just go back to the changeup I was throwing last year, and was able to flash that a couple times but didn’t overuse that or the sweeper, and I just felt like I was attacking with strengths and weaknesses when needed to be.” Crochet only displayed the changeup twice on Thursday, and in 2025, threw it 4.3 percent of the time. Against righties, though, 5.3 percent. Despite its minimal usage, it is a fantastic offering for him, if only to keep opposing hitters guessing. The pitch allowed a .091 SLG and .167 xwOBA along with a ridiculous 71 percent groundball rate. Among all changeups thrown 100 or more times in 2025, Crochet's groundball rate on the pitch was the fifth-highest in baseball. The primary issue with his changeup is that he rarely throws it for a strike. The Ball% (56%) on his changeup is the sixth-highest among changeups thrown at least 100 times. We can never know for sure, but it is likely that Crochet missed off the plate intentionally. Considering he throws the pitch only 5% of the time, it can be a pitch he tunnels with his fastball, forcing opposing hitters to beat it into the ground by swinging over it. Below is his change-up heat map to right-handed hitters: We see a clear, obvious desire to work low and away with his changeup, and his red zone is out of the strike zone, which plausibly explains the high Ball% combined with the high groundball rate. His changeup was plenty effective last season, as was he. While the desire to improve continuously is admirable, recognition of what works and what does not is an equally valuable skill. The splitter experiment is a footnote. What matters now is that Crochet looks every bit like a pitcher in command of his craft — and the rest of the AL is going to feel that all season long. View the full article
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The New York Mets showed off their retooled roster this past weekend at Citi Field. Nine offseason acquisitions made the 26-man Opening Day squad. They represented the front office's emphatic response to last season's second-half collapse and reported clubhouse drama. Fans and media got to form their initial judgments on the key newcomers as all of them appeared in the club's series win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. What did we learn from their play? Here's a quick rundown: Bo Bichette's transition to third base won't be seamless Bichette had a bumpy first series at the hot corner. He showed good hands, but his throwing was poor, a carryover from his days at shortstop. Three times he pulled first baseman Jorge Polanco off the bag with throws. All of them sailed to the arm side, an indication his release point was too low. On top of that, fans booed him for a slow start at the plate. Manager Carlos Mendoza told reporters Saturday that Bichette will put in the work to improve, but until that work pays off, he will be the weak link on the infield. Devin Williams will make the ninth inning interesting Edwin Diaz's replacement got the ninth in a 0-0 game Saturday. The results were good, but the process was messy. Williams allowed a double and a walk but then fanned Reynolds to end the threat. His pitch mix was his typical 50-50 split of changeups and four-seamers, but the heater averaged just 93.0 mph, more than 3 mph off his peak of 2019 and 2020. He was unavailable Sunday after throwing 19 pitches the previous day. If only Luis Robert Jr. can stay healthy... That has been the mantra around Robert the past few years. His injury history makes him a wild card. He's healthy right now, and he came up aces this weekend. He delivered a three-run, walk-off homer in the 11th inning Saturday, a pair of RBI singles on Opening Day and two more hits Sunday. He showed why the Mets took on all of his $20 million salary for 2026. Freddy Peralta looks as advertised Peralta's Mets debut on Opening Day looked like most of his Brewers tenure: lots of Ks, lots of pitches, lots of battling, not a lot of innings. The right-hander got through five on 80 pitches (53 strikes), striking out seven and allowing a pair of home runs to Brandon Lowe. Zero bases on balls was a positive sign, given that Peralta has a career 9.3 percent walk rate. Marcus Semien's bat may not bounce back Semien had hits in his first two times up on Opening Day (thanks, Oneil Cruz), and then none the rest of the weekend. He extended the drought to 11 plate appearances by going 0-for-3 with a sac fly Sunday. Maybe his 89 wRC+ and .134 ISO last season were signs rather than outliers. The second-base defense still looks solid as he starts his age-35 season, so there's that. Jorge Polanco had his own adventures at first base Between lunging for Bichette's throws and knocking down grounders behind the bag, the guy who's replacing Pete Alonso had a busy weekend at his new position. The good news is he got through it without incident. His weekend at the plate was just slightly better; five walks inflated his OBP to .500. The jury remains out on Luke Weaver Weaver did not resemble the 2024 version of himself. He turned in two scoreless outings, but he was inefficient. He stranded one runner in a tie game Saturday and two runners in a tie game Sunday. Control was an issue -- 20 strikes and 18 balls combined. He got the ninth inning Sunday with Williams down, but it's fair to wonder how long he'll remain the fill-in closer. View the full article
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What are your Marlins vs. White Sox series predictions?
DiamondCentric posted an article in Fish On First
Recent history tells us that the Miami Marlins are difficult to predict, but that won't stop us from trying. Welcome to a new season of Prediction Time. Once again in 2026, I will be monitoring the prognostications from our valued SuperSubs, Fish On First staffers and livestream guests. Individual article pages like this one will be created prior to every Marlins series and featured prominently on the FOF site. Consistent participation is key if you want to win this annual contest. Submissions only take a few seconds. Scoring system A "perfect" series is worth three points: Earn one point for predicting which team will win the upcoming series Earn one point for predicting the precise number of victories for each team Earn one point for predicting the “Series MVP” who accumulated the highest win probability added (WPA) during the series as calculated by FanGraphs (could pick a player from either team) Here is a reminder of what the 2025 season leaderboard looked like. There is currently a 12-way tie atop the 2026 leaderboard, which will be updated between every Marlins series. If you are a SuperSub, leave a comment with your Prediction Time picks on this page, or join the Marlins Discord Server and submit there. We'll feature them on the upcoming Fish On First LIVE episode and track your points throughout the season! Any picks submitted prior to the first pitch of the series opener will be counted. If you are not a SuperSub, please consider signing up here to support the FOF staff. Series preview notes Probable starting pitchers: RHP Chris Paddack and RHP Davis Martin on Monday RHP Janson Junk and RHP Erick Fedde on Tuesday RHP Sandy Alcantara and RHP Shane Smith on Wednesday The Marlins rank eighth in MLB with a 123 wRC+ and third in MLB with a 2.55 FIP. They are 3-0 at home this season. The following Marlins players are on the injured list: Maximo Acosta (10-day IL), Ronny Henriquez (60-day IL), Adam Mazur (60-day IL), Christopher Morel (10-day IL), Esteury Ruiz (10-day IL) and Kyle Stowers (10-day IL). The White Sox rank tied for 12th in MLB with a 108 wRC+ and 28th in MLB with a 6.06 FIP. They are 0-3 on the road this season. The following White Sox players are on the injured list: Brooks Baldwin (10-day IL), Prelander Berroa (15-day IL), Ky Bush (60-day IL), Kyle Teel (10-day IL), Drew Thorpe (15-day IL) and Mike Vasil (15-day IL). View the full article -
Prior to the start of each new Miami Marlins series, we invite the Fish On First staff, FOF LIVE guests and SuperSubs to participate in Prediction Time. Results for the 2026 season will be tracked here. This is how the scoring system works: Earn one point for predicting which team will win the upcoming series Earn one point for predicting the precise number of victories for each team Earn one point for predicting the “Series MVP” who accumulated the highest win probability added (WPA) during the series as calculated by FanGraphs (could pick a player from either team) That's a maximum of three points per series. Rank Name Total Prediction Points Series Winner Points Series MVP Points 1 rings 2 2 0 2 Richard 2 2 0 3 Gabriel Revilla 2 1 1 4 Kevin Barral 2 2 0 5 Jose Herrera 2 2 0 6 1993 fan from start 2 2 0 7 Loud Miami Fan 2 1 1 8 JustMyFandom 2 2 0 9 TenofSpades BK 2 2 0 10 2qbn 2 2 0 11 Saul Goodman 2 2 0 12 Thomas Joseph 2 2 0 13 Hans Herrera 1 1 0 14 MRDHU75 1 1 0 15 Hector Rodriguez 1 1 0 16 Nate Karzmer 1 1 0 17 Chad Turner 1 1 0 18 Alex Carver 1 1 0 19 Alex Krutchik 1 1 0 20 Casey Marika 1 1 0 21 Robert Hanson 1 1 0 22 Jeremiah Geiger 1 1 0 23 Baby Seal 1 1 0 24 Daniel Rodriguez 1 1 0 25 Sean Millerick 1 1 0 26 Ryan Schlesinger 1 1 0 27 MarlinszDude86 1 1 0 28 Michael Cronin 1 1 0 29 Sportsman38 1 1 0 30 Stevo 1 1 0 31 ducat2 1 1 0 32 Slacker Mills 0 0 0 33 Ely Sussman 0 0 0 Last series View the full article
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The Weekly Nutshell: After wrapping up spring training, the Twins headed to Baltimore to officially kick off their 2026 regular season against the Orioles. Entering this campaign with their lowest expectations in years, the Twins came out of the gates with a fairly solid series against the O’s but dropped two of three while derailed by some familiar foils: lack of timely hitting, sloppy defense and questionable decision-making. Still, it was an altogether fairly impressive showing with a number of strong individual performances and positive takeaways. Let’s dig in. Weekly Snapshot: Thurs, 3/26 through Sun, 3/29 *** Record Last Week: 1-2 (Overall: 1-2) Run Differential Last Week: +0 (Overall: +0) Standing: T-3rd Place in AL Central (1.0 GB) Latest Game Results Game 1 | BAL 2, MIN 1: Ryan Deals But Timely Hits Elude Lineup Twins hitters: 1-12 RISP, 3 GIDP Game 2 | MIN 4, BAL 1: Lewis Home Run Helps Lift Twins to First Win Bradley: 4.1 IP, 1 ER, 9 K Game 3 | BAL 8, MIN 6: Ober and Abel Knocked Around in Piggyback Effort Abel: 3.1 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 4 BB NEWS & NOTES Ahead of the season opener, the Twins placed David Festa and Travis Adams on the 15-day injured list. Both right-handers are dealing with arm issues and facing opaque return timelines. Of course, Pablo López was already on the 60-day IL and will miss the season after undergoing elbow surgery. HIGHLIGHTS Joe Ryan had a bit of an odd spring. A minor injury scare affected his ramp-up and robbed him of a chance to compete at the World Baseball Classic. He threw only 12 innings in Grapefruit League play. But on Opening Day, he showed no signs of ill effect. The righty was in top form on Thursday at Camden, peppering the zone with his signature fastball while also mixing in a slow bending curve that kept opponents in shambles. Ryan held Baltimore off the board for 5 ⅓ innings, striking out seven with one hit allowed, and probably would’ve gone deeper if not for the Twins opting to play it safe on pitch count (85) following his disrupted spring. The stellar season debut from Ryan was good to see, but hardly surprising. This is what we saw from him for most of last season, and what we’ve come to expect. The same goes for Byron Buxton, who was an electrifying force in the opening series, repeatedly making things happen with his legs. In the opener, Buxton tripled before scoring Minnesota’s only run of the game on a Luke Keaschall sac fly. On Saturday, he again scored their lone run by: Beating out an infield single (originally called out, and reversed on challenge) Tagging up and taking second on a fly ball to center Taking third on a pickoff error by Adley Rutschman Scoring on a sacrifice fly by Josh Bell That is the definition of manufacturing a run, and it epitomizes the unique advantages Buxton brings to the table. When he's healthy and playing, this team can entertain. And if he gets a some help, they can win. We all expected Ryan and Buxton to be the leaders of this pitching staff and offense, respectively. They looked up to the task in B-More. But if the Twins as a team want to B More than also-rans (eh??) they’ll need some others to step up. As such, Royce Lewis’ opening series delivered a major jolt of energy. He struggled on Thursday but bounced back with a big home run on Saturday and launched another on Sunday. It’s clear that Lewis needs to earn the full confidence of new manager Derek Shelton, who’s been batting him eighth in the lineup and pulled him for a pinch-hitter in a key spot late in the first game. But Lewis is starting to rebuild his own confidence and that’s the crucial first step. Taj Bradley is another player looking to put previous struggles behind him and harness his natural talent — with major implications for the team’s outlook. And while his first start of the season on Saturday was far from perfect, Bradley’s overpowering arsenal was on full display as he racked up nine strikeouts with one run allowed in 4 ⅓ innings. The fastball was nearly touching 100 and the diving splitter was giving the Orioles fits. A promising start to a very important season. A couple other strong performances from the opening series worth highlighting: Tristan Gray made his first start at shortstop on Sunday and made an excellent first impression, delivering a three-run double in his first AB as a Twin and following with an RBI single later in the game. It was a bit of a surprise to see Gray make the team out of spring as backup infielder over Ryan Kreidler and Orlando Arcia, who both went to St. Paul. Gray's intriguing bat is a major reason, and we got a glimpse in this game. The much maligned bullpen had a very solid showing in the opening series, allowing two runs in eight total innings (if we don’t count Mick Abel’s piggybacking appearance on Sunday). When Bradley had to come out in the fifth inning on Saturday, the relief corps stepped up in a big way, with five pitchers combining for 4 ⅔ shutout innings to protect a lead. Probably Shelton deserves some credit for his maneuvering there as well. LOWLIGHTS One of the biggest concerns for the Twins entering this season was Bailey Ober’s sub-par spring velocity coming off his worst season in the big leagues. He barely cracked 90 MPH in camp, and that will make it awfully hard to succeed against MLB hitters, even when you’re 6-foot-9 with an outstanding changeup and good control. We were all wondering: once the games started mattering and the adrenaline truly kicked in, would Ober be able to find another level of juice? The answer, it turns out, is basically no. Ober found a little more velo against the Orioles compared to most of his Grapefruit starts, but his four-seamer still averaged under 90 MPH and he couldn’t generate whiffs. He struck out just one Baltimore hitter, dancing through three scoreless innings before Tyler O'Neill took him deep on an 89 MPH fastball in the wheelhouse for a three-run homer. I’ve pretty much given up hope on Ober tapping into the 92-93 range where he sat when at his best, so it’s really a question of whether he can dial in the craftiness and command to be at least somewhat effective in this new reality. On Sunday, that was the case until it wasn’t. Abel, who came out of the bullpen in the fifth to cover the back half, had the opposite problem. The velocity and stuff were there but he was all over the place and had nonstop traffic on the bases, yielding five runs on eight hits and four walks in 3 ⅓ innings. It was a shame to witness in the aftermath of such a fantastic spring showing that saw Abel seize a rotation spot in large part because his control was so crisp. On Sunday, he was missing his spots by a mile. Was he thrown off by the piggybacking usage? It’s possible, but we saw plenty of this from Abel last year when he posted a 6.23 ERA. Whereas Bradley was able to survive a lack of polish and precision in his first 2026 outing, Abel was not. Brooks Lee is another important player whose challenges from last year spilled over into the start of the new season. Starting at shortstop on Thursday and Saturday, Lee went 0-for-6 with three strikeouts and frankly looked horrible at the plate and in the field. His strike zone control remained non-existent and his limited range was evident as grounders bled through the infield. The redemption tour is off to a rough start, but hey, it’s only two games. Despite some disappointing individual performances, Twins players generally did enough to win this series. The team was undone in large part by repeated lapses in defense, decision-making and fundamentals: Austin Martin throwing to third instead of second, multiple players running into outs on the base paths, Matt Wallner wasting the team’s last challenge. The hope was that a new managerial voice might help shore up some of these short circuits that plagued the 2025 club, but so far we haven’t seen much to indicate Shelton’s oversight will produce much cleaner baseball than Rocco Baldelli’s did. To me, that’s not a surprise, since the players have hardly changed. We’ll see if they can iron some things out going forward. TRENDING STORYLINE While the Twins were kicking off their season in Baltimore, the St. Paul Saints got started in Indianapolis with a lineup full of high-profile names and key prospects. The Saints lineup features Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, Kaelen Culpepper, Gabriel Gonzalez and Alan Roden among others. Hghlights from opening weekend include: Culpepper had three-hits in his Triple-A debut, Roden has already drawn six walks, and pretty much every pitcher threw well (save for Zebby Matthews, who is increasingly becoming a concern). Top pitching prospect Connor Prielipp got the nod for the opener and locked in following a slow start. Future relief reinforcements Marco Raya and John Klein looked dominant in their first appearances of the season. This is going to be a fun team that demands the attention of Twins fans. I’ll be tracking Culpepper extra closely. I’m not sure Lee has a ton of leash if his underwhelming play persists. If Culpepper continues to impress like he did in spring training and in his first action with the Saints, he could be on a fast track to getting a shot. LOOKING AHEAD Lots of lefties are on deck for the Twins, who are scheduled to face southpaws in all three contests against the Royals in Kansas City, along with another lefty starter on Saturday against the Rays. At present, Ober is slated to pitch the home opener against Tampa. MONDAY, MARCH 30: TWINS @ ROYALS — RHP Simeon Woods Richardson v. LHP Kris Bubic WEDNESDAY, APRIL 1: TWINS @ ROYALS — RHP Joe Ryan v. LHP Noah Cameron THURSDAY, APRIL 2: TWINS @ ROYALS — RHP Taj Bradley v. LHP Cole Ragans FRIDAY, APRIL 3: RAYS @ TWINS — RHP Joe Boyle v. RHP Bailey Ober SATURDAY, APRIL 4: RAYS @ TWINS — LHP Steven Matz v. RHP Mick Abel SUNDAY, APRIL 5: RAYS @ TWINS — RHP Nick Martinez v. RHP Simeon Woods Richardson View the full article

