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Transactions: RHP Jake Woodford cleared waivers, was outrighted to Nashville and elected free agency. It's possible the Brewers could sign Woodford once he explores options elsewhere. RHP Wandy Cabrera assigned to DSL Brewers Gold from DSL Brewers Blue RHP Carlos Canales assigned to DSL Brewers Gold from DSL Brewers Blue This reverses the moves from 3 days ago as apparently the Brewers needed to temporarily fortify available arms on the Blue squad. These next two moves will be listed within Tuesday's Link Report once they become official, but it seems two Wilson Warbirds pitchers are on their way to Appleton, which could then kick off additional moves. Final: ACL Dodgers 9, ACL Brewers 5 Box Score and Game Log Quinn Priester hit 93.7 MPH in the first inning but did not reach that maximum over his final two innings of work. As always with an MiLB.com box score, refer to the game log and click on the oval for any particular at-bat to see for yourself. Six free passes (five walks, one HBP, plus three wild pitches) in two and two-third innings on the Maryvale mound for the ailing hurler shows that he has yet to gain any feel for the baseball. Thoracic outlet impacts are mind-numbingly frustrating. Priester struck out four and allowed only one base hit, but clearly the other aspects of his line paint a bleak picture. 20-year-old RHP Cesar Espinal aided in limiting Priester's final line to three earned runs, stranding two of Priester's baserunners. Your box score review will indicate the other Brewers arms post-Espinal did not inspire, combining to walk seven. While Brewers batters drew nine walks, they also struck out 17 times. Three of the team's nine hits went for extra bases, and there were several individual lines that impressed, including the full outfield mix. CF Brailyn Antunez was a homer shy of a cycle. LF Kenny Fenelon walked three times, and the always-busy baserunner stole his 16th base and also was caught for the 7th time. RF Alexander Frias singled twice and walked. 2B Juan Martinez, in the cleanup spot, singled twice and stole three bases in as many attempts. There were two early position player exits. Shortstop Cristopher Acosta was replaced in the middle of the 2nd inning, and when you review the log, it's difficult to determine how the preceding plays could have impacted Acosta. Catcher Luis Corobo was pinch-hit for in the 4th after catching the top of the inning. No apparent injury delay, but it coincidentally happened as Brewers Manager Rafael Neda was ejected. Final: DSL Brewers Blue 8, DSL Red Sox Red 5, seven innings as scheduled Box Score and Game Log The Blue Boys scored four in the 1st and held on despite committing four errors (the Sox kids made three of their own). Blue was up 7-1 by the time the bottom of the 6th rolled along, when the Boston team rallied for four of their own. Displaying the variety of locations the Brewers will scout, the three pitchers you'll see in the box hail from Mexico, Colombia and Panama, respectively. Leadoff man RF Gerlyn Payano reached base all five times up with a double, single, and three walks, stealing his 4th base in five tries on the young season. 17-year-old shortstop Diego Frontado reached three times, two singles and a hit-by-pitch, also stealing his 4th base, yet to be caught. Brewers Blue moves to a 4-2 record. Final: DSL Brewers Gold 13, DSL Braves 7, seven innings as scheduled Box Score and Game Log Gold wins its second game after an 0-4 start to the season. It didn't look to be that way early on, as the Atlanta squad scored seven runs over the first two innings to go up 7-0. When you review the linescore associated with the box, you'll see how quickly the game's dynamic changed. 17-year-old RH starter Joan Gonzalez struggled in his second pro appearance, but my, oh, my what a pretty line for 19-year-old 2nd year pro RHP Derlin Garcia - five innings of shutout ball, 2 H, 1 BB, ten (10!) K. Garcia pitched well on the island in seven games in 2025 and is an early candidate for a midseason stateside bump. Power barrage - seven of the nine Gold hits went for extra bases, including four home runs. Everyone's favorite player name from the January international class, Ricki Moneys, tripled and doubled. We're only six games into this, but the four players who homered all currently sport OPS' north of 1.000: Corner infielder Matthew Moses, DH'ing here 16-year-old CF Angeni Fernandez 2B Osiris Ramirez, already with three HR's in his debut season 2nd-year-pro 1B Jefer Lista, who was 3-for-3 with two doubles plus the bomb, five RBI For that matter, LF Manny De Los Santos, who walked twice and is also in his first pro season, is at 1.026. Golden basestealers went 6-for-6 in attempts. All the goodness caught the attention of posters in our daily thread. Will there be news on this subject matter today? There are seven games on tap for Tuesday, all the games under the lights except for the always-daytime DSL games. Nashville and Wisconsin begin new homestands. Organizational Scoreboard including starting pitcher info, game times, MiLB TV links, and box scores Current Milwaukee Brewers Organization Batting Stats and Depth Current Milwaukee Brewers Organization Pitching Stats and Depth View the full article

Give the Brewers credit. (Probably, you were already, but give them even more.) Four games into a six-game road trip designed to destroy them, they're 4-0. They hung on to win a preposterous 15-14 decision against the Athletics in Las Vegas Monday night, with two runs in the seventh inning, one in the eighth, two in the ninth, four in the 10th and one in the 12th. Somehow, they got one day closer to their fourth straight division title. They specialize in this. When there's adversity at hand, they ratchet their game up just enough to meet and overcome it. They're ahead of schedule, yet again. However, even after just one game in the Nevada desert, it's clear that the schedule-makers did the team dirty here. Earlier this season, many Brewers fans lamented the surfeit of early off days in the team's schedule, which will lead to a dense schedule and little rest in the second half. That was partially by the Brewers' own design, though. They get input into the structure of their schedule; every team does. It seems safe to say, however, that the team didn't sign up for this trip. Nor does the league appear to have properly thought it through. After three games at the pitcher-shredding mountainside pasture of Coors Field, the Brewers had to fly right to Vegas to play in what turns out to be an equally destructive environment, or nearly so. Vegas is nowhere near the elevation of Denver, but the heat (Monday's contest had an official game-time temperature of 87°, despite starting at 7:05 local time) makes up for the loss of altitude. The Brewers were outhomered 7 to 4. Four balls were hit at least 440 feet. Brewers hurlers struck out 20 A's batters, but it still took seven arms to limp to the finish line. The Gravitron (Kyle Harrison) crashed, thanks to the disruption of gravity itself: his fastball had 3 inches less induced vertical break than his season average. The same was true for A's starter Jeffrey Springs, and for the four-seamers of Grant Anderson and Chad Patrick. Las Vegas isn't just a tough place to pitch. Until the team can finish building a stadium that mitigates some of the environmental effects better, it's a second Coors. The A's don't normally play there, of course. This is something akin to exhibition baseball, but the only way to get a big-league team to agree to play against the eventual Vegas residents there was to make the contests count. Putting a trip to this version of Vegas right behind a weekend at Coors, however, was a mistake by the league for which the Brewers will pay a heavy price. At a glance, the team's bullpen picture doesn't look that bad, save for the hit it took Monday: THU FRI SAT SUN MON TOT Ashby 0 18 0 0 36 54 Anderson, G 0 0 19 0 28 47 Patrick 30 0 0 21 8 59 Kuhnel 16 0 0 0 20 36 Rom 0 0 17 0 25 42 Uribe 0 0 0 0 15 15 Crow 70 0 0 0 0 70 Megill 0 18 0 0 0 18 Remember, though, that this is not the team's 'A' bullpen—not by a long shot. They've suffered a series of injuries this year, and a cluster of them recently. They've swapped out multiple tired arms for fresh ones. Now, they're a little bit roster-locked, trying to get by with the group on hand, and they only have two truly fresh arms going into Tuesday night. One of those is Megill, who hasn't pitched since Friday. Either the team is hiding something that's nagging him, or—and this is more likely—Pat Murphy correctly saw what was happening to pitchers' fastball shapes Monday night and realized Megill would be a poor candidate to pitch well in Vegas. There are two games left in the series, though. Will Megill simply sit them out? Coors Field rips pitching staffs apart for as much as a week after a tough visit, and though they swept the Rockies, the Brewers had a tough visit, indeed. Now, they have to try to survive what looks to be a second straight series under nigh-impossible conditions in which to pitch well. This is all also happening just as the average drag on the ball drops precipitously, league-wide. Lately, the ball has gotten a whole lot more lively, and whether it was intentional or not, the league sent a team on a road trip into Coors and Coors Light to throw balls that are much readier to fly out of the park, anyway. Yes, the Rockies just have to live this way. They also get the benefit of acclimation, though, and can build (though rarely have built) a roster with their home park and its quiddities in mind. The Brewers have no such recourse. They'll still get through this, as their record to start the trip proves. They'll win the division again, and they might play deeper into October this team. They're a very good team. But this was very bad scheduling, and the league made one of its best teams do some needless gymnastics this week. It's not over, either. More roster moves resulting directly from this brutal week lie ahead. View the full article

One constant in the Jed Hoyer era, as middling as it has been, is the constant churn of bullpen arms. The Cubs have not been able to consistently develop arms internally, despite the much-ballyhooed Pitch Lab; Tyler Zombro being hired from Tread Athletics; and copious amounts of money poured into the IVY model. The bullpen has not been stable for years. So what's going on? Why do fans, year after year, have to watch a bullpen flounder for a couple of months? THE 2023 MIRAGE For an analytically savvy front office, they have a shocking history of bringing back relievers after a good season that was obviously an outlier, even in real time. Since 2023, there's been a parade of mediocre relievers brought back after career seasons: Mark Leiter, Jr.: Age 32, 77 K in 64 IP, 3.52 ERA. Next season: 4.21 ERA, traded to Yankees Julian Merryweather: Age 31, 3.38 ERA, 98 K in 72 IP. Due to injuries, has not pitched 72 innings in his other four seasons combined. Adbert Alzolay: 22 Saves, 67 K in 64 IP. Next season: 4.67 ERA, eventual Tommy John surgery Jose Cuas: 3.04 ERA, 19 K in 24 IP. Next season: released with 7.43 ERA in 13 IP These guys were the backbone of the 2023 surprise bullpen, and all were brought back for the next season. At the time, fans weren't exactly clamoring for them to be replaced. But they all had red flags. Alzolay and Merryweather had just completed the only healthy season in their careers. Cuas had always had massive control issues, and Leiter is simply not a high-leverage reliever. All were brought back in 2024, and their season was lost before the bullpen could be fixed. THE UNLEARNED LESSON Now, in 2024, they did save the pen with Tyson Miller and Jorge López, both of whom moved on and have not pitched consistently in the major leagues since then. But then: Porter Hodge: 1.88 ERA, 9 saves, 52 K in 43 IP. Since then: 33 IP, 6.27 ERA Héctor Neris: No. We don't want to relive that. But he was the big signing. Nate Pearson: deadline move, 2.73 ERA. Released in 2025 with a 9.20 ERA. So, this was supposed to be Hoyer's strong suit. Neris didn't work out and was cut loose. Hodge and a bunch of people off the scrap heap somehow cobbled together a solid bullpen. While the team in 2024 only won 83 games, it emboldened Hoyer to scrimp and save on the bullpen for another year. Now, an observer would notice that it did work, and also point to other pitchers' struggles as proof of concept for Hoyer. Tanner Scott, for example, pitched to just a 4.74 ERA after signing his four-year, $72-million deal in 2025. Bryan Abreu, long a co-ace in the Astros' pen, is struggling this year to a 7.17 ERA. Due to the nature of their work, even the most stalwart bullpen arms can have down seasons. Injuries are a huge factor, too. Edwin Díaz is on the shelf for months because of an elbow issue. Josh Hader just returned after spending the first two months on the IL. To counter this, at least Scott and Abreu had long bodies of work to support keeping them around. Guys like Leiter (4.62 career ERA) or Merryweather (yearly injuries to the pitching arm) were relied on for the Cubs at the same level that Scott is. And to be fair to Scott, he's rebounded this year with a 2.36 ERA and is serving as the Dodgers' first option at closer (even if that's only because of Díaz's absence). Reliable arms aren't cheap or sure things, but they are more reliable than pitchers like Hunter Harvey or Neris. The elite sheer stuff of those pitchers sets a high floor for them, too. When you gamble on Leiter's 90-MPH heater and floater of a curve (even if it comes with a great splitter), you're drawing to a straight. When you do it with a guy who throws 98 and has a plus slider, you're betting with a strong pair in the hole. THE 2025/26 LOOP CYCLE Now for some 2025 relievers: Caleb Thielbar: 38 years old, 2.64 ERA. This year: 4.20 ERA and 4 homers allowed in 15 IP Ryan Pressly (bad), Ryan Brasier (meh) and Drew Pomeranz (not bad) brought in at 36-37 years old. To the front office's credit, all now elsewhere. Even Colin Rea has pitched to a 4.59 ERA this season, after 3.95 last year. And do we have to mention Phil Maton, a 33-year-old on his sixth team in three seasons, or Hunter Harvey, who (of course) is injured? Hoby Milner at age 35, with an ERA over 4.00? Hoyer gets credit for the Jacob Webb signing, which is turning out nicely, and he did spend a bit of real money to bring in Maton and Harvey, whose track records are stronger than past targets. It's a bit like being told to clean your room and stuffing everything into drawers and closets, though, and we've seen that sitcom moment where the closet is opened and red rubber balls bounce out like they'd been stuffer in there with a pant and a heave. The common thread is expecting, or hoping, that relievers can repeat career years in their 30s. Bullpens are notoriously volatile; relievers in their mid-to-late 30s are even more so. Hoyer continues to treat temporary success as stable, repeatable production. Until this changes, Cub fans can expect to ride even more early-season roller coasters of relief production in the future. Until the team can shore up its pitching development infrastructure and build good, hard-throwing relievers from within, though, Hoyer has no choice but to do some version of this. He's claimed or purchased Doug Nikhazy, Tyler Ferguson, Luis Peralta, Eduarniel Nuñez and Christian Roa, just within the last six weeks. So, the questions are: Can any of those guys help this team survive this year? Will the Cubs ill-advisedly bring back any of them, if so? And (worst and scariest but certainly most important): Can a Hoyer-led front office ever fix the team's developmental woes? View the full article

Maybe the Miami Marlins make a run for an NL Wild Card spot. Maybe they don't. One thing is for certain though. The Marlins need to find the Pete Fairbanks they paid for this winter. Obviously, the Marlins made this particular $13 million investment with an eye towards building upon last year's success and making a much more realistic playoff push this season. With plenty of June remaining, that remains the club's goal, even with the decimation of Miami's starting pitcher ranks over the past few weeks. Given that starting pitching depletion though, it's easy to see how an All-Star caliber closer would come in handy right about now for the Marlins. Unfortunately, Fairbanks has been anything but his All-Star self so far in 2026. The chief culprit? Way too many walks. Fairbanks is being dragged down by a ghastly 1.529 WHIP that would be his worst showing since his 2019 rookie campaign if the season ended today. Paired with what would be career worsts in ground ball rate (22%) and exit velocity (91.8), the story basically writes itself. More balls are getting hit in the air, balls are getting hit harder, more balls are leaving the yard, and the result is a 7.41 ERA that is inspiring very little confidence at the moment. So little, in fact, that two different Marlins pitchers have secured their last two saves, including Tyler Zuber 's career first when he had to bail Fairbanks out of another near disaster this past Saturday. And yet...his xERA is a respectable 3.60 number that is just a tick higher than his 3.44 career norm. Balls are getting hit harder, but his hard-hit percentage is at its lowest rate since 2023. K/9? Still pretty good. K minus walk? Strikeout rate? Swinging strike rate? All in line with previous, successful seasons. Then throw in the fact that three of his four worst outings can be hand-waved away as a result of weird usage, a very long layoff, childbirth, and/or injury. If even one of those had gone differently, Marlins fans are probably singing a very different tune right now. It really doesn't seem far fetched to think that things could turn around. Which is something the Marlins desperately need to happen. Again, that's a pretty self-explanatory take for those of you that still believe the 2026 Miami Marlins can make a run at the postseason. Having an elite closer was supposed to be the difference between the 2025 club and this year's model—the lack of one being a major factor in last year's push coming up short. Fairbanks righting the ship at a time the bullpen is being pushed harder than ever would go a long way in keeping those original 2026 dreams alive. However, Fairbanks getting right goes much deeper than just helping the wins outnumber the losses the rest of the way. For one, at some point, you have to think Bruce Sherman might start to notice the lack of return on investment Peter Bendix has been getting from his free-agent signings. Bendix has done an excellent job in many respects, but the free-agent track record has been shockingly bad. Now, you could fairly object that good players tend to cost real money. But then again, you (probably) aren't Bruce Sherman. Christopher Morel, Austin Slater...these are minor misses even for the Miami. Chris Paddack? Nobody's perfect. Fairbanks and his $13 million, though? That was a massive swing for this franchise, and thus far, Sherman would have been better off either setting that money on fire or trying to move from second to first in the race for MLB's biggest weight room. If Fairbanks is a bust as well, then it's not hard to imagine Sherman losing confidence in his general manager. No matter how that would play out, it's likely bad for Miami. Be it retightening the purse strings, considering another front office change, or both, it would be a big step back for the organization. Frankly, it's hard to see how this wouldn't negatively impact future Marlins payrolls unless either a salary floor does come to MLB or Sherman really only cared about spending enough this winter to keep MLB revenue sharing investigators happy. All of that though is pretty hard to quantify, speculative stuff. What is not hard to quantify is what a blow it would be to the Marlins organization if Fairbanks isn't at least good enough to flip for a more controllable asset this summer. Making the playoffs was certainly the hope for the 2026 Marlins, but it can't ever have been the expectation for the front office. Signing a top closer made all the sense in the world this winter in anticipation of eventually flipping him for a shiny new prospect if things didn't work out come trade deadline time. Because you know Bendix is going to be moving someone. There are too many holes on this roster, and that's just not how he operates. If it can't be Fairbanks...then it's going to be someone Marlins fans care a lot more about. Which won't be good for anyone. Bottom line? No matter how these next couple months go, the Marlins need to see some vintage Fairbanks between now and August. View the full article

There is comfort in predictability. For the Toronto Blue Jays, that comfort has long extended to the lineup. Under manager John Schneider, much like during the most stable years of Cito Gaston’s tenure, the batting order is not something players walk into the clubhouse guessing about. It is set, it is trusted, and for years it has worked. But the thing about consistency is that it only holds when the results justify it. Through the first 67 games of the season, the Jays sit at 32–35. Their offensive production has reflected that stagnant status. The Blue Jays are scoring 4.09 runs per game, which places them in the bottom third of the league. Their team slash line of .249/.312/.375 does little to suggest a dominant lineup, even if there are pieces performing at a high level. A lot of factors went into the team’s magical run last season, but there is little doubt that George Springer played a big role. After a down year in 2024, Springer seemed to return to his former self last season. He has always been the prototypical modern leadoff hitter: power, experience, a willingness to grind out at-bats, and a reputation built on postseason moments have made him a fixture in that role. This year, not only has his output returned to earth, but the attributes that once made him such an effective leadoff hitter have simply not been there. Springer is hitting just .202 with five home runs and 14 runs batted in through his first 46 games of the season. His on-base percentage sits at .283, and his OPS checks in at .626. Those numbers aren’t catapulting this offense anywhere. It is clear that Springer's legendary toughness is working against him, as playing through a broken toe is visibly disrupting his mechanics and taking its toll. Instead of forcing him to push through the discomfort in the most highly exposed spot in the order, it might be time for a return to the IL. Not only would a temporary reset allow him to heal properly and find his mojo, but it would clear a roster spot for surging rookies like Yohendrick Piñango or Brandon Valenzuela once Addison Barger and Alejandro Kirk return. The arithmetic behind a lineup change is simple: The leadoff spot receives roughly 60 to 75 more plate appearances over the course of a full season than hitters further down the order. It is not just about who starts the game, it is about maximizing your best offensive weapons. The Blue Jays, for all their adherence to consistency, are not blind to these realities. They have experimented at times in 2026, albeit in small doses. But those experiments have felt more like temporary adjustments than a genuine willingness to rethink the structure. What makes the current situation particularly interesting is that the rest of the lineup offers high-upside alternatives. Vladimir Guerrero Jr., for example, has been exactly the type of hitter you want near the top of the order. He is batting .282 with a .372 on-base percentage and 38 runs scored. His ability to get on base and control at-bats stands in stark contrast to Springer’s struggles. Guerrero is not the traditional speed-first leadoff hitter, but that is increasingly irrelevant in today’s game. The goal is traffic on the basepaths, and Guerrero has been providing exactly that. Meanwhile, Ernie Clement is quietly putting together one of the most consistent offensive seasons on the team, carrying a .309 average and an impressive .801 OPS. Nathan Lukes is hitting .313 with a .361 on-base percentage in limited action. Deploying Guerrero out of the leadoff spot, for example, would maximize his elite on-base skills, but it requires a tactical shift lower down. Considering Guerrero still hasn’t fully found his home run swing, batting him first creates a desperate need for contact and power immediately behind him. Following Vlad with high-contact bats like Clement or Lukes keeps pressure on opposing pitchers, while allowing middle-of-the-order run producers like Kazuma Okamoto or the rookies to clear the bases. If the sequence is optimized, the lineup immediately becomes more dynamic. Right now, the status quo just isn’t working. Springer has been a below-average hitter so far this season, as illustrated by his wRC+ of 78, which is well below the league-average benchmark of 100. His OBP and wOBA are more than 100 points below where he finished last season. Schneider can frame moving Springer down as an optimization of his strengths. In a lower-pressure spot, he could focus more on driving the ball and less on setting the tone. At the same time, moving a higher on-base hitter to the top could result in fewer games where the Jays need to come from behind. The Jays have been looking better over the past couple of weeks, but they still can’t seem to find consistency. Far too many games are seeing the Jays not showing life until the fifth or sixth inning. Sure, pitching has been weathering the storm, but eventually, it won’t. Then what? The Jays need to find some offensive life, and right now, that is not George Springer. The Blue Jays have spent the first half of 2026 searching for sustained offensive rhythm. They have the pieces. The underlying talent is evident. But the alignment has not quite clicked, and the top of the order is a logical place to start. Flip a couple of names and see how the lineup responds. Consistency is a powerful tool. It builds trust and fosters confidence. But in baseball, as in anything else, it can also be a barrier. When the results stop, adjustments are needed. It feels like the Jays are approaching that point. If they are serious about turning an up-and-down season into something more, the conversation about Springer and the leadoff spot cannot remain theoretical much longer. View the full article

The Major League Baseball calendar has turned to June and as the Boston Red Sox prepare for the summer heat, they may be starting to feel like a crossroad is coming their way in terms of how to approach this year’s trade deadline, which occurs later than usual on August 3. On one hand, you have the fact that the American League still stinks, with just five teams over .500 at the time of writing this, one of whom is the Chicago White Sox. After that, the 27-36 Red Sox find themselves just four games back of the final playoff spot, currently held by the sub-.500 Texas Rangers. Boston, of course, would also have to leapfrog the Astros, Twins, Orioles, and Athletics to get there, but the task isn't as surmountable as you may believe. On the other hand, though, they have still struggled to gain any momentum in the crowded AL playoff picture thanks to consistent sub-.500 play as a whole, including a league worst 10-21 record at home, and 13-19 record against teams above .500. If this play continues as we inch closer to the trade deadline, and no ground can be gained on any of the aforementioned teams the Red Sox are chasing, it would be a borderline disservice not moving on from the following names. Ranking Red Sox's 3 Best Trade Pieces Aroldis Chapman 20 G, 0-1, 0.46 ERA, 19.2 IP, 26/9 K/BB, 1.99 FIP, .134 AVG, 13 Saves, 0.8 fWAR Maybe the most obvious name on the list of players the Red Sox should be looking to deal if they are sellers is their All-Star closer Aroldis Chapman. Chapman is currently on a one-year, $13.3 million contract with a conditional mutual option for 2027, which becomes guaranteed with 40 IP in 2026 plus a passed end-of-year physical. The deal also comes with a $300,000 buyout, and he has already begun garnering interest as USA Today Sports’ Bob Nightengale reported last month that the “San Diego Padres are eyeing the veteran reliever on the trade market.” While it would without a doubt be tough to see Chapman go and probably signal the waving of the white flag on 2026, his dominant performance and expiring contract makes him a chip the Red Sox must cash in on if they find themselves out of the playoff race come August. Chapman himself is no stranger to a deadline move, as fans will recall he was dealt at the 2016 trade deadline from the Yankees to the Cubs in exchange for RHP Adam Warren, outfielders Billy McKinney (ranked No. 5, in the Cubs system), and Rashad Crawford, and a 19-year-old shortstop by the name of Gleyber Torres who was not only Chicago’s top prospect, but the No. 24 prospect in all of baseball. Now, even though the Yankees were shipping out a 28-year-old version at the time as opposed to the 38-year-old one that the Red Sox would be moving on from, his production this season isn’t all that far off from where it was back then as Chapman finished 2016 with a K% of 40.5%, a whiff% of 36.8%, and a chase% of 32.5%. Fast-forward 10 years and outside of an understandable drop in average fastball velocity from 101.1 to 97.4 mph, his K% (34.7%), whiff% (33.3%) and chase% (32.2%) all still register as great to elite. If the Red Sox are serious about moving Chapman, then the asking price, even with his age and contract situation, should still be high. If the Padres are the team to come calling for instance, then one of their top two prospects -- catcher Ethan Salas (No. 51 in MLB) or left-handed pitcher Kruz Schoolcraft (No. 90) -- would be a great prize, As for a potential framework to go off of from last year’s deadline, while more upper-echelon arms closer to Chapman’s stature like Jhoan Duran and Mason Miller were moved, the deal to look at that fits a similar situation, i.e. a big arm on an expiring deal, is the Ryan Helsley trade. The Mets acquired Helsley, who had a 3.00 ERA and 41 strikeouts over 36 innings from the Cardinals for two top-20 prospects according to MLB Pipeline in infielder Jesus Baez (No. 8) and right-handed pitcher Nate Dohm (No. 14), as well as right-hander Frank Elissalt. If he does in fact become available, teams will be lining up for Chapman’s services and the Red Sox would be foolish to come away with anything other than a king’s ransom if a bidding war breaks out. Sonny Gray 11 G, 7-1, 3.20 ERA, 56.1 IP, 44/16 K/BB, 3.94 FIP, .252 AVG, 0.8 fWAR The second of Boston’s expiring contracts that makes the most sense to move on from is veteran starter Sonny Gray. Much like Chapman, there is a mutual option for 2027 with a luxury tax cap hit of $25 million and buyout of $10 million that gets forfeited if the Red Sox exercise the option but Gray opts out. While he hasn’t been the strikeout pitcher he was advertised to be when the Sox acquired him from St. Louis this offseason, seeing his K% drop from 26.7% to 19.9%, he’s seemingly reinvented himself as a pitch-to-contact pitcher who’s excelled at avoiding hard contact with a Hard-Hit% of 33.8%, good for the 76th percentile and a far cry from his 40.7% and 48th percentile finish in 2025. Also similarly to Chapman, Gray is no stranger to being dealt at the trade deadline. Back in 2017, a 27-year-old Gray was traded from the Athletics to the Yankees for outfielder Dustin Fowler (No. 4 in the Yankees system), infielder Jorge Mateo (No. 8) and right-hander James Kaprielian (No. 12), none of whom were considered Top-100 prospects in MLB Pipeline’s eyes, but were each able to put together seasons in the big leagues throughout their careers, with Mateo seeing the most success and longevity. When it comes to moving Gray and what to realistically expect to get back, the Red Sox can use their own framework from what they gave up to get him: Young, controllable arms with big league experience like Richard Fitts, and those with upside potential like Brandon Clarke (No. 5 in the system). They could also look to a deal from last year’s deadline, when the Rangers acquired fellow veteran right-hander on an expiring contract, Merrill Kelly, from the Diamondbacks. Kelly, who owned a 3.22 ERA over 22 starts at the time, was sent south for left-handed pitchers Kohl Drake (No. 5 in the Rangers system), and Mitch Bratt (No. 9), along with right-handed pitcher David Hagaman (No. 13). If a team comes calling offering up three top-20 prospects for the services of Sonny Gray, or a similar package that includes a young player who can help the Red Sox now, Craig Breslow should jump at the opportunity to collect on a veteran arm with no long-term future in Boston. Isiah Kiner-Falefa 31 G, .267/.327/.333, 85 wRC+, 4 SB, +5 OAA, 0.7 fWAR This final trade piece may come as a surprise to those looking to see Jarren Duran or Willson Contreras on this list. While those deals would make sense -- a Duran trade would finally put an end to the outfield logjam if and when Roman Anthony returns, and you could possibly get a haul the way Contreras is producing -- don't expect the front office to blow up the foundation they built over the last few years just because of one bad half of baseball. Enter an alternative option on another expiring contract who has had trade deadline experience before: Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Such a trade may have seemed like a laughable proposal coming out of a March/April run that saw him hit just .229 with an OPS+ of 44 and wRC+ of 38, but the man who said he was fighting for his career found a way to drastically turn things around in May, slashing .385/.467/.513/.979 with one home run and eight RBIs. He forced his way into a lineup starving for production and may get some looks from contenders after all. When Kiner-Falefa was brought in on his one-year, $6 million deal by the Red Sox, the belief was he’d be a solid utility infield option that also possessed a strong veteran leadership presence and postseason experience fresh off a trip to the World Series with the Toronto Blue Jays. Look around the current playoff landscape as of today and you’ll see plenty of young or inexperienced teams such as the Cardinals (26.7 years old on average), White Sox (27.4), Pirates (27.5), and Athletics (27.5), all in the top 10 of the youngest teams in the league, volleying for playoff positioning and potentially looking for a veteran who knows what it takes to win in the postseason. Factor in some of the more experienced squads like the Dodgers, Braves, and Padres who may just look to fill out their rosters with an additional piece, and Kiner-Falefa could be a name that surprisingly works for a lot of teams. In terms of what he could bring the Red Sox back in return, the Blue Jays and Pirates may have painted the picture back in 2024, when he was dealt from Toronto to Pittsburgh for minor-league utility man Charles McAdoo, who since the deal has turned into a top-30 prospect with the Jays (No. 25). If Boston truly does fall out of contention as we approach the August 3 trade deadline, it is imperative they identify which players they see as long-term pieces that can help the club’s future and which ones, especially these three listed, they should move on from in order to set themselves up for the most success moving forward. View the full article

The New York Mets opened their season on March 25. Just five days later, it was reported for the first time that Jorge Polanco, their offseason signing to play first base most days, was dealing with a ‘minor’ Achilles issue. He was on and off the lineup, and on April 9, manager Carlos Mendoza said Polanco might require a trip to the injured list. On April 17, news broke that the infielder and Silver Slugger Award finalist last year with the Seattle Mariners was also dealing with a right wrist injury, an ailment that ended up sending him to the injured list a day later. He played his most recent MLB game for the Mets on April 14. Polanco has suffered a setback on his road to recovery, re-aggravating his ankle. It's unknown when he'll return to the Mets at this point in time, but his continued absence is a frustrating development. The timeline of his first symptoms and placement on the injured list was important for us to explain because they give us a better idea about the reasons behind the player’s rough start to his Mets’ tenure. It's Impossible to Separate the Injuries from Jorge Polanco's Performance Polanco hit .179/.246/.286 with one home run in 14 games and 61 plate appearances. His 53 wRC+ is way worse than the 132 mark he had last year in Seattle. It’s hard to get going with two annoying injuries nagging all the time, though, and also while learning a new position. Still, big things are expected from Polanco, especially since he set the bar so high last year. If he’s truly healthy, he still has time to turn his season around and start producing like the Mets and fans would want him to. That’s the first and most important thing on his priority list: get fully, 100 percent healthy. Once he has done that, we can start focusing on what he needs to do to actually improve on that awful stat line. As you can expect from a player who has experienced such a big drop-off in performance, Polanco’s numbers against every type of pitch have gotten worse. His struggles against fastballs, however, are stunning. Fastballs Were Killing Jorge Polanco He hit .277 with a .542 slugging percentage and a .372 xwOBA vs. fastballs last year, but this season, he is at .083 with a .083 slugging percentage and a .249 xwOBA. He has been much better against breaking balls (.284) and off-speed pitches (.288) without being particularly good at any of them, and keep in mind that the sample available is tiny. However, heaters have killed him. The origins of his struggles against fastballs this year might actually be tied to his Achilles injury. The legs are the foundation of a batter’s swing, and Polanco’s Achilles has been compromised virtually all year. Once he's closer to full health, expect him to pick it up against the most frequently thrown pitch in the league. Polanco was actually hitting lots of line drives (31.1 percent) and pulling the ball in the air at a high rate, so the ingredients for a rebound are there as long as he can improve his timing against fastballs. We shouldn't expect an immediate return to his 2025 form upon returning. That level of offensive excellence takes time, and Polanco hasn’t really had a chance to get into a groove. His latest setback may prevent that from ever happening, but with some luck, he can still make a positive impact on the Mets in 2026. View the full article

TRANSACTIONS The Minnesota Twins signed free agent RHP Failin Placencio to a minor league contract and assigned him to the DSL Twins. Cedar Rapids Kernels send OF Caden Kendle on a rehab assignment to FCL Twins. The Twins traded #OldFriend Cash Considerations to the Arizona Diamondbacks for RHP Taylor Rashi. SAINTS SENTINEL After a week at home in which the Saints went 5-1 against Indiana, the team will head on the road to face the Toledo Mud Hens. One of the highlights of the week will be the Saints lineup facing a scheduled rehab start by veteran starting pitcher Justin Verlander. At age 43, Verlander saw one outing with the Detroit Tigers before facing injury. In that one start, the right-hander only completed 3 2/3 innings and allowed five earned runs. Another name to watch from the Toledo side is top organizational prospect CF Max Clark. As a 21-year-old, Clark is hitting .257/.341/.390 (.731) to this point in 2026. Clark is certainly a player the Tigers hope Twins fans will have to see a lot of in the years to come. Alan Roden is also on rehab assignment with the FCL Twins and could be returning to the Saints soon. Before going down with a shoulder injury, Roden was hitting .275/.425/.464 (.889) for the Saints. WIND SURGE WISDOM The Wind Surge did not have a good week. They went 1-5 while hosting San Antonio. They will leave Wichita for Tulsa this week, hoping to regain their winning form. As the Wind Surge visit Tulsa, they will face three top ten outfield prospects for the Los Angeles Dodgers. Josue De Paula leads the way for the Dodgers prospects. The 21-year-old left-hander is hitting .319/.420/.551 (.971) with 10 home runs. Fellow left-hander Zyhir Hope has also been hitting well with power, hitting .294/.351/.528 (.879) with 13 home runs. Rounding out the trio is right-handed hitting Mike Sirota, who has hit .339/.488/.602 (1.090) with 10 home runs of his own in 2026. KERNELS CHRONICLE The Kernels managed a 2-3 week, with a Sunday rainout, as they hosted the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers this past week. This week, the Kernels travel to play the Lansing Lugnuts, an affiliate of the Athletics. The Kernels will face off against outfield prospect Devin Taylor. A left-handed hitting but right-handed throwing 22-year-old who is hitting .292/.425/.436 (.861 OPS). MIGHTY MATTERS Coming off a 4-2 week, Fort Myers will host the Dunedin Blue Jays. This version of the Blue Jays boasts two top ten organizational prospects who each play the left side of the infield. JoJo Parker is 19 years old, bats left-handed, and has been hitting .226/.373/.367 (.740). Parker is joined by 18-year-old Juan Sanchez, who is batting .226/.315/.384 (.699) for the season. FCL TWINS Twins 10, Braves 3 Box Score For the majority of Twins Territory, eyes were on the rehabbing Alan Roden, who started in left field for the FCL Twins. Roden went 2-for-3, with a double and a walk, driving in a run, and scoring a run, a positive development for Roden as he looks to return to the Saints soon. Roden was just a small part of the offensive output from the Twins as they scored 10 total runs on Monday. Catcher Miguel Caraballo had the biggest performance on the day. He went 3-for-4 with a home run, run scored, and three RBIs. Center fielder Teilon Serrano also homered for the Twins for his lone run but was on base two other times via walk and scored all three times he reached base. Hendry Chivilli rebounded from last Monday’s start, going 4 1/3 innings. He allowed no runs on three hits, no walks, and two strikeouts. Chivilli pitched in relief of the rehabbing Matt Barr who made his third rehab start in the FCL. He gave up two runs on three hits and a walk over 1 2/3 innings. He struck out three batters. Halton Hardy signed earlier in the week and made his affiliated debut. He gave up one run on one hit. DSL TWINS Twins 9, Mets Orange 5 Box Score The Mets were able to score first in Monday’s matchup with the Twins, but it was the Twins and their bats that would prevail in their 9-5 victory. The Twins were held scoreless by the Mets until the fifth inning when Abel Sosa hit a two-run home run for his third on the season, and Luis Duarte hit a solo home run, his first of the young DSL season. The pair of long balls put the Twins up 3-1. Duarte wasn’t finished displaying power with his homer in the fifth. The right-handed-hitting catcher hit another solo home run in the 9th inning to give the Twins an insurance run to go up 6-3. It was a Jhon Gonzalez double and an Enmanuel Merlo 2-RBI single that helped the Twins reach nine total runs scored for the day. Agustin Campusano improved on his opening start by going 3 1/3 innings, striking out five batters, issuing three walks, and cutting back to two earned runs from five last week. Miguel Martinez did an exceptional job once again in relief, tossing 4 2/3 innings, allowing two hits, one unearned run, walking two batters, and striking out five. Right-hander Aldwin Morillo recorded the save in ugly fashion, giving up two runs in the ninth before shutting the door on the Mets. TWINS DAILY PLAYERS OF THE DAY Luis Duarte: 2-4, 2 HR Hendry Chivilli: 4 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 2 Ks TOP 20 PROSPECT WEEK IN REVIEW #2- Kaelen Culpepper (Saints)- .368/.478/.684, (1.162) 2 HR. #4- Connor Prielipp (Twins)- 1-1, 10 1/3 IP, 10 H, 6 ER, 3 BB, 14K #5- Eduardo Tait (Kernels)- .304/.386/.609 (.993), 1 2B, 2 HR #6- Dasan Hill (Kernels)- 0-1, 2 2/3 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 5 K #7- Marek Houston (Kernels)- .375/.524/.750 (1.274), 2 HR #8- Riley Quick (Kernels)- 4 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K #10- Gabriel Gonzalez (Saints)- .176/.333/.176 (.510) #11- Charlee Soto (Kernels)- 1 IP, 2 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 2 K. #12- Andrew Morris (Twins)- 1 GS, 4 1/3 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 1 BB, 8 K #13- Hendry Mendez (Saints)- .292/.370/.417, (OPS), 1 HR #14- Quentin Young (Mussels)- .158/.182/.316 (.498), 1 2B, 1 3B #15- Brandon Winokur (Kernels)- .222/.462/.556 (1.017), 2B, 3B, HR #16 Ryan Gallagher (Saints)- 5 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 4 BB, 4K #17-C.J. Culpepper (Saints)- 2 1/3 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 2 BB #19- Khadim Diaw (Kernels)- .353/.522/.471 (.992), 2 2B #20- Kyle Debarge (Wind Surge)- .167/.318/.222 (.540), 1 2B TUESDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS St. Paul Saints @ Toledo- RHP Ryan Gallagher Wichita Wind Surge @ Tulsa- TBD Cedar Rapids Kernels @ Lansing- TBD Dunedin @ Fort Myers Mussels - TBD FCL Pirates @ FCL Twins - TBD DSL NYY Yankees @ DSL Twins - TBD View the full article

Salvador Perez has not gotten off to the best start of the season. After 61 games played, his slash line sits at .204/.254/.345 with a 61 wRC+, all metrics dropping from 2025 to 2026. His wRC+ marks also represent the lowest among all Royals hitters and 15 points below the next-worst hitter this season, Starling Marte. Among qualified hitters in MLB, Perez also has the 5th-lowest wRC+ and wOBA at 61 and .264, respectively. While Perez remains one of the most important figures in franchise history, his offensive regression and Carter Jensen's emergence have created a difficult question for the Royals. Is it time to reduce Perez's role in the lineup? Perez has seen a steep drop-off in most of the main Statcast metrics. His expected batting average and wOBA have both dropped to around the 20th percentile range after both being above the 80th percentile last season. His barrel and hard-hit rate have also taken a dip, along with average exit velocity. Even though he is still pulling the ball in the air at a high rate of 18.4%, it is a noticeable drop from his mark of over 26% in the past two seasons. His opposite field fly ball rate has jumped to 25.8%. This could be explained by his drop in bat speed from 72.9 mph last season to 71.4 mph this season. Failing to pull the ball in the air greatly decreases his power potential and makes it difficult to take advantage of the shorter fences in Kauffman Stadium’s left field. Given Perez's regression, the Royals need to accelerate the transition plan behind the plate. Perez has already begun to play fewer games at catcher and more games at designated hitter. He has already lined up as the DH in 28 games of the Royals’ 65 games this season. He is well on pace to break his 2025 mark, where Perez appeared as the DH in 38 games. Perez hasn’t seen as much regression behind the plate compared to his hitting. Last season, his blocking was well below average, where he saw -15 blocks above average. This season, he has been performing at expected levels and not allowing any excess passed balls or wild pitches. His pop time is well within his career average at 1.97, and he ranks 45th among the 71 catchers with at least 5 stolen base attempts against them. Perez’s framing is below average this season, but his framing has never been particularly good. The replacement at catcher may already be taking place. Jensen has started more games as catcher than Perez this season. While his numbers are not staggering on offense this season, he has been better than Perez at the plate. Jensen is currently slashing .211/.286/.381 with an 81 wRC+. That wRC+ represents the 8th-best among Royals hitters. Jensen is also one shy of the Royals' leader in home runs with 8. Defensively, Jensen has been more than serviceable behind the plate. His pop time of 1.91 ranks 20th among catchers with at least 5 stolen base attempts, and he has caught three more runners than expected. One area Jensen can improve on is his blocking. So far, he already has eight blocks below average. While Jensen has not yet established himself as the impact hitter in the Royals' lineup, he has outperformed Perez offensively and provided competent defense behind the plate. With Jensen earning more opportunities behind the plate, the Royals must decide how to best deploy Perez moving forward. Perez has the third most plate appearances among Royals hitters, and most of those plate appearances have come from the cleanup spot in the batting order. That is a lot of plate appearances in an important position for the worst hitter (according to wRC+) on the roster. On May 30, Perez was moved down to 5th in the order, but that was a temporary adjustment. One solution to giving Perez more time off would be to play him mostly against left-handed pitchers. Perez has a 123 wRC+ against lefties, 5th-best on the team. Compare that to Jensen, who struggles against lefties since he’s a left-handed hitter. When facing right-handed pitching, Perez has a 41 wRC+, more than 20 points lower than the next-worst hitter against righties, Lane Thomas. A sensible solution would be to transition Perez into the short side of a platoon with Jensen, primarily starting against left-handed pitching. What other options do the Royals have at designated hitter? Nick Loftin and Marte are players that the Royals have been mostly using as platoon options against left-handed pitchers. Their production against right-handed pitchers so far this season, though in smaller samples, has proven to be better than what Perez can offer. It would be worthwhile to give them more opportunities for regular at-bats. The baseball case for reducing Perez's role is straightforward. The human side of the decision is much more complicated. Perez is the captain and leader in the Royals clubhouse. Benching Perez could have unintended consequences in the locker room that are hard to predict, especially without being able to see his impact first-hand. Perez is likely also looking to compile as many stats as possible for his legacy. He is only five home runs away from tying George Brett for the franchise lead in home runs. Perez is also 40 hits away from 1,800 hits. While these milestones are still achievable with a smaller role in the lineup, they become much more difficult. Perez has also already pushed back to being rested earlier this season when manager Matt Quatraro said that he was giving Perez a “mental breather” in April. Perez took to social media to say that “I don’t need a mental breather” in reaction to his manager’s comments. While that incident is now well behind everyone involved, it proves that any potential communication about fewer at-bats for Perez will need to be handled better. View the full article

Even with plenty of injuries with Triple-A St. Paul's outfield, the Twins are still plentiful in outfield depth. So on the slim chance the Twins find themselves as buyers this upcoming trade deadline, will they deal from their depth to add more arms on the major league staff? View the full article

Kody Clemens has been one of the Twins' most unexpected success stories this season. When Minnesota acquired him last spring, expectations were modest. Clemens had bounced around organizations, never establishing himself as an everyday major leaguer, and he looked more like a depth piece than someone who would become a key contributor in the middle of a lineup. Fast-forward to June 2026, and he's become exactly that. He’s hitting .247 with a .785 OPS, and the numbers suggest his breakout is legitimate. In fact, the underlying data paints an even better picture than his traditional statistics. His average exit velocity sits at 92.5 MPH, placing him in the top decile among major-league hitters. Among Twins hitters, only Byron Buxton owns a higher hard-hit rate than Clemens's impressive 44.2% mark. Overall, he's among the top quartile of big-league batters, generating 7 runs above average with his offensive production. He’s been playing his best baseball recently, too. Since the beginning of May, Clemens is hitting .270, with 17 extra-base hits across 30 games. His OPS during that stretch sits at an excellent .857, and his 135 wRC+ indicates he's been 35 percent better than average offensively. As a result, he's worked his way into the No. 3 spot in Minnesota's batting order. But what's made Clemens particularly valuable isn't just the bat. He's also shown significant defensive versatility. While first base remains his primary position, the Twins have increasingly used him across the outfield over the last month. He's appeared in left field in seven games and right field in five games. More notably, he's even spent time in center field. With Byron Buxton dealing with various bumps and bruises recently, Clemens and James Outman were splitting center field opportunities. That's not something many would have predicted when the season began. He can also handle second base, giving Minnesota flexibility all over the diamond. And when he's on the field, he's been an above-average defender. The point here is simple: Clemens has been very good. He's been productive at the plate, he's been versatile in the field, and he's become one of the Twins' most valuable everyday players. Which is exactly why Minnesota should seriously consider trading him. At first glance, that might sound counterintuitive. Why would a struggling team move one of its better players? The answer comes down to timing. Clemens recently turned 30 years old. While he's having the best year of his career, the Twins appear unlikely to emerge as serious contenders in 2026. By the time Minnesota realistically expects to compete again, the odds are high that Clemens won't be producing at this level. That doesn't diminish what he's accomplished this year. It simply creates an opportunity. While Clemens probably wouldn't hit third for many contending teams, he absolutely fits the profile of a player contenders seek at the trade deadline. He's a left-handed power hitter who can play multiple infield spots, he can move around the outfield, and he's producing offensively. He doesn't just hit the ball hard. he lifts it enough to do damage, as evidenced by his .626 slugging average on contact (SLGCON). Those players tend to attract interest. While several teams could use someone with Clemens’s skill set, a couple stand out in my mind: the Padres and Diamondbacks. Not coincidentally, both teams reside in the NL West and currently find themselves chasing the Dodgers in the division race. They're in similar positions, trying to close the gap and/or hold onto position in the Wild Card chase while addressing roster weaknesses ahead of the trade deadline. Both lineups lean heavily right-handed. Neither has gotten a significant amount of extra-base production from the bottom half of its order, and both clubs could benefit from an upgrade in left field while also utilizing Clemens's versatility on the infield dirt. It's easy to envision him fitting into either roster. That doesn't mean the Twins should expect a massive return package. Clemens is having a career season, but he's also a 30-year-old player without an extensive track record of this level of production. Teams generally aren't surrendering elite prospects for that profile. A top-100 prospect return feels unrealistic. At the same time, Clemens has more value than a typical rental player. He still has two additional years of team control after this season; he won't reach free agency until the end of the 2028 season. That extra control gives acquiring teams multiple years to benefit from his production, rather than a few months. That should meaningfully increase his trade value. He should command at least what the Twins got for Willi Castro last summer, and Castro netted them a solid pitching prospect. If Minnesota were sitting atop the division standings and positioning itself for a playoff run, the conversation would be different. In that scenario, Clemens is exactly the type of versatile contributor you'd want to keep around for October. But that's not where the Twins are. Instead, they're a team that needs to maximize assets wherever possible, and right now, Kody Clemens may represent one of their best opportunities to do exactly that. He's playing the best baseball of his career, his value is likely at its highest point, and contenders around the league have clear reasons to be interested. Sometimes the smartest move isn't holding onto a breakout player; it's recognizing the perfect time to strike while the iron is hot. View the full article

Finding playing time in the majors is all about demonstrating strengths. Teams don't play anyone because of their relative lack of weaknesses. Although it doesn't feel like a game as given to positional distribution of responsibility as football or soccer are, baseball has that same ethos. Not everyone should be the star. Not everyone has to do everything well. But you play when you show a team that you do something well. Are you slow-footed and weak-armed, but a great hitter? They'll find a place for you at first base or designated hitter, batting near the top of the order. A sure-handed and nimble fielder with a paucity of power? You can just bat eighth. You have to take your turns contributing to run creation, but they give you fewer of them. You make most of your contributions by keeping runs off the board for the opponents. There's a phrase for a guy without a carrying tool—without any trait on which to hang their hat: organizational depth. It sounds harsh, but the realities of baseball are just that way. If you find a way to concretely help the team (even if it be something that doesn't feel concrete on the outside, like boosting clubhouse vibes or calming a panicking pitcher), you can stay. If you can't, sooner or later, you get the boot. That boot is swinging back and taking aim at Sal Frelick right now. Yes, the left side of the Brewers infield has been lousy, but David Hamilton's speed and versatility are signature skills. Joey Ortiz's defense gives Pat Murphy a good reason to put his name on the lineup card. Even Luis Rengifo and Blake Perkins, with their blend of high baseball IQ, the capacity to switch-hit, and bursts of defensive brilliance, have roles you can describe to a fellow fan to justify their inclusion on the team, however shakily. At this moment, it's hard to make that case for Frelick. According to Statcast, this is the hardest catch Frelick has made in right field all season. OTdQeVZfWGw0TUFRPT1fQVFRRUIxUldWZ0VBV2xBQ1ZRQUhWd05SQUFNRVZGZ0FDd0FOQndZQkNGZFVBbEZX.mp4 You can probably quibble with that, and point to one or two other near-highlight plays, but undeniably, Frelick has been worse in the field this season. He's not actively hurting the team's run prevention (much) by being out there, but nor is he helping. That's a problem, because as a right fielder, he carries little positional value. To bolster run prevention, he has to show great range and/or great arm utility; he hasn't shown either this year. Worse, he's not doing anything to augment the team's offense. Thankfully, they haven't needed much from him, but Frelick's .223/.297/.310 line remains dreadful. He's making tons of contact, but producing no actual value on it. Of the 230 batters with at least 154 plate appearances this season, only seven have a worse slugging average on contact (SLGCON) than Frelick's .351, according to Baseball Prospectus. His control of the strike zone is good, but not great, and not good enough to put him on base as often as he needs to be in order to use his plus speed. Nor is any of that fluky. Frelick doesn't consistently hit the ball hard or get it in the air. His expected weighted on-base average is back down to .283, where it was in 2024, after ticking up to .299 in 2025. He significantly outperformed that xwOBA last season, too, but isn't doing it this year, thanks to no longer having the knack for the line-drive single to right-center field. Rengifo and Ortiz each have a worse SLGCON than does Frelick. Hamilton doesn't control the zone as well. All of them can do something that clearly makes the Brewers better in one facet, though. Over two months into the 2026 season, Frelick has shown little sign that the same is true of him. His playing time might not face as obvious a threat as the one prospects Jett Williams and Cooper Pratt pose to Ortiz, Hamilton and Rengifo, but Frelick would be the easiest player to justify benching or optioning to the minors right now. Nothing looks right, and he's not positively impacting the team on either side of the ledger. View the full article

It wasn't so long ago that the vibes around the Chicago Cubs felt immaculate. Fresh off an offseason that had them signing a notable bat in Alex Bregman, acquiring a closer-to-frontline-than-the-rest-of-their-rotation arm in Edward Cabrera, and leaning more heavily on established arms for the bullpen than reclamation projects, the thought was that their busy winter would yield benefits in the National League contention picture. The buzz was so palpable that MLB.com's Thomas Harrigan asked the following question after the release of Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA projections: Just how large is the Cubs’ edge in the NL Central? Such a line of questioning seemed warranted upon PECOTA's release, which had the Cubs atop the National League Central with 90.5 projected wins. That was exactly 10 better than the Brewers' 80.5-win projection and carried with it a nice 69.0% chance of winning the division and a robust 95.7% chance of reaching the postseason. That same energy carried over to FanGraphs upon their own release. While not quite as bullish on the percentages, FanGraphs had the Cubs at a 35.6% chance of winning their division on March 23. That was more than 10 percentage points better than Milwaukee's 24.3% odds. The gap was even wider in the general postseason odds, with the Cubs checking in at 53.9% and the Brewers at just 41.7%. Then came the Cubs' strong start. On May 7, the Cubs' chance of winning the division reached 63.4%, while their playoff odds topped out at 91.2%. The former figure trounced the Brewers' mere 12.4% odds, while the latter was up on their division rivals by roughly 40 points (50.8%). Since that point in the calendar, the Cubs have won just eight times while losing 20, with a 10-game losing skid baked into the middle of all that. It's done a number on their odds of both winning the division: And reaching the playoffs at all: The first visual comes as little surprise; the Cubs' struggles (in conjunction with the rapid ascent of the Brewers) has created a significant gap between the two sides in the standings. At this point, the 7.5-game gap not only has the Cubs in fourth, but may also be too much to overcome, given the teams' respective projections for the remainder of the year. That the Cubs' odds are looking so grim in a more general NL context speaks to the overall magnitude of their recent struggles. Since May 8, only the San Diego Padres have scored fewer runs than the Cubs' 95 and no team has demonstrated less on the power side than their .121 ISO. While that's happening, their staff ERA (4.93) is one of the league's five worst, with a home-run rate on fly balls (17.7%) that easily leads the league. Given that, it's not as if the waning optimism surrounding the Cubs' playoff odds is limited to FanGraphs. PECOTA may not have the Cubs following these struggles through to a massive decline in wins in their current projections (87.4), but the odds are not in their favor. They're currently looking at division odds that have shrunk to a mere 25.8% and playoff odds that are resting at 78.5%. It's not an unsurmountable deficit to overcome, according to these data, but it does speak to just how much these recent woes have impacted them in their postseason outlook. Whether that will or can change given the team's current roster construction and injury situation remains to be seen. But even at this point in early June, a swoon like the one the Cubs are on has massive ramifications for later on. Even if it still feels kind of early to be worried, it isn't. View the full article

Needing a roster spot for the recently acquired Joel Kuhnel, the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday optioned right-handed reliever Craig Yoho to Triple-A Nashville. Kuhnel was acquired Saturday in a cash trade with the A's, who had designated him for assignment Friday. The Brewers open a three-game series against the A's in Las Vegas on Monday. Yoho was called up along with left-hander Brian Fitzpatrick on Friday as the Brewers placed left-hander DL Hall on the 15-day injured list and designated right-hander Jake Woodford for assignment. That night, Fitzpatrick sustained a sprained UCL and himself went on the 15-day IL, with left-hander Drew Rom being called up. Yoho appeared in games Friday and Sunday against the Colorado Rockies, going three innings, allowing a solo homer with two walks and five strikeouts. He was the choice to send down as the Brewers needed Rom, a lefty, in the bullpen. View the full article

Last Wednesday night at Citizens Bank Park, Cristopher Sánchez earned the kind of standing ovation a pitcher rarely receives after allowing a run. His streak of 50⅔ scoreless innings—the fifth-longest in MLB history—had come to an end, and Philadelphia thanked him with a full minute of applause. A beautiful moment. But there was another story unfolding that night, and it belonged to the pitcher who shut down the Phillies from the Padres’ mound. Walker Buehler delivered six strong innings. A performance that, twelve months ago, would have seemed almost impossible. Buehler arrived in San Diego after two seasons that tested the patience of anyone who still believed in him. In 2024, with the Red Sox, his overall Run Value fell into the 2nd percentile. His fastball produced negative value, opponents posted a .424 xwOBA against him, and they slugged .583. He was a pitcher who had survived two Tommy John surgeries but still hadn’t figured out how to be himself again on a major-league mound. What Statcast shows in 2026 tells an entirely different story. Percentile Rankings — Walker Buehler Metric 2024 2025 2026 Pitching Run Value 2 13 83 Fastball Run Value 6 19 98 Breaking Ball Run Value 1 12 83 xERA 18 6 29 The number that jumps off the page is that fastball Run Value in the 98th percentile. Not because the pitch is faster; in fact, Buehler is averaging 92.4 mph this season, virtually identical to 2025. Rather, it's because he’s dominating in a completely different way: location, timing, and situational usage. A 92-mph fastball ranking in the 98th percentile for value generated is the signature of a pitcher who knows exactly how and when to throw it. The contact-quality results back it up. Hitters are doing far less damage when they make contact. Year-to-Year Changes — Contact Quality Against Metric 2024 2025 2026 Change (25-26) Opponent SLG .506 .437 .348 −.089 Opponent wOBA .370 .348 .300 −.048 Opponent xwOBA .336 .355 .337 −.018 Barrel Rate (%) 7 9.5 8.1 −1.4 Hard-Hit Rate (%) 37.8 37.8 40.7 2.9 Average Exit Velocity (mph) 88.3 87.9 90.4 2.5 There’s an apparent contradiction in those numbers that deserves attention. His average exit velocity and Hard-Hit% have both ticked upward, yet the slugging percentage and wOBA have dropped significantly. What that tells us is that Buehler is allowing hard contact in less damaging situations (bases empty, two outs, and counts where the damage can be managed). And there’s another trend supporting that conclusion: Buehler’s remarkable adjustment in finishing hitters off once he gets to two strikes. The league has hit just .114 against him in those situations, while producing the lowest Barrel/BBE rate (3.1%) of his career. Opponents’ xSLG in two-strike counts has fallen from .328 during his final season with the Dodgers in 2024 to just .236 this year. Part of that improvement has come through broader adjustments across his game. His command has improved dramatically. His walk rate has dropped from 10.6% in 2025 to 8.2% in 2026, while his strikeout rate has climbed from 16.3% to 20.1%. Fewer walks and more strikeouts is exactly the combination his arsenal needed to become consistently effective again. Plate Discipline — Buehler 2026 vs. Career Metric 2024 2025 2026 Career Average K% 18.6 16.3 20.1 24.1 BB% 8.1 10.6 8.2 7.3 First-Pitch Strike Rate (%) 60.5 63.5 66.8 64 Chase Rate (%) 24.5 25.8 27.9 29.2 Whiff Rate (%) 19.4 19.2 19.7 24.3 That 66.8% first-pitch strike rate is the highest of his recent career and reflects a pitcher attacking hitters from pitch one. His 27.9% Chase Rate still sits below his career norm, which suggests there may be even more room for growth. But the trend is unmistakable, and it’s moving in the right direction. What makes all of this particularly significant is where he started. Going from the 2nd percentile to the 83rd percentile in overall Run Value over two years isn’t simply a minor adjustment. It’s a complete reconstruction, carried out quietly, far from the spotlight that follows Los Angeles, in a city and an organization willing to bet on him when few others would. View the full article

Twins System Recap: Marek Houston and Riley Quick both had big weekends for the Kernels, even with Cedar Rapids being rained out on Sunday. Also, the unlikely bash brother duo of Kyler Fedko and Aaron Sabato continued to slug, Merit Jones stayed rolling for Fort Myers, and Wichita embraced a new identity. View the full article

Opting for a bat over a full bullpen for at least a day, the Boston Red Sox have called up outfielder Nate Eaton from Triple-A Worcester on Monday. To make room, recently acquired left-handed reliever Joe La Sorsa was optioned to Triple-A. The Red Sox open a three-game road series against the Tampa Bay Rays on Monday. Eaton, who has 113 games of MLB experience with the Red Sox and Kansas City Royals, is in the majors for the first time this season. At Worcester, the right-handed hitter was slashing .283/.348/.450 with five homers, 22 RBIs and eight steals in 48 games. He has a career MLB slash line of .233/.293/.317 with two homers, 17 RBIs and 23 steals. In 41 games with the Red Sox last year, he had a .296/.348/.383 slash line, hitting a homer, driving in four and stealing nine bases. La Sorsa was acquired last week from the Pittsburgh Pirates after exercising an upward mobility clause in his contract. He appeared in just one game, Sunday's 6-1 loss to the New York Yankees, giving up a three-run homer to Jazz Chisholm Jr. before recording the final out of the eighth inning. A move regarding the pitching staff is likely before Wednesday as the Red Sox have yet to announce a starting pitcher for that game. View the full article

Matt Shaw is ready to return to Chicago, according to ESPN reporter Jesse Rogers: Shaw, nursing a sore back, will replace Kevin Alcantara on the big league roster. Currently, Shaw is hitting .242 with a .297 OBP in part-time work for the Cubs. In four rehab games, he hit .286 with a .375 OBP and zero home runs. Shaw will look to give struggling regulars like Alex Bregman, Nico Hoerner, and Dansby Swanson some rest as well as logging time in the outfield, where he played some in his brief rehab stint. Alcantara played sparingly in his 17 games in Chicago, and his baserunning gaffe late in Sunday's game likely was the last straw for manager Craig Counsell. He'll take a .111 batting average with him and look to further develop in Iowa, where he'll have consistent playing time. View the full article

Chicago Cubs Minor League Report - June 8 Affiliate Overview Triple-A Iowa Cubs Series vs. Toledo Mud Hens (Detroit Tigers): Mud Hens win, 4-1 Season Record: 25–36 Double-A Knoxville Smokies Series at Birmingham Barons (Chicago White Sox): Smokies win, 4-2 Season Record: 30–26 High-A South Bend Cubs Series at Quad Cities River Bandits (Kansas City Royals): Cubs win, 4-2 Season Record: 34–19 Single-A Myrtle Beach Pelicans Series at Charleston RiverDogs (Tampa Bay Rays): RiverDogs win, 6-0 Season Record: 21–34 Affiliate Highlights Triple-A: Iowa Cubs Season Record: 25–36 Series Opponent: Toledo Mud Hens (30–32) Series Standing: Lose, 4-1 June 7: The Iowa Cubs had their series finale with the Toledo Mud Hens on Sunday canceled due to inclement weather. The Cubs will be back in action on Tuesday at Louisville. Double-A: Knoxville Smokies Season Record: 30–26 Series Opponent: Birmingham Barons (21–35) Series Standing: Win, 4-2 June 7: The Knoxville Smokies earned a series win with a 7-4 victory over the Birmingham Barons on Sunday, extending their winning streak to four games. Hayden Cantrelle’s (1-for-3) two-run double in the second got the Smokies on the board first but the Barons responded with three in the third to take the lead. Jefferson Rojas (2-for-4) put Knoxville back in front with a two-run shot, his third homer in his last two games. The Smokies added two more in the sixth through an RBI-single from Carter Trice (1-for-3) and an RBI-groundout from Karson Simas (0-for-4) to make it 6-3. The two sides traded their final runs of the contest in the seventh, with the Smokies earning their tally on an Owen Ayers (2-for-4) RBI-single. Brooks Caple earned the win in the start to improve to 2-0 on the season. Caple tossed five innings of three-run ball, allowing five hits to go along with seven strikeouts with no walks issued. Vince Reilly converted his fifth save of the campaign with two shutout frames to close the ballgame, allowing just one hit to go along with one strikeout and one walk. High-A: South Bend Cubs Season Record: 34–19 Series Opponent: Quad Cities River Bandits (24–30) Series Standing: Win, 4-2 June 7: The South Bend Cubs had their series finale at the Quad Cities River Bandits canceled due to rain. The Cubs will be back in action on Tuesday when they host the Peoria Chiefs. Single-A: Myrtle Beach Pelicans Season Record: 21–34 Series Opponent: Charleston RiverDogs (32–25) Series Standing: Lose, 6-0 June 7: The Myrtle Beach Pelicans dropped their seventh-straight contest as they were swept by the Charleston RiverDogs following a 5-4 defeat on Sunday. Both teams went scoreless through the first five innings, with Pelicans starter Pierce Coppola working all five of those frames. Coppola, who took no decision on the mound, allowed just one hit and whiffed five batters while allowing just one walk. The RiverDogs would break the deadlock in the sixth with a pair of runs but Myrtle Beach stormed back to take the lead with three runs in the seventh. The Pelicans tallied their first run of the frame on an error before Eli Lovich (1-for-4) drove in a pair with a double. Charleston would go back in front after the stretch with two runs to make it 4-3. Jairo Diaz (2-for-4) knotted the contest at 4-4 but Myrtle Beach again could not turn in a shutdown inning as the RiverDogs went back in front with a run in the home half of the frame. The Pelicans would put runners on first and second in their final chance of the game but could not push the tying run across. View the full article

The non-linearity of player development is especially important to remember for someone like Brandon Winokur. Had he honored a college commitment instead of signing professionally, the former high school standout would have only become draft-eligible this summer. Instead, he has already spent parts of four seasons in professional baseball, learning how to transform tremendous athletic gifts into on-field performance. The Twins believed in that upside when they selected Winokur in the third round of the 2023 MLB Draft. Standing 6-foot-6 and playing shortstop, he was one of the most uncommon athletes available that year. Scouts saw flashes of five-tool ability, but questions surrounding his hit tool and signability caused some organizations to look elsewhere. Minnesota was willing to bet on the upside, signing him for a $1.5 million bonus that reflected the confidence typically reserved for a second-round pick. Since entering the organization, Winokur has shown both why evaluators were intrigued and why he remains a work in progress. His first two full professional seasons featured stretches of exciting production mixed with understandable growing pains. The numbers did not always jump off the page, but the underlying tools consistently did. Last season with High-A Cedar Rapids, Winokur showcased the rare power-speed combination that makes him such an intriguing prospect. He tied for the Midwest League lead with 17 home runs while stealing 26 bases, giving a glimpse of the impact player he could become. Power has never been the question. Winokur possesses some of the best raw power in the Twins farm system. The challenge has been accessing it consistently during games. Earlier in his professional career, his swing path often kept him from consistently finding the barrel, resulting in weakly hit balls to the opposite field or ground balls pulled to the left. The focus has been on making mechanical adjustments that allow his natural strength to translate into more authoritative contact. The results are beginning to show. Through 54 games this season, Winokur owns a .268/.389/.444 slash line with 10 doubles, two triples, and seven home runs. Perhaps even more encouraging is the growth in his approach. After posting an 8.3% walk rate across his first two full seasons, that number has climbed to 14.6% in 2026. His strikeout rate remains elevated, at 30.0%, the highest mark he has posted since rookie ball, but the tradeoff is leading to better overall offensive production. Last season, Winokur produced a 98 wRC+ with Cedar Rapids, essentially league-average offense. This year, that figure has jumped to 119. His batting average has climbed more than 40 points after hitting .226 across 122 games in 2025. Advanced metrics paint a similarly encouraging picture, with his wOBA rising from .327 to .389. Much of that improvement stems from the quality of contact he is generating. His line-drive rate has increased dramatically from 19.4% a season ago to 30.9% this year. Instead of relying solely on flashes of athleticism, Winokur is making more consistent hard contact and forcing opposing pitchers to work around him. His slugging average on contact (SLGCON), which is a solid indicator of how a young player's power is playing overall, is up from .536 last season to .698. The athleticism remains a major part of his profile, as well. When Minnesota drafted him, many evaluators assumed his size would eventually push him off shortstop. His combination of agility and athleticism has allowed him to spend far more time at the position than initially expected. This season, however, the organization has started increasing his workload elsewhere. He has made 24 starts at third base, 12 at shortstop, and another 18 in center field. That defensive versatility only adds to his value. His plus arm fits naturally at third base, while his speed allows him to cover significant ground in the outfield. As he continues adding strength to his frame, it would not be surprising to see more of his future defensive opportunities come at third base and in the outfield, rather than at shortstop. The biggest takeaway from Winokur's 2026 season is that progress is becoming visible. He's controlling the strike zone better, driving the ball with more authority, and producing more consistently than he did a year ago. The Twins have always believed there was significant upside hiding beneath the rawness, and this season has provided some of the strongest evidence yet that their evaluation was correct. That progress was recognized recently when Winokur earned Cedar Rapids Kernels Player of the Month honors for May. He led the club and ranked second in the Midwest League with 33 hits during the month, while batting .333 with four home runs, four doubles, and 17 RBI. There's still work to be done. The strikeouts need to come down, and continued offensive refinement will determine whether he reaches his ceiling. However, it is important to remember that Winokur will spend the entire 2026 season as a 21-year-old. Increasingly, the minor leagues have been compressed, and expectations of prospects' development have been accelerated. Sometimes, that distorts perceptions of players who are taking a perfectly normal amount of time to blossom. Winokur doesn't even have to be added to the 40-man roster to be shielded from the Rule 5 Draft until next November. For a player who wouldn’t have entered the professional ranks yet had he chosen the college route, the development is arriving right on time. More importantly for the Twins, Winokur is beginning to look a lot like the player they envisioned when they made one of the most ambitious bets of the 2023 draft. What stands out about Winokur in 2026? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View the full article

Abner Uribe is one of the most dynamic closers in baseball, and this lightning rod of energy belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff. Whether it’s his electric sinker or the mannerisms that follow a key out, this is someone who has the baseball world’s attention. But if you look into his advanced analytics, you’ll find something even more notable. Background Uribe is a 25-year-old, hard-throwing right-handed pitcher who is originally from the Dominican Republic. The Brewers’ reliever has now appeared in four major-league seasons, with 142 2/3 innings and 166 strikeouts. He’s not only been quite productive, but dominant, with a 2.21 ERA since the start of 2025. Last season, the Brewers utilized him practically every other night, and he proved to be one of the most impactful hurlers in the game. Strengths In 2026, you need to throw hard. There are a few finesse-driven success stories out there, but the name of the game—especially for relievers—is having top-end velocity that speeds up the clock of a hitter and makes their job that much more difficult. The flame-throwing closer passes that test with flying colors, as he clocks in with an average fastball velocity of 98.3 miles per hour. While harder-thrown pitches can come right back and have more zip on them when they come off the bat, Uribe has been an expert at avoiding quality contact. His 3.2% barrel rate is one of the best in the game, directly correlating to a 33.3% hard-hit percentage. Above all else, this is someone who can consistently force opposing hitters to beat the ball into the ground. Look no further than his 49.2% ground ball rate, a mark well above average. Pitch Mix Unlike starting pitchers, the quality of pitches really outweighs the variance of a relief pitcher’s arsenal. In Uribe’s case, his bread and butter has been a 1-2 punch that has worked for the last four seasons. His sinker, which he utilizes 65% of the time, can saw off the swing of opposing right-handed hitters or run away from lefties. Uribe’s slider, which he uses on 35% of pitches, couldn’t be more stark in its differences from the sinker. Not only does it buzz in at 86.6 mph, almost a 12-mph difference, but it bites glove-side. Opposing batters are hitting just .200 against it through the first third of the season. Weakness One fallback to lock in on is the righty’s wavering command. While both of his options can bend between 12-18 inches in opposite directions, his 9.5% walk rate is worse than average. He’s relying more on the sinker now than in years past, as it's faring better (.236 BAA vs. .248 BAA last year), but if one of his pitches isn’t on, he’s essentially pigeon-holed between sticking it out or pivoting to his only other option. There is also, of course, the constant question of how well Uribe is controlling himself emotionally. It takes a certain poise to win in key, late-game moments, and he hasn't always demonstrated that mental toughness. Outlook Uribe isn't and won't be the team's sole closer any time soon. He's sharing that role with Trevor Megill, and indeed, Megill is getting more of the save chances lately. However, because of that ability to induce weak and ground-ball contact (as well as racking up the punchouts), Uribe is very much a co-relief ace for the Brewers, and one of the best righty relievers in the National League. View the full article

San Diego Padres Weekly Snapshot Record last week: 1-5 Runs scored last week: 14 Runs allowed last week: 26 (season run differential: minus-18) Standings Scores Monday: No game Game 59 (Tuesday): Phillies 3, Padres 2 Game 60 (Wednesday): Phillies 3, Padres 2 Game 61 (Thursday): Phillies 6, Padres 4 Game 62 (Friday): Mets 5, Padres 0 Game 63 (Saturday): Padres 3, Mets 2 Game 64 (Sunday): Mets 7, Padres 3 Week in Review and Highlights Phillies series Game 1: You get a sense of where you really stand when you play teams you think are on your level. For the Padres, facing the Philadelphia Phillies for six games over a 10-day span has not been a battle of equals. The Padres lost for the fourth time in as many games to the Phillies, dropping a 3-2 decision in a game in which the Friars got another decent starting pitching performance, only to be outdone by an opponent's starter. Padres right-handed starter Randy Vasquez bounced back from two subpar performances to go five innings and give up two runs on five hits and a walk with three strikeouts. The runs he surrendered were courtesy of Bryce Harper's two-run homer in the fourth inning that tied the game. But again, the Padres had trouble denting the scoreboard. Having called up outfielder Jase Bowen before the game to make his MLB debut as left fielder Ramon Laureano hit the injured list with with hip inflammation, the Padres struck for a pair of runs in the third inning. Fernando Tatis Jr. singled with two outs and Gavin Sheets, one of the few offensive positives thus far, smashed a two-run homer for his 10th of the season, matching Manny Machado for the team lead. But that would be the extent of the Padres' scoring against Phillies right-handed starter Aaron Nola and four relievers. Nola struck out eight over five innings and the Phillies' version of a lockdown closer, Jhoan Duran, punched out three in earning his 13th save. The Phillies grabbed the lead on a run-scoring double play. The Padres got runners on in the seventh and eighth innings, including Bowen's first MLB hit in the seventh that put runners on the corners, but couldn't push across the tying run. Game 2: Different day, same score, same result. While the Padres brought a pitcher's lengthy shutout streak to an end, a roster shakeup couldn't wake up the offense. On the day the Padres designated Nick Castellanos for assignment, they did manage to score a run of Phillies left-handed ace Cristopher Sanchez, but fell 3-2. It was the second four-game losing streak for the Friars in their last nine games. Four games is their longest skid this year. Sanchez entered the game having not allowed a run in 44⅔ innings and added six more to move up to fifth all time, the last 13 of which came against the Padres after he threw seven shutout last week at Petco Park. He did finish seven innings again, striking out eight and allowing just four hits. The positives for the Padres are that they finally ended the scoreless streak by last year's NL Cy Young Award runner-up. That came in the seventh as, with two outs, Ty France doubled to left and Jackson Merrill bounced a hard grounder through the left side of the infield and into left field. France chugged home from second and scored without a play as the throw was off the mark and took multiple hops before reaching the catcher. That snapped Sanchez's streak at 50⅔ innings (only completed innings count, which is why it isn't 51⅓), and tied the game 1-1. It was the first run Sanchez had allowed since April 30. But the Phillies scored twice in the bottom of the seventh on solo homers by J.T. Realmuto and Kyle Schwarber, the MLB leader with 23, against right-hander Jason Adam. The Padres fought back in the eighth as Tatis and Miguel Andujar singled with one out, Sheets walked after Machado struck out to load the bases and Xander Bogaerts was hit by a pitch to force in a run to bring it to 3-2. France, however, hit an inning-ending grounder. The Padres were able to rally and make it close thanks to right-handed starter Walker Buehler, who was allowed to finish six innings for just the second time as a Friar. He gave up four hits and a run, while walking two and punching out six, including Schwarber twice. Duran pitched a perfect ninth for his second save in as many games and 14th of the season. Game 3: Following their season-worst fifth loss in a row and ninth loss in 10 games, a 6-4 decision that completed a sweep by the Phillies, Machado had this to say: “I don’t think it can get worse.” Well, it could, but point taken. The offense has been miserable and the pitching hasn't been as expected. On this day, the defense chipped into the downfall. An aspect of the game in which the Friars are one of of MLB's best committed two miscues, one by a reliever and the other by catcher Freddy Fermin. Right-handed starter Lucas Giolito lasted just four innings (74 pitches), allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits with five strikeouts. The Padres were kept in by right-handed starter Zach Wheeler, who took a no-hitter into the sixth inning and had a 3-0 lead before giving up a two-run bomb by Machado in the top of the seventh. Wheeler struck out eight and the Friars only managed only two hits. Just when it seemed like Machado might give the Padres a chance, left-handed reliever Adrian Morejon diminished that hope by giving up three runs in the bottom of the seventh. Some of the late-inning magic was back as Merrill hit a two-run homer with no outs in the top of the ninth, but the next three batters were retired to finish off the sweep. The Padres finished the road trip 1-5 and now head home to face the New York Mets, who are struggling themselves. Mets series Game 1: After facing perhaps the hottest team in the NL East, the Padres welcomed the worst team in that division as their stretch of 12 consecutive games against the East hit its final leg. The bad news is the Friars' fortunes didn't change. On a day one of their position players was possibly lost for the season and a key reliever went on the injured list, the Padres couldn't do anything offensively, mustering a mere three hits in a 5-0 loss to the New York Mets, the Friars' six consecutive loss, a season worst, and their 10th in 11 games. Right-handed starter Christian Scott, who began the season in the minors, blanked the Padres through 5⅔ innings, giving up all three hits with two walks and three strikeouts. Tatis had a leadoff single in the fifth, France started the second with a single and Machado finished Scott's day with a sixth-inning single. Rodolfo Duran drew both walks and was the only Padre to reach second base. That was it. Padres right-handed starter Michael King was off just a bit. He went six innings and gave up four runs and six his, walking none and striking out four. But King gave up a pair of homers to some lesser-known Mets in Jared Young and Luis Torrens and an RBI triple by Bo Bichette. Right-hander David Morgan returned from the minors with two shutout innings. Superstar closer Mason Miller, pitching for the first time in a week, was only able to get two outs and gave up his fourth run of the season on A.J. Ewing's single and two stolen bases, then an RBI single by Brett Baty. It capped a day in which Laureano had hip surgery, with his return this year in doubt, while right-handed reliever Jeremiah Estrada went on the 15-day injured list with inflammation in his right knee. Game 2: Sometimes you just need that little bounce. When Tatis' third-inning single nutmegged the pitcher and caromed off second base into shallow right field for an RBI single, you had to think the tide, at least for this day, was going the Padres' way. And it did. Getting an unlikely go-ahead home run from the slumping Fermin, the Padres eeked out a 3-2 victory over the Mets, snapping their six-game skid, the longest of the season. Could it be a sign of better things to come? Only the upcoming games will tell that story. But for this Saturday night, there was a little hint of that Padres magic that marked their April performance. There were only five hits from the Friars and they came from three players (Tatis had two, Sung-Mun Song had two and Fermin the other), so there is still work to do there. But a win is a win. Tatis' third-inning single brought in Song from second and tied the game. The Mets took a 2-1 lead in the top of the seventh on a Marcus Semien leadoff homer. After being held down for six innings by Mets rookie right-handed starter Nolan McLean, the Padres were on the verge of another scoreless inning in the bottom of the seventh against right-handed reliever Austin Warren, who retired the first two hitters. Song reached on a soft single that was deflected by Warren, then Fermin and his 0-for-30 slump came to the plate. He had just four extra-base hits and no homers, but changed that when he jumped on a 94.4 mph first-pitch sinker and launched it into the left-center field bleachers for a game-changing two-run homer. It also helped turn a nice pitching performance into a victory. Right-hander Griffin Canning turned in his best effort since his season debut May 3. He limited the Mets to three hits over five innings, allowing one run with two walks and six punchouts. He overcame a 29-pitch second inning by facing the minimum in three innings. Morejon pitched a scoreless sixth, then Bradgley Rodriguez gave up Semien's seventh-inning blast and Adam overcome a pair of eighth-inning hits to put up a zero. That left the fate of the losing streak in Miller's hands. Pitching for the first time in a week, Miller withstood a two-out walk to notch his 18th save in as many chances. Game 3: While you could have considered this a soft spot in the schedule for the Padres and a chance to get things back on the right track, that turned out to not be the case. The Mets, the last-place team in the NL East, came into Petco Park and took two of three from the Padres following a 7-3 victory n the finale. The Mets were the first of four consecutive teams that are currently below .500 the Padres will face. While there were signs of life from the offense, the pitching was the bigger letdown Sunday. Right-handed starter Randy Vasquez lasted just four-plus innings and gave up four runs on eight hits, including a homer, with a pair of walks and three strikeouts. He through 75 pitches, with 49 strikes. Vasquez was lifted after giving up three singles and a walk to begin the fifth inning, which led to two more runs and a 4-0 Mets lead. The Padres did get on the board in the bottom of the fifth. Samad Taylor, a Corona native who was called up to replace Castellanos and had family see him playing for the first time in person as he made his first Petco Park start, had a one-out single, which was followed by Fermin's second homer of the season. But the Mets got those two runs back in the top of the sixth and added another in the eighth before the Padres put up a brief rally in the ninth, getting an RBI double from Fermin. Fermin has three of his seven extra-base hits this season in his last two games. There was an injury to keep an eye on. Andujar was removed in the seventh inning, an out after singling, with a hamstring injury. The hope is that it recovers in the next day or two and won't necessitate going on the injured list. The six-game homestand continues against the Cincinnati Reds, before heading out for a nine-game road trip beginning with the Baltimore Orioles. Marvelous Mason Miller Some of the amazing stats for the Padres' closer: Season stats: 1-1, 1.01 ERA, 26 games, 18 saves (18 chances), 26⅔ IP, 12 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 12 BB, 51 K, .132 opponent average Named NL Reliever of the Month for May, the third straight month he has reaped the honor. He has been a Padre for four months of the last two regular seasons. Hall of Famer Trevor Hoffman is the only other Friar to win the award three times. Went 7-for-7 in save opportunities in May, striking out 20 over 9⅔ innings. With his lone strikeout Friday, he became the first Padres pitcher to strike out 50 within his first 100 batters of the season. Miller and Josh Hader are the only pitchers in MLB history to do this multiple times. Has allowed a run in two of his last five outings and in just three of his 26 appearances. Has not given up an extra-base hit in his last 46 appearances, the second-longest streak behind Alan Embree's 47. Random Stats From June 1, 2024, to June 1 this year (Monday), the Padres have the third-best record in MLB at 184-138 (.571). Only the Los Angeles Dodgers (.594) and Milwaukee Brewers (.593) have a better winning percentage. In his start Wednesday, Walker Buehler reached 97 mph on his four-seam fastball for the first time this season and averaged more than 95 mph on that pitch for the first time since June 2025. The six-game season sweep at the hands of the Phillies was the first of at least that length for the Friars since 2005, when the Phillies also took six games. Manny Machado's two-run homer Thursday was his 800th career extra-base hit, one of seven active players to reach that mark. Machado is slashing just .169/.254/.342 with 60 strikeouts in 62 games, a 23.3% strikeout rate. His career mark is 17.7%. He has walked 10.3%, up from his 8.3% career mark. Fernando Tatis Jr. walked and singled in five plate appearances Sunday. He has now reached base in 33 of his last 77 plate appearances, with multi-hit performances in seven of his last 13 games. The Padres had not lost any of their last four series vs. the Mets, winning three and splitting the other, before dropping this one. Transactions Monday: Signed free-agent RHP Jesus Heredia to a minor-league contract. Tuesday: Transferred RHP Nick Pivetta (right elbow inflammation) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Tuesday: Placed LF Ramón Laureano on the 10-day injured list retroactive to Sunday with right hip inflammation. Tuesday: Selected the contract of CF Jase Bowen from Triple-A El Paso. Wednesday: Designated RF Nick Castellanos for assignment. Wednesday: Selected the contract of IF-OF Samad Taylor from Triple-A El Paso. Wednesday: Signed free-agent OF Luis Sanchez to a minor-league contract. Friday: Transferred LF Ramón Laureano (right hip surgery) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day injured list. Friday: Placed RHP Jeremiah Estrada on the 15-day injured list retroactive to Wednesday with right knee inflammation. Friday: Recalled RHP David Morgan from Triple-A El Paso. Friday: Activated RHP Jhony Brito from the 60-day injured list and optioned him to Triple-A El Paso. Friday: Released RF Nick Castellanos. Website Highlights Padres finally untangle themselves from Castellanos — Steve Drumwright Inside the emotional breakthrough of Tatis' first homer of 2026 — Taylor Leonard France is a reminder that baseball isn't one size fits all — N.B. Lindberg Tatis is opening new avenues for Padres with his play at second base — Tom Gatto Fermin trade has been a disaster for the Padres — Steve Drumwright Looking Ahead Monday: Reds (Andrew Abbott) at Padres (Walker Buehler), 6:40 p.m. Tuesday: Reds (Chase Burns) at Padres (Lucas Giolito), 6:40 p.m. Wednesday: Reds (Brady Singer) at Padres (Michael King), 1:10 p.m. Thursday: Off Friday: Padres at Orioles (Griffin Canning), 4:05 p.m. Saturday: Padres at Orioles (Randy Vasquez), 1:05 p.m. Sunday: Padres at Orioles (Walker Buehler), 10:35 a.m. View the full article

Once again in 2026, I will be monitoring Miami Marlins predictions from our valued SuperSubs, Fish On First staffers and livestream guests. Individual article pages like this one will be created prior to every Marlins series and featured prominently on the FOF site. Consistent participation is key if you want to win this annual contest. Submissions only take a few seconds. Scoring system A "perfect" series is worth three points: Earn one point for predicting which team will win the upcoming series Earn one point for predicting the precise number of victories for each team Earn one point for predicting the “Series MVP” who accumulated the highest win probability added (WPA) during the series as calculated by FanGraphs (could pick a player from either team) FOF SuperSub Nicholas Milton and FOF staffer Jeremiah Geiger are currently tied atop the 2026 season leaderboard, which will be updated between every Marlins series. If you are a SuperSub, leave a comment with your Prediction Time picks on this page, or join the Marlins Discord Server and submit there. We'll feature them on the upcoming Fish On First LIVE episode and track your points throughout the season! Any picks submitted prior to the first pitch of the series opener will be counted. If you are not a SuperSub, please consider signing up here to support the FOF staff. Series preview notes Probable starting pitchers: RHP Max Meyer (MIA) vs. RHP Zac Gallen (AZ) on Tuesday RHP Ryan Gusto (MIA) vs. RHP Ryne Nelson (AZ) on Wednesday TBA (MIA) vs. RHP Merrill Kelly (AZ) on Thursday The Marlins rank 20th in MLB with a 96 wRC+ and 12th in MLB with a 3.95 FIP. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and have a 20-16 record at home this season. The following Marlins players are on the injured list: Griffin Conine (60-day IL), Josh Ekness (15-day IL), Ronny Henriquez (60-day IL), Janson Junk (15-day IL), Adam Mazur (60-day IL), Andrew Nardi (60-day IL), Eury Pérez (15-day IL) and Robby Snelling (60-day IL). The Diamondbacks rank 24th in MLB with a 93 wRC+ and 22nd in MLB with a 4.40 FIP. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have a 13-17 record on the road this season. The following Diamondbacks players are on the injured list: Corbin Burnes (60-day UL), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (10-day IL), Jordan Lawlar (60-day IL), Justin Martinez (60-day IL), James McCann (10-day IL), Cristian Mena (60-day IL), A.J. Puk (60-day IL), Andrew Saalfrank (60-day IL), Carlos Santana (60-day IL) and Blake Walston (60-day IL). View the full article