DiamondCentric

Box Score Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober - 5.2 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 2 BB, 2 K (99 pitches, 64 strikes (64.6% strikes)) Home Runs: None Top 3 WPA: Byron Buxton (0.11), Luke Keaschall (0.08), Bailey Ober (0.08) Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs) Coming Out Swinging The Twins wasted no time setting the tone Wednesday night, coming out absolutely electric in the first inning against Framber Valdez. From the first pitch, it was everything fans had been craving—relentless pressure, smart baserunning, and clutch contact. Byron Buxton ignited the attack with a leadoff single, Austin Martin followed by wasting one of the team's ABS challenges on a first-pitch strike, but Valdez helped him out by hitting him in the foot with a second-pitch curveball. Luke Keaschall notched an infield single to load the bases, almost instantly. Valdez, the expensive ace southpaw with whom Detroit envisioned pairing Tarik Skubal for a deep run into October, melted under the home side's light application of heat. A wild pitch brought Buxton flying home, while Martin and Keaschall scooted up. Ryan Jeffers kept the momentum rolling with an RBI groundout, and Victor Caratini showed patience at the plate with a walk. Then Josh Bell delivered, flaring a single to left-center on which Keaschall got a poor read but made the right, aggressive play by racing home anyway. His flying slide beat the throw home, and it was 3-0 Minnesota. Perhaps the biggest jolt came from Matt Wallner—who entered the game ice cold, at 0-for-20. He heated up like a pan-seared steak with a sizzling double to right field, eerily close to where his previous attempt had just gone foul. That swing brought Caratini home (a ribeye!) and pushed Bell to third, sending the crowd into a frenzy as the team's three beefiest sluggers showed what passes for their speed. With the energy surging, Royce Lewis stepped in and delivered the dagger: a sharp single to center that plated two more runs and blew the game open, at 6-0. Lewis wasn’t done, swiping second and advancing to third, keeping the pressure alive until the inning finally came full circle—ending with Buxton, who started it all, grounding out to shortstop Javier Báez. Six runs, nonstop action, and a statement made loud and clear: the Twins haven't mentally made room for the Tigers atop the AL Central. The top of the order combined to tack on another run in the fourth, thanks to Buxton's speed. He singled, advanced to second on a Martin groundout, and hared around on a Keaschall single to make it a 7-0 cushion. After that, though, the hit parade ended abruptly. The Twins would score just once more, and the tone of the game changed significantly. Holding on Tight The Tigers would charge back to make a game of this (more on that in a moment), so Minnesota was lucky to have Ryan Jeffers catching again Wednesday. After Martin squandered one of their challenges early, they managed to retain the other into the late stages—at which point Jeffers flipped two crucial calls amid a Detroit rally, snatching two called third strikes initially not given by home plate umpire Steven Jaschinski. Ober Shows, and Bullpen Woes It was a great night for Bailey Ober, who continues to evolve into a kitchen-sink starter as he searches for mechanical efficiency and the velocity that he had two years ago. Turning more and more often to his trademark changeup and mixing in some new wrinkles (curveballs in the first two innings, instead of as late changes of pace; sweepers to lefties, acting like curves but looking more enticing out of the hand), he danced through five scoreless innings and appeared to have the team in cruise control. Ober returned through the top of the sixth, but things started to slowly unravel. Derek Shelton got him out of there after a two-out Dillon Dingler single plated the second Detroit run; Justin Topa cleaned up the mess. Anthony Banda was not able to keep things so calm. The Tigers bunched together four hits against him in the top of the seventh, and when he couldn't escape, Cole Sands came in to face Dingler—who, alas, again came through with a two-out knock, drawing the margin to 8-6. The improbable high-leverage duo of Cody Laweryson and Kody Funderburk took the team the rest of the way, with some help from Jeffers. Martin’s Defense continues to improve The younger players have been inconsistent when it comes to making plays, but one reassuring development has come in left field. In 2024, Martin stepped in frequently during Buxton’s absence, and that gap was noticeable. He struggled with routine plays, poor reads, and missed opportunities that ultimately cost runs. This season, however, something has clicked. Martin’s defense is starting to resemble that of his center-field mentor, Buxton. Even first base coach Grady Sizemore told Audra Martin in an interview before the game that during spring training, he saw a slight change in Martin (er, Austin, that is). So far, he’s been flawless, and he made three fine plays on Wednesday. What’s Next? The Twins finish out the series against the Tigers in a day game, before leaving the chilly temps in Minnesota and heading to Toronto—where, even if the weather isn't nicer, the playing conditions will be, since the Rogers Centre has a roof. The Twins will send Mick Abel to the mound (0-2, 11,05 ERA) in the series finale on getaway day, to face Jack Flaherty (0-1 7.54 ERA). Postgame Interviews Coming soon. Bullpen Availability Chart View the full article

TRANSACTIONS No moves were made on Wednesday. Saints Sentinel St. Paul 4, Toledo 3 (12 Innings) Box Score Matt Bowman: 2 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K HR: Gabriel Gonzalez (2) Multi-hit games: None It was a bullpen game for the Saints. Matt Bowman “started”—something he’s only done once in the big leagues—and passed the ball down the line after two shutout innings. Raul Brito covered the next three frames with cromulent professionalism; he allowed one run with four strikeouts. A remarkably beardless John Brebbia added a pair of scoreless innings to the mix, which begat Marco Raya who—wouldn’t you know—pitched two empty frames. By the time Dan Altavilla entered, the path from the bullpen to the mound was a trench. Despite the heroic efforts by the hodgepodge of relievers, Saints hitters couldn’t adequately support the cause. They slogged. Toledo pitchers earned whiffs in bunches. For about two turns of Pink Floyd’s “The Wall,” a Gabriel Gonzalez RBI groundout in the first stood as their only run. Early extras Manfred runners did nothing to incite offense in either team. Toledo loaded the bases with no one out in the 10th, but Altavilla wriggled out of the situation with the tie intact. The two squads exchanged runs in the 12th before Gabriel Gonzalez finally pushed forth a vigorous offense outburst, slamming a hanging breaker just inside the foul pole. The Mud Hens fired back with a run, but the single score was all they had left in them; Trent Baker allowed no further damage and locked down the victory for the Saints. Two former Twins farmhands pitched for the Mud Hens: Sawyer Gipson-Long, and Bryan Sammons. The Saints struck out 20 times and recorded just five hits. Max Clark—MLB’s eighth-best prospect—played center field for Toledo, collecting three hits and a walk. Wind Surge Wisdom Wichita 2, Arkansas 1 Box Score Ryan Gallagher: 5 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 2 BB, 6 K HR: None Multi-hit games: None Wichita squeaked out a win on Wednesday. Arkansas batters were putty in Ryan Gallagher’s hands; the UC Santa Barbara product surrendered just one hit across five shutout frames, punching out six in what was one of his finest starts since joining the Twins organization last July. The righty only allowed a runner to reach scoring position twice. Ty Langenberg followed suit with even more overwhelming stuff, earning six of his eight outs via the K. In total, Wichita hurlers earned 15 strikeouts on Wednesday. The Wind Surge plated their two runs with a fifth-inning rally. With one out, Maddux Houghton doubled, and Kyle DeBarge walked to set up Ben Ross with an opportunity to put Wichita on the board. He came through, singling to left to plate Houghton, as DeBarge scampered to third. Hendry Mendez then summoned DeBarge home with a sacrifice fly. Wichita stole three bases on Wednesday, pushing their season total to 12, good for the 2nd-most in the Texas League. Kyle DeBarge walked three times. His season OBP is .458. The Travelers are an affiliate in the juggernaut Mariners farm system. Always a talented group, Arkansas put forth a pair of top-100 prospects: Lazaro Montes, ranked 40th; and Michael Arroyo, ranked 63rd. Montes went 0-3, with a walk and three strikeouts, while Arroyo also fell hitless in three at-bats, though was hit by a pitch. Kernels Nuggets Cedar Rapids 6, Beloit 9 Box Score Brent Francisco: 2 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 2 K HR: Rayne Doncon (1), Jaime Ferrer (1) Multi-hit games: None Matters started poorly. Starlyn Caba clubbed a first-pitch homer off starter Brent Francisco, portending a trio of runs allowed in the second, and a ghastly five-run endeavor smeared on reliever Sam Rochard. That’s nine earned runs before some fans could even finish their first beer. Fortunately, Kernels hitters had some fight in them. Rayne Doncon pre-empted the five-run disaster with a three-run blast. Khadim Diaw singled in a run in the fourth, and Caden Kendle drove in another in the fifth. The bats started to lose juice, though, eventually tiring as a Jaime Ferrer solo shot in the eighth marked the team’s final run. Every hitter in the Kernels lineup outside of Marek Houston reached base at least once. The Sky Carp are an affiliate of the Miami Marlins. Their seventh-ranked prospect, Starlyn Caba, played shortstop, going 2-4 with a homer, two runs, two RBIs, and a walk. Mussel Matters The Mighty Mussels were postponed due to rain. They will play a doubleheader on Thursday. TWINS DAILY PLAYERS OF THE DAY Twins Daily Minor League Pitcher of the Day – Ryan Gallagher Twins Daily Minor League Hitter of the Day – Kyle DeBarge PROSPECT SUMMARY Here’s a look at how the Twins Daily Top 20 Twins Prospects performed: #2 – Kaelen Culpepper (St. Paul) - 1-5, R, BB, K #4 – Eduardo Tait (Cedar Rapids) - 1-3, R, BB #9 – Marek Houston (Cedar Rapids) - 0-5, 3 K #13 – Brandon Winokur (Cedar Rapids) - 0-3, R, BB, 2 K #15 – Marco Raya (St. Paul) - 2 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K #16 – Hendry Mendez (Wichita) - 0-2, RBI, K #17 – Kyle DeBarge (Wichita) - 0-2, R, 3 BB, K #19 – Khadim Diaw (Cedar Rapids) - 1-5, RBI, 2 K THURSDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS St. Paul @ Toledo (5:35 PM) - RHP John Klein Wichita @ Arkansas (6:35 PM) - RHP C.J. Culpepper Cedar Rapids @ Beloit (6:05 PM) - LHP Dasan Hill Fort Myers @ Jupiter (3:00 PM) - RHP James Ellwanger Fort Myers @ Jupiter (Game 2) - RHP Riley Quick View the full article

Major League Baseball’s regular season is well underway; after months of waiting, fans can now watch their favorite teams' games count in the standings. The Kansas City Royals have got off to a sluggish start, sitting 5-7 in an American League Central Division that appears to be up for grabs. Just like spring training, but now with statistics that count, let’s take a look at who is off to a hot start and who is still looking to find their stride. Who's Hot? 🔥 Michael Wacha Wacha has looked brilliant to open the 2026 campaign. In two starts, Wacha is 1-0 with an ERA of 0.69 and a WHIP of 0.77. The veteran right-hander has struck out 10 batters across 13 innings, turning in two quality starts, first against the Atlanta Braves, then against division rival the Cleveland Guardians. In Wacha’s last start on Monday against the Guardians, the 34-year-old went seven innings, allowing only one run on three hits, striking out three and walking three. Wacha’s lone blemish of the night was a third-inning, solo home run allowed to Steven Kwan. The Royals’ rotation has a chance to be one of the best in the A.L., and Wacha has done his part in getting the group off to a strong start. Going into Cleveland for a divisional matchup is always a difficult task, but Wacha did his job to take the first of 13 meetings between the two clubs. Carter Jensen The Royals’ offense really needs Jensen’s bat to be a force in 2026. After hitting three home runs across 60 at-bats last season, Jensen has already matched that total through his first 26 at-bats during the 2026 campaign. Through 11 games this season, Jensen is batting .226 with three home runs and six RBIs. The left-handed batting catcher blasted home runs in back-to-back games to open the series against the Guardians, breaking a tie with his home runs on both occasions. Jensen’s underlying numbers back up his strong start, finding himself in the 96th percentile with an average exit velocity of 94.6 and 86th percentile for hard-hit %. Jensen’s three home runs are currently good for the team lead on the Royals through the club's first 12 games. Nick Mears After struggling through much of spring training, Mears has opened the regular season with five shutout appearances. In five innings, Mears has picked up one hold and struck out five batters, looking like the pitcher they hoped they were acquiring in an offseason trade with the Milwaukee Brewers. In the five appearances, Mears has allowed two hits and two walks, giving himself a WHIP of 0.80 in the season’s early weeks, while also holding opposing batters to an average of .133. As a few of the other Royals relievers struggle to find their footing in April, Mears has given the bullpen a boost through the opening two and a half weeks. Who's Not? 🧊 John Schreiber Schreiber had a difficult spring training, and it appears those struggles have carried over into the early portion of the regular season. In five games, Schreiber has gone 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA and a 2.31 WHIP. The right-hander has allowed five hits and five walks in his 4 ⅓ innings, struggling with command, one of the strengths in Schreiber’s game from a season ago. Last year, Schreiber appeared in a team-high 74 games, pitching to a record of 3-3 with a 3.80 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and walking only 19 batters in his 64 innings. It’s still very early, and relievers only need a few outings to get back on track, but Schreiber’s FIP of 8.43 is a concerning development for the 32-year-old Schreiber, who has a career FIP of 3.63 and is being counted on for high-leverage innings out of the bullpen. Lane Thomas Thomas, who was signed by the Royals during the offseason to a one-year, $5.25 million contract, has struggled to find his footing in the early portion of the 2026 campaign with his new club. Through nine games, Thomas is batting .105 with a .292 OBP, recording only two hits and one RBI across 17 at-bats. The Royals’ offense could really use Thomas to become a consistent power threat in their lineup as the club hunts for a better offense than the one showcased in 2025. With a divisional matchup with the Chicago White Sox slated to begin on Thursday, Thomas has the opportunity to face Anthony Kay, Davis Martin, and Erick Fedde in the first three games, all pitchers who have career ERAs over 4.00, which could help get the 30-year-old back on track. Salvador Perez Perez has struggled out of the gate, turning in a slash line of .156/.224/.333 through 12 games played. The 35-year-old catcher has recorded seven hits across 45 at-bats, blasting two home runs and two RBIs. The most recent series in Cleveland was a struggle for the Royals captain. The nine-time All-Star failed to record a hit over 11 at-bats. The one bright spot so far in 2026 has been Perez’s limited strikeouts, as the catcher finds himself in the top six percent of MLB with an 11.1 strikeout percentage. Perez has been such a consistent force in the Royals’ lineup for his whole career, and the Royals are banking on him putting together another strong year as they look to return to playoff baseball. View the full article

A couple of weeks isn’t enough time for the standings to mean much, but it is enough time for early narratives to start forming. When it comes to Byron Buxton, the early numbers describe a hitter who is searching for answers. Through his first stretch of games, the production simply hasn’t been there. He snapped an 0-for-20 slide on Monday night, but entering Wednesday, he’s hitting just .158, with a .233 on-base percentage. His OPS (.496) is worse than all but two stretches of this length from 2025: one after he came off the injured list in mid-August, and another in mid-September, long after the season was lost. He's mired in a significant slump. That doesn’t sound much like Byron Buxton. And in some ways, it hasn’t been. While the results have been rough, the underlying metrics tell a very different story about how he’s actually swung the bat to open the year. Start with the quality of contact. Buxton owns a hard hit rate of exactly 50%, meaning half of the balls he’s put in play have come off the bat at 95 miles per hour or harder. That's a strong number in any context, and typically the kind of mark you would expect from a hitter producing far better results. Of course, exit velocity alone does not tell the full story. It doesn’t account for launch angle, and that’s where things start to get a bit more complicated. Buxton’s average launch angle sits at 32°, which is extremely high and helps explain the early struggles. An angle that high on average means a hitter is hitting too many routine fly balls or pop-ups, and that’s definitely been true for Buxton. Buxton has simply gotten too far under pitches, limiting the damage he’s capable of doing. But even with that in mind, there are strong signs that luck has not been on his side. His barrel rate currently sits at 10.7%, which places him in the 66th percentile across Major League Baseball. A barrel is a batted ball that combines ideal exit velocity and launch angle, generally at least 98 MPH off the bat with a launch angle between 25° and 31°. That’s the type of contact most often associated with extra-base hits. Buxton has recorded three barrels so far this season. He does not have a hit on any of them. That, alone, is a strong indicator that the results have not lined up with the process. When hitters are consistently producing that class of contact, the outcomes tend to follow. In Buxton’s case, they simply haven’t yet—although the nature of analyzing small samples like this is such that we can't quite say he's consistently barreling the ball, either. Because of who he is, the hard contact feels more like a signal, and the poor results feel like noise. It could turn out to be the other way around. That’s where the bigger picture comes into focus. Buxton hasn’t been perfect at the plate. The elevated launch angle is something to watch, and there are adjustments he can make to turn more of those fly balls into line drives. His BABIP is just .214, but it's hard to label that as bad luck while he's hitting so many fly balls. As Twins fans learned the hard way over long years with Max Kepler, hitting it in the air at an extreme rate is good for power production but bad for BABIP. He can and will refine his process, to get back to hitting the ball on lower lines. He's catching the ball farther out in front of his body and getting around it more this year, despite a lower swing speed. It's no wonder he's producing some suboptimal flies. This isn’t a case of a hitter who looks overmatched. It’s a hitter who’s hitting the ball hard, producing a solid rate of barrels, and maintaining a strong presence in the sweet spot, all while seeing very little to show for it in the box score. That combination usually doesn’t last very long, and indeed, even the numbers that corroborate the poor results hint at an opportunity to unlock big value with a relatively minor set of adjustments. Over the course of a 162-game season, those underlying metrics have a way of winning out. Balls that are currently finding gloves will start to drop in; well-struck fly balls will begin to carry a bit farther (especially as the weather warms up); and line drives will start to split gaps instead of being caught. When that shift happens, the stat line can change in a hurry. When he’s on, Buxton is one of the most exciting hitters in the game, capable of changing a lineup with both power and elite speed. That version of him didn’t just disappear overnight; the underlying data still shows the raw talent. Right now, the results have not matched the process. But over time, they usually do. It’s not a matter of if Buxton turns things around, but when. View the full article

One of the more intriguing aspects of the Chicago Cubs and their lineup construction thus far in 2026 has been the distribution of playing time between their two catchers. In reality, the team has a pair of starting-caliber backstops. Carson Kelly is coming off a career season despite fading in the second half of 2025, while Miguel Amaya looked to be gaining traction at the plate in 2024 before injuries ravaged his ability to perform last season. The early assumption was that Kelly would get the majority of the time behind the plate by a decent margin, at least early, as Amaya regained his footing at the top level. However, that's not entirely how things have played out across almost a dozen contests. Kelly certainly does have the edge in time behind the plate so far; he's caught seven games to Amaya's four. However, Amaya also has a trio of appearances as the designated hitter. From a catching standpoint, though, Kelly's 60 innings are a significant edge over Amaya's 36. The production gap at this young stage of the season does feel wide, though, and could inform Craig Counsell's choices a little bit differently upon the return of Seiya Suzuki. From a production standpoint, Amaya has a healthy edge in output. He's contributed a .294/.400/.529 line to the cause with an even 15.0 percent rate in both strikeouts and walks and a 164 wRC+. Kelly, meanwhile, is sitting on a .250/.344/.286 line, a 21.9 percent strikeout rate, and a 12.5 percent walk rate. His wRC+ reads as below average, checking in at 90. The concern there, of course, is in the latter's absence of power. After going for a .179 ISO in 2025, he's at a mere .036 clip in 2026. When you factor in the strikeout-to-walk ratio, there's a clear edge for Amaya in the production game, even when Kelly is receiving the lion's share of the work behind the dish. Believe it or not, Amaya's advantage over Kelly carries over to defensive performance, as well. Kelly's been exactly average in blocking and framing and below average in throwing hitters out despite technically carrying an advantage in pop time. Amaya, however, holds an advantage in his ability to control the run game. The difference between the two in framing has been marginal to date: Each has different areas of the zone in which they're finding success on the framing front. There's an awful lot of consistency here between the two, presenting a really similar skill set. Ultimately, though, we still don't know how much ABS is factoring into this, nor do we have a large enough overall sample to declare one better in this aspect than the other. So, if we call that a wash and move toward something comprehensive, Amaya's arm props him up slightly between the two. Either way, there's a long way to go before this aspect becomes something more tangible in one being better than the other in matters of playing time being determined. It does feel worth noting, at least, that Amaya has outperformed Kelly in more areas than not. What is also notable at this point is where that playing time is actually being distributed, because at this early stage, there doesn't appear to be a particular order between the two. Carson Kelly has caught Matthew Boyd twice, Shota Imanaga twice, and Jameson Taillon and Edward Cabrera each once. He was also behind the plate for Cade Horton's 17 pitches prior to his season-ending injury over the weekend. Amaya caught each of Horton, Taillon, and Cabrera a single time before assuming duty for Javier Assad's first start on Tuesday. None of it indicates a clear trend, though. Especially because it's too early for the data to indicate whether the catchers themselves have any bearing on pitcher performance. Which means that we're in this sort of muddled early season stage where Craig Counsell is feeling out his roster in certain respects. While the catching could certainly have an impact on the pitching staff at some point in a way that could sway playing distributions, the sample (on either side of the ball) isn't large enough to justify any firm conclusion, even if Miguel Amaya has outplayed Carson Kelly within that minuscule run. What will be interesting to monitor in the coming days, though, is how that distribution could shift upon the return of Seiya Suzuki. Counsell has been inclined to throw Amaya into the DH spot to get his bat in there, but the return of Suzuki and the extended run that Matt Shaw has gotten in right field could lead to a shift in how the catching position actually looks given the slight defensive difference between the two. It's just as intriguing a situation as we could have thought, with the changing roster dynamics likely to lend a little more clarity moving forward. View the full article

Davey Lopes wasn't the best manager in Milwaukee Brewers history—far from it. But he was chosen to be the Crew's skipper at one of the most important times in franchise history. Lopes passed away on Wednesday at the age of 80. In addition to being the Brewers' manager from 2000 through early 2002, he was a baseball lifer. He was a pesky second baseman and a four-time All-Star with the Los Angeles Dodgers during his 10 seasons there (1972-81). Lopes, who didn't make his MLB debut until he was 27, was a prolific base-stealer, leading MLB in swipes with 77 in 1975—including a then-record 38 straight—and the NL with 63 in 1976. That was a stretch in which he had six consecutive seasons of 40 or more steals. Perhaps more famously, he was part of the Dodgers infield with first baseman Steve Garvey, shortstop Bill Russell and third baseman Ron Cey. The quartet played a record 833 games together. Lopes was on the 1981 Dodgers World Series championship team. When his 16-year playing career ended in 1987, he immediately went into coaching, joining the Texas Rangers' staff the next year and becoming the bench coach from 1989-91 under manager Bobby Valentine. That started a second career in dugouts throughout the league, which would keep him in the game though 2017. As the 1990s wore on, Lopes became a managerial candidate. No one went with the fiery Lopes until the Brewers did so on Nov. 4, 1999, following his tenure as the third base coach with the San Diego Padres. The Brewers had fired the popular Phil Garner, who had guided the team since 1992 and racked up a franchise-best 563 managerial wins, during the season, with Jim Lefebvre in charge for the final 49 games. That was the Crew's second season in the National League, having moved from the American League due to expansion. Lopes was a candidate for two other managerial jobs at the time, in Anaheim and Cleveland. "There was a point in my career—lately, in fact—that I didn't think this would happen," Lopes said at his introductory press conference. The hiring of Lopes came at the urging of Bud Selig, then MLB's commissioner and the Brewers' former owner, who wanted to see more people of color get high-profile positions. While born and raised in East Providence, Rhode Island, Lopes has family ties to Cape Verde, an island off the coast of West Africa. Selig had yielded control of the Brewers to his daughter, Wendy Selig-Prieb, but his influence on the team was still profound and not much of a secret. Lopes was hired by general manager Dean Taylor, who had been hired to replace Sal Bando just a couple of months earlier. It was a fresh start for the Crew, with some historic moments in the offing. Not only were the Brewers getting ready to flip the calendar to 2000, but they were about to close down County Stadium and move into what was then called Miller Park, the retractable-roof stadium built in the parking lot of County Stadium. The stadium's opening had been delayed a year by a crane accident that resulted in the deaths of three construction workers. Taylor felt Lopes was the right choice, as the Brewers had lost their way under Garner. The hope was that Lopes would be able to bring the no-nonsense approach that epitomized his playing career. In Lopes's first season in 2000, the Brewers didn't fare much better record-wise, finishing 73-89, one game worse than Garner's final season. But this time, instead of another fifth-place finish in the division, the Brewers were the third-place team in the NL Central in the final season at County Stadium, 22 games behind the St. Louis Cardinals. The 2001 season saw Lopes and the Brewers christen Miller Park, which cost $392 million to build. But the new digs and 2.8 million fans pouring through the turnstiles didn't improve the product on the field. The Crew finished 68-93, fourth in the NL Central, 25 games behind the first-place Houston Astros. That season also saw Lopes's intense, old-school style start to wear on the team. Lopes drew headlines after one game against the Padres following Rickey Henderson stealing with a seven-run lead, saying Henderson was "showing up" the Brewers. "He was going on his ass," Lopes said postgame. "We were going to drill him." The next day, Elias Sports Bureau published a list of seven times Lopes stole a base with his team leading by at least seven runs. When the Brewers started 2002 with a 3-12 record, Lopes was fired, replaced by bench coach Jerry Royster for the remainder of the season. In his two-plus seasons, Lopes's Brewers had a 144-195 record, a .425 winning percentage. Lopes rejoined the Padres as the first base coach in 2003 and continued coaching through the 2017 season with the Dodgers, Baltimore Orioles and Philadelphia Phillies. He earned a World Series ring with the Phillies in 2008, and was renowned for his work with baserunners, especially when stationed as the first-base coach. His time with the Brewers was rocky, but he contributed tremendously to the game, and served at a fascinating and difficult time in the Crew's history. View the full article

Joe Ryan has shown a little bit of everything in his first three starts: flashes of dominance mixed with inefficiency and bad luck. A closer look at his underlying performance shows a story that doesn’t necessarily match the surface-level numbers. View the full article

Over the past few weeks, the conversation around the Minnesota Twins has drifted toward the future and who might be locked into it. Names like Walker Jenkins continue to surface, despite the fact that he has yet to make his big-league debut. Other teams around the league are locking up players of a similar caliber, and it’s fun to dream about the future. Twins ownership also seems to be open to extensions with other young players. During a recent media session, Tom Pohlad pointed to a trio of intriguing talents in Luke Keaschall, Taj Bradley, and Mick Abel as players the organization could consider approaching about long-term deals. On paper, those are the types of players teams try to secure early: young, controllable, and brimming with upside. It is a strategy that has worked across the league, buying out arbitration years and (sometimes) a slice of free agency at a discounted rate. But it's also a strategy that can backfire. As easy as it is to identify the next extension candidate, it's just as important to remember the players who once looked like obvious choices themselves. In recent seasons, the Twins have had multiple opportunities to make those bets and, whether by design or circumstance, they may have avoided some costly mistakes. Royce Lewis Stock High Point: 2023 Season Few players have embodied both the promise and volatility of a top prospect like Royce Lewis. As the first overall pick in the 2017 MLB Draft, he represented the future of the franchise from the moment his name was called. That future appeared to arrive in full during the 2023 season. Lewis was electric, posting a 149 OPS+ across 58 games while providing a spark the Twins desperately needed. His impact extended into October, where he delivered two massive home runs against the Toronto Blue Jays, helping secure the franchise’s first playoff series victory in two decades. In that moment, an extension would have felt not only reasonable, but necessary. Since then, the picture has shifted. Lewis has struggled to recapture that level of production, posting a 95 OPS+ while continuing to search for consistency defensively at third base. Injuries have remained part of the equation, and the once-clear trajectory toward superstardom now feels far less certain. With two years of team control remaining, the Twins still have flexibility—something that would not be the case had they acted at his peak. Jose Miranda Stock High Point: 2022 Season The rise of Jose Miranda felt like one of the more stable bets in recent Twins history. After a dominant 2021 minor league campaign that included a .973 OPS and 30 home runs across Double- and Triple-A, Miranda carried that success into his rookie season. In 2022, he posted a 114 OPS+ with 15 homers and 25 doubles over 125 games, showcasing elite bat-to-ball skills that suggested a long runway as a productive big league hitter. This was exactly the type of profile teams often look to extend early, prioritizing contact ability and offensive consistency. Instead, his trajectory became anything but steady. A 55 OPS+ in 2023 was followed by a rebound to 112 OPS+ in 2024, but the inconsistency ultimately defined his tenure. By 2025, he was out of the organization entirely. Now in the San Diego system, Miranda is trying to regain his footing at Triple-A, far removed from the player who once looked like a lineup fixture for years to come. Brooks Lee Stock High Point: 2024 Season The Brooks Lee case might be the most instructive for pre-debut or early-career extensions. Like Jenkins today, Lee entered his first full professional season with significant hype. The eighth overall pick in 2022, he was widely viewed as one of the safest hitters in his draft class. By 2023, he had posted an .808 OPS in the upper minors and climbed to No. 18 on MLB Pipeline’s top 100 list. It would have been easy to envision a deal that bought out his arbitration years while giving the Twins option control over his early free-agency seasons. That version of Lee has yet to appear consistently in the majors. Through his first 197 games, he owns a 74 OPS+ and has struggled to provide value defensively. At 25 years old, there is still time for adjustments, but the gap between expectation and production has been significant. An early extension here could have quickly become an anchor. The Value of Patience Extensions can sound great when viewed through the rose-colored glasses of a player’s best moments at the big-league level. The temptation is to lock in that version of the player before the price climbs any higher. But baseball has a way of humbling even the most promising trajectories. Opponents adjust. Weaknesses are exposed. Performance ebbs and flows in ways that are often impossible to predict. By holding back on extensions for players like Lewis, Miranda, and Lee at their respective peaks, the Twins may have preserved both payroll flexibility and roster optionality. That does not mean the strategy should be to avoid extensions altogether. It simply underscores the importance of timing and conviction. Betting on talent is part of the game, but so is recognizing when uncertainty outweighs the perceived discount. In a league where one contract can shape a roster for years, sometimes the smartest move is the one not made. What other players would have been extension candidates early in their careers? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View the full article

The Boston Red Sox are in a tailspin at the moment. That’s not news to anyone who has even been sort of paying attention, but they are drastically underperforming for a team that a lot of national pundits had competing for the AL East title. While there are aspects of the starting lineup that are finally beginning to wake up — plus Wilyer Abreu, who has been carrying this team on his back since Opening Day — what’s clear is that something has to give for the Red Sox. While Alex Cora has started tinkering with his lineup card already, it could be time for some promotions and demotions to shake things up in the dugout. The backup infield situation is a bit of a mess in Boston right now. Andruw Monasterio had a great spring but has struggled to get looks during the season and most of his at-bats look noncompetitive. He has a paltry .125 batting average in eight plate appearances and looks like he needs more consistent at bats to get his offense figured out for the season. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been even worse. He’s also received a whopping eight plate appearances this season, and a -58 wRC+ is all he has to show for it. The team committed $6 million to the veteran journeyman during the offseason and it looks now like that could be wasted money. So, where do the Red Sox go from here? Monasterio isn’t going to get regular at-bats in the majors playing behind Marcelo Mayer, Trevor Story, and Caleb Durbin. Kiner-Falefa offers some defensive upside but his incredibly limited offensive profile puts a very tight cap on his ability to meaningfully contribute this season. The best option in front of Craig Breslow and Cora is to shuffle the roster (perhaps by optioning Monasterio to Worcester) while calling up at least one of Mickey Gasper or Nick Sogard. The duo of Gasper and Sogard have been on absolute heaters for the WooSox since the season got underway. Gasper is slashing .400/.514/.767 with a 227 wRC+; Sogard is coming in at .290/.488/.645 with a 192 wRC+. Sogard has logged all nine games of the season while Gapser has appeared in seven. Both have slugged three home runs so far and Gasper already has 10 RBIs while Sogard has drive in eight. The scale tips a bit in Sogard’s direction when you look at his strikeouts and walks. He’s walked an impressive 12 times against six strikeouts; Gasper is nearly dead even at seven walks and eight punch outs. Both Gasper and Sogard have major-league experience with the Red Sox so they understand, at least to a point, what the pressure cooker of playing professional baseball in Boston is like. Sogard seems to have tapped into a power stroke early in the season, and that’s exactly what the Red Sox could use off the bench right now. He's also a switch-hitter, so he works well in any platoon role that Cora has a need for. Defensively, he’s more of a lateral move from Kiner-Falefa than a downgrade and, in a pinch, he could be trusted to start over a guy like Caleb Durbin should Cora decide that a few days off could help fix whatever is plaguing the team's starting third baseman. Gasper’s numbers look impressive, and should be applauded, but it’s fair to question if they would translate if/when he is called up. For his MLB career he’s slashing .133/.250/.455. Those are far from inspiring, but if he currently has caught lightning in a bottle then maybe a look on the big-league roster could help push this team towards being competitive right now. Is he a long-term fix for the club? Doubtful, but Cora and company should be trying anything and everything to put a winning product on the field day in and day out. Moving Monasterio (and maybe even Kiner-Falefa) for Sogard and Gasper doesn’t solve the pitching woes that are currently plaguing the Red Sox, but a fresh injection of talent that has been performing well in Triple-A could help push a few more runs across the board. The season is far from lost, but the time for resting on our laurels is over. Maybe bringing up two guys tearing it up for the WooSox is exactly what this team needs right now. View the full article

Padres affiliates absorbed four losses Tuesday, but several arms impressed. Maikel Miralles struck out nine over four scoreless innings for Fort Wayne, Winyer Chourio fanned six in four innings for Lake Elsinore, Luis Gutierrez allowed one run over four innings for San Antonio, and Misael Tamarez threw two scoreless innings in El Paso. Jase Bowen homered for the Chihuahuas, Ethan Salas and Romeo Sanabria drove in runs for the Missions, and Justin DeCriscio contributed two hits. Padres Transactions No Roster Moves Ritter, Carrigg Power Albuquerque Past Chihuahuas Box Score The El Paso Chihuahuas fell to Albuquerque, 8-4, on Tuesday at Southwest University Park. Albuquerque jumped ahead with two runs in the first, then added two more in the second and another in the third against starter Sean Boyle. Boyle took the loss after allowing six runs on eight hits in 3 1/3 innings, with two walks and no strikeouts. The Isotopes added three more runs in the fourth, including a two-run homer, to build an 8-0 lead. El Paso scored one run in the bottom of the fourth. Nick Solak drew a walk, Marcos Castañon followed with another free pass, and Jose Miranda brought home a run with a single. Samad Taylor added a solo homer in the fifth, his first of the season, and Jase Bowen gave the Chihuahuas more life in the seventh with a two-run homer that scored Mason McCoy and cut the deficit to four. Bowen finished 1-for-5 with a home run and two RBIs, while Taylor went 1-for-4 with a walk, a homer, and an RBI. Miranda drove in a run and Pablo Reyes doubled and scored. Solak reached base three times on a hit and two walks. After Boyle exited, Miguel Cienfuegos allowed two runs in 1 2/3 innings. Yuki Matsui worked one inning, and Misael Tamarez held fast with two scoreless innings, allowing no hits or walks while striking out three. Garrett Hawkins added a scoreless ninth. Sanabria, Salas Drive In Runs In Missions Loss Box Score The San Antonio Missions dropped a 6-3 decision to Corpus Christi on Tuesday at Nelson Wolff Stadium. The Missions answered a one-run deficit in the second when Braedon Karpathios singled, Francisco Acuna walked, and Albert Fabian brought Karpathios home with a sacrifice fly to tie the game. San Antonio moved in front in the third. Ryan Jackson singled, Ethan Salas doubled to left to score him, and Romeo Sanabria followed with an RBI single that pushed the Missions to a 3-1 lead. That advantage slipped away in the fifth, when the Hooks scored four to take control of the game on way to victorey. San Antonio collected eight hits in the game, with Acuna and Sanabria each finishing 2-for-4. Salas went 1-for-4 with a double and an RBI, Jackson scored once, and Fabian drove in a run. Karpathios added a hit and scored, while Luis Verdugo also singled. Starter Luis Gutierrez worked four innings and allowed one run on two hits, with no walks and five strikeouts. Fernando Sanchez was charged with the loss after allowing four runs in 1/3 of an inning, with two walks and one strikeout. Andrew Dalquist gave up one run in 1 2/3 innings, with one walk and one strikeout, before Johan Moreno tossed two scoreless innings with one walk and one strikeout. Michael Flynn added a scoreless ninth. The Missions threatened again in the sixth when Acuna doubled and stole third, but Corpus Christi kept San Antonio from adding to its total. McCoy Drives In TinCaps’ Only Run In Ninth-Inning Loss Box Score The Fort Wayne TinCaps carried a 1-1 tie into the ninth inning before falling, 3-1, on Tuesday at Parkview Field. Fort Wayne took the lead in the second. Lamar King Jr. was hit by a pitch, Kavares Tears followed with a single, and Alex McCoy lined a single to right that brought home King for a 1-0 lead. McCoy finished 2-for-4 with the TinCaps’ only RBI, while Tears also went 2-for-4 with a double. Kasen Wells added a hit and drew two walks. Maikel Miralles turned in a solid start with a lot of whiffs, working four scoreless innings while allowing one hit, walking three, and striking out nine. He kept Fort Wayne in front through the early innings before Braian Salazar added two scoreless innings with two hits allowed and four strikeouts. The Lugnuts tied the game in the seventh after Nate Nankil singled, stole third, and scored on a sacrifice fly. Fort Wayne threatened in the bottom half when McCoy doubled with two outs, but the game remained locked at one. Jackson Finley followed Miralles and Salazar with one scoreless inning, allowing no hits, walking one, and striking out none. Vicarte Domingo allowed one run in 2/3 of an inning, with one walk and one strikeout. Jeferson Villabona covered 1 1/3 scoreless innings, but the TinCaps could not escape trouble in the ninth. After Davis Diaz singled and a throwing error put runners in scoring position, the visitors scored twice to take control. Fort Wayne put the tying run on base in the ninth, but could not extend the game. Wideman Drives In Run, Fountain Scores Twice In Storm Loss Box Score The Lake Elsinore Storm fell to Rancho Cucamonga, 16-3, on Tuesday at The Diamond. Lake Elsinore answered an early deficit in the second inning. Kale Fountain doubled to open the frame, Justin DeCriscio moved him to third with a sacrifice bunt, and Conner Westenburg singled to bring him home. Later in the inning, Jose Verdugo singled, and Ryan Wideman followed with an RBI single that scored Westenburg and gave the Storm a 2-1 lead. The Quakes pulled ahead in the fifth, and the Storm got one run back in the bottom half. Ty Harvey singled, Fountain stole second, and DeCriscio doubled to left to score him, cutting the deficit to 4-3. Fountain finished 1-for-4 with a double and two runs scored, while DeCriscio went 2-for-3 with a double and an RBI. Wideman added a hit, a walk, and an RBI, and Westenburg collected two hits and an RBI. Starter Winyer Chourio worked four innings and allowed one run on three hits, with two walks and six strikeouts. Rordy Mejia took the loss after allowing three runs on two hits in one inning, with two walks and no strikeouts. Will Koger was charged with two runs in 2/3 of an inning, with one walk and no strikeouts, and Brandon Langley gave up five runs, four earned, in 1 2/3 innings, with one walk and two strikeouts. View the full article

Early injuries have turned April into a test of endurance, pushing the Blue Jays to treat position player pitching not as a novelty, but as a necessary strategy built on velocity control, strike throwing and protecting pitching arms. While some were surprised by the team's signing of so many pitchers this offseason, it should have started to make a bit more sense. With injuries mounting, Toronto might have to search for answers from within. This season has barely found its rhythm, and the Jays already feel like a team playing emergency baseball. Pitching injuries arrived early. Depth has been tested almost nightly. John Schneider has managed more than a few games with one eye on the scoreboard and the other on who might still be physically capable of throwing tomorrow. In that environment, blowouts have a ripple effect. Starters exit early, and the bullpen gets stretched. Game one against the Dodgers on Monday was no exception. Position player pitching, once viewed as a quirky sideshow or an act of surrender, is quietly becoming a practical tool. When innings threaten to avalanche, and the bullpen cannot afford another high‑stress appearance in April, using a position player becomes less about optics and more about survival. That door is already open. Tyler Heineman covered two innings in a lopsided loss on March 31 and again against the Dodgers on April 6. It likely won’t be the last time Toronto makes that call. Using Heineman means the Jays are protecting arms rather than preserving the box score. Innings when a position player is on the mound exist to save pitchers, not to impress hitters or fans. Baseball has talked about a mercy rule, but I don’t think we are there yet. Since 2018, position players have typically carried ERAs between 8.00 and 10.00. Opponents slug well over .600. Strikeout rates dip below 10 percent. Hitters rarely miss, and everyone involved knows it. The calculation isn’t about preventing damage, but containing it. One spared elbow in April can ripple through a season in ways a single blowout never will. Toronto understands that math, even if fans understandably prefer not to see a catcher lofting 78‑mph fastballs in a loss. Heineman’s appearance wasn’t random. Catchers on the mound make sense because they already throw in games, understand sequencing and aren’t overwhelmed by the environment. The downside is that many catchers throw at max effort by instinct. Heineman doesn’t. His delivery is compact, his intent clearly dialed back, and his velocity plays down by design. More importantly, he throws strikes. In these situations, command matters far more than velocity. A walk does more damage than a single when the entire goal is getting through the inning without turning it into a 30‑pitch ordeal. Yet, even catchers get tired, so here is a list of other Blue Jays who could, realistically or not, be asked to wear this role. Addison Barger sits near the top (at least when it comes to how fun it would be to see him get the call). First off, his wavy hair matches Dylan Cease and Kevin Gausman. While his arm strength jumps out even during routine defensive plays, what stands out more is how easily he throws. There’s little violence in the motion. Position player pitching isn’t about lighting up the gun; it’s about repeatability. Barger could likely live in the low‑to‑mid‑80s without straining, and his calm mechanics suggest he could find the zone often enough to let hitters put early swings on the ball. That’s exactly what teams want in these spots. Ernie Clement may be the sneakiest name on the list. His defensive versatility is paired with a compact, repeatable throwing motion that doesn’t scream maximum effort. Clement’s arm strength isn’t flashy, but in this role, that’s often an advantage. A steady stream of strikes at 78 to 82 mph is often enough when hitters are swinging early. Nathan Lukes and Myles Straw fall into the category of outfielders that teams quietly trust more than fans realize. Both are capable, accurate throwers with experience making long, controlled throws from the gaps. Lukes, in particular, has shown a calm, measured throwing style that would translate cleanly to pitching at reduced intent. Straw doesn’t have elite velocity, but his athleticism and body control suggest he could handle the mechanics without panic. For a one‑inning bridge to the final out, that matters more than raw power. Then there’s Davis Schneider, who, much like Clement, has played several positions when called upon. Schneider’s arm strength is better than most casual observers expect, and he throws with a compact, catch‑and‑fire motion that minimizes stress. He likely wouldn’t light up the gun, but he wouldn’t need to. He could throw around 80 mph, filling the zone, trusting hitters to make contact. Outfielders and utility players have quietly become the backbone of these contingency plans across baseball. With bullpens under constant strain from velocity spikes, heavier workloads and injuries, teams now view non‑pitcher innings as a form of load management. Relatively new league rules limit position player pitchers to clearly non‑competitive situations, like late innings with large run differentials, or extra‑inning emergencies, so you just don't see it as much as you used to. So, why don’t teams do this even more often? Health is the obvious answer. Every throw carries risk, even at reduced effort. Front offices know how quickly a meaningless inning can turn into a strained oblique or a jammed finger. Core stars remain untouchable. But there’s also a psychological layer. Not every player wants the job. Some treat it as fun. Others see it as humiliation. Trust and willingness matter more than teams ever admit publicly. There’s also a hidden benefit to position players pitching that almost never gets discussed. When a manager hands the ball to a position player, it sends a signal to the bullpen: You’re protected. Relievers notice. Over a long season, that trust matters. And yes, there’s still entertainment value. Toronto crowds engage with these moments in ways they don’t during grim blowouts. Laughter replaces frustration. An 83‑mph fastball from a second baseman draws a louder response than a standard mop‑up strikeout ever will. Baseball needs those pressure‑release moments, especially when a season (like this one) starts feeling heavy earlier than expected. For the Blue Jays, this is no longer theoretical. Injuries have already pushed them into survival mode. Heineman’s three innings so far aren’t a punchline. They are a preview. There will be more nights where creativity matters more than pride. Maybe Barger absorbs an inning on a long road trip. Maybe Clement quietly pencils in a clean frame. Maybe Schneider or Lukes takes the ball because the coaching staff knows there will be no drama. Seasons aren’t won on nights when everything goes right. They’re managed on nights when everything breaks. Position player pitching lives squarely in that space: an admission of limits, a bet on tomorrow and a reminder that baseball, even in its strangest moments, is a game built on endurance. Unfortunately, this season, the Blue Jays already understand that. They’re not laughing anymore. They’re planning. Statistics updated prior to games on April 7. View the full article

You never see a pitcher for whom things are going well practicing their stance on the rubber or the way they break their hands in front of their locker in the clubhouse. There's plenty of space in the Twins' home clubhouse at Target Field, but not so much that anyone would be tempted to move meaningful practice off the field and into that space. Big-league ballplayers love to take up space, but in front of their lockers, they instinctively make themselves small. They don't move in big, unpredictable ways. They stay out of the walkway that runs right past each row of lockers. On Tuesday afternoon, Bailey Ober had his glove on his hand and stood in front of his locker, thwacking a ball into the glove and practicing some of the key timing moments in his delivery. He was waiting for locker neighbor Mick Abel to be ready to head out to the field, but while he waited, he didn't chat breezily with the younger pitcher. They had an easy conversation going, but as Abel turned his attention to lacing up his spikes, Ober turned and became slightly absorbed by the back of his locker. It was the reverie of a man who's not happy with how his body is responding to his mind's commands, for whom that's a particularly big problem—because his body makes his living. "It's just the way the body's working," Ober said of his slight reduction in arm angle this year. "There's some things I'm trying to balance, and I'm a little late [timing-wise], which leads to that." His voice carried a peculiar mixture of optimism and frustration. Ober is a thoughtful and energetic player, though that energy manifests itself in a very quiet way. He's dedicated to his craft, and early in the season, he's excited by what's working—but it's also clear that he resents his own inability to iron out the mechanical issues he's been sifting through for the last year-plus. Some pitchers struggle, even with the guidance of pitching coaches, to identify and target flaws in their delivery. Ober, who has always been keenly aware of the challenges posed by his towering height, isn't one of those guys. He knows what he needs to do. He's doing it. Maddeningly, his body just won't hit the targets he commands it to hit, despite the best training he's been able to give it. Thence comes the deficiency of velocity that jumps out most readily to fans, but that's not the only issue created by not being on time within his delivery—or even the most important one. Ober admitted that there are pitches (not just pitch types, but combinations of pitch type and location) he can't throw with much confidence right now, which limits his options. Most of his arsenal is going through a long period of having good days and bad days; he needs to reclaim the consistency that made his deep mix great a couple years ago. For now, Ober is largely eschewing his slider to right-handed batters, because he feels he can better execute his sweeper. 'Execute,' in this case, means not only to throw the pitch where he wants to and with the shape he wants, but to tunnel its release and initial trajectory with another pitch the batter might be anticipating. The slider can't check all of those boxes right now, except in its more cutterish form, to lefty batters. Instead, Ober is going to the sweeper—but also to his changeup, even against righties. "I'm not consciously leaning on it," he said Tuesday, "but I can really trust that pitch right now. And it doesn't really matter for me, lefty or righty, because I try to throw that pitch a lot like a splitter—focused on getting that [downward movement] on it. And I know that even if it runs in on a righty, I can sometimes jam them." That's why, so far this season, Ober has thrown his changeup 48% of the time against left-handed batters and 29% of the time to righties. Last year, those numbers were 34% and 23%, respectively, and they were similar in 2024. The changeup is working. That's always been Ober's best pitch. The only problem, right now, is that it's the only one he fully trusts. Good news can still be found in the mix. Ober's sweeper and curveball have bigger break this year. If he's stuck with the lower arm slot because of the way his body is unfolding and timing up its many movements, he might find some solace in more movement on his sinker, helping him attack righties despite the lost velocity. He expressed hope that, as the sinker comes along, he can use that pitch to keep righties looking inside, making the sweeper and even the four-seamer on the outer half more effective. Ober takes the mound again Wednesday night against the Tigers, with the Twins looking to secure their first series win of the year. His stuff isn't ready to take the big step forward both Ober and fans crave. However, he's feeling out his own pitch mix with each outing, and he's coming to a better understanding of how he can win with what he has. As long as the changeup keeps obeying him, he can keep relying on it, and that itself might make his fastballs look a bit faster. View the full article

The Boston Red Sox have placed reliever Justin Slaten on the 15-day injured list with a right oblique strain. To replace him in the bullpen, the team has called up LHP Tyler Samaniego before the series finale with the Brewers. Alex Cora revealed in his media availability after the 3-2 win on Tuesday that Slaten was dealing with soreness on his right side but hesitated to call it an oblique injury at the time. Now, we have conformation that Slaten will be missing time while he heals up. While Slaten has been useful out of the pen, his injury history isn't exactly brief, so it's disheartening to see him go down again so early in the year. Samaniego has appeared in three games for the WooSox, posting a 3.38 ERA with three strikeouts and a 1.31 WHIP over 5 1/3 innings. He was impressive in spring training after he fully recovered from some initial back issues. His fastball tops out at 97 mph but he lacks a solid secondary pitch at the moment. With some development, he could be an incredibly useful arm out of the bullpen down the stretch. Expect to see him serve as an up-and-down reliever for the entirety of the season. Justin Slaten landing on the IL again is not great news for a team already pushing their bullpen to the maximum this early in the season, but Samaniego has the opportunity to show that his strong spring was more than just a fluke once he arrives in Boston. View the full article

There was a time when being a Minnesota Twins fan meant circling Opening Day on the calendar and talking yourself into the idea that this year would be different. That time still exists, technically, but it now lasts roughly three games, before the emotional damage begins. After another sluggish start to the season, the organization has unveiled a bold new initiative aimed at easing the burden on its most dedicated supporters. In a press conference that felt equal parts innovation and resignation, the Twins announced that fans are now officially allowed to enter the transfer portal. “This is about empowering our fan base,” said a team spokesperson, while carefully avoiding eye contact. “We recognize that watching this product on the field requires a level of emotional endurance that may not be sustainable for everyone. The portal gives fans options. It gives them hope. It gives them a chance to feel joy again, even if it's temporary and comes with a different logo.” The announcement has sparked an immediate reaction from the fan base, many of whom were already mentally exploring their options before the press release hit social media. “I entered the portal after the third error on Tuesday,” said longtime fan Mark D., who claims to have watched nearly every game since 2004. “I just put my name in, uploaded a highlight reel of me clapping politely during pitching changes, and waited for the calls. I'm not saying I'm gone for good, but I need to see what's out there. I deserve to feel something other than confusion.” Another fan, Jessica R., said she's looking for a better cultural fit. “I am tired of explaining to my friends why I still believe,” she said. “I want a team where hope lasts into May. Maybe even June. Is that too much to ask? I just want meaningful baseball, and a bullpen that doesn't feel like a group project where nobody did their part.” Around the league, several teams have already begun recruiting disillusioned Twins fans, pitching them on a fresh start and a more stable emotional environment. The Milwaukee Brewers have positioned themselves as a logical landing spot, offering geographic familiarity with a slightly less chaotic baseball experience. “We understand Midwest values,” a Brewers representative said. “We offer competitive baseball, a strong pitching foundation, and the ability to watch games without immediately questioning your life choices. Plus, we have a slide in the outfield. That has to count for something.” The Chicago Cubs are leaning into their big-market appeal and their history of breaking curses. “We can promise a historic ballpark, a vibrant fan culture, and just enough success to keep you invested,” a Cubs official noted. “Also, we've already done the whole long-suffering thing and came out the other side. We're basically a support group with ivy.” Perhaps the most surprising entrant into the mix is the Colorado Rockies, who are reportedly targeting Twins fans who simply want a different kind of chaos. “Look, we're not saying we're better,” a Rockies spokesperson admitted. “But we are different. Our games have altitude, offense, and absolutely no expectations. You can relax here. Losses feel lighter when the score is 12 to 9, and nobody knows what just happened. Also, we're gonna land @Greggory Masterson. Follow Gregg here, instead of following him on Twitter.” Back in Minnesota, the front office insists that the transfer portal is not a sign of giving up on the season, but rather an acknowledgment of reality. “We still believe in this team,” another executive said. “We just also believe in honesty. If fans need to step away and explore other opportunities, we support that. And if they come back when things turn around, we will welcome them with open arms and a slightly improved platoon splits.” For now, the portal remains open, and fans continue to weigh their options. Some will leave in search of greener pastures. Others will stay, clinging to the familiar cycle of optimism and disappointment that has defined the experience for years—because, for all the talk of transfers and fresh starts, being a Twins fan is not just a choice. It's a condition that cannot be easily cured, even when a perfectly good exit door is finally provided. Deep down, most fans know the truth. No matter how many offers come in or how appealing another team might look, there's a strong chance they will withdraw their name from the portal just in time for the next winning streak that changes everything. View the full article

MLB players are so good at catching subtle ticks and movements in opponents. If a pitcher changes anything about their approach throughout a start, hitters will notice and take advantage, leading to a phenomenon known as "pitch tipping." German Marquez had an awful debut with San Diego Padres, and when things don't go right as the No. 5 starter, fans start to bring out the biting criticism and want to move on to another option. But there appears to be a simple explanation for that poor showing: The right-hander was tipping pitches. That was what came out of the post-game report of his March 31 outing vs. the San Francisco Giants in which he allowed four runs on four hits and one walk with one strikeout in just three innings. He needed 65 pitches, 41 of which were strikes, to get those nine outs and the Padres lost 9-3 to a Giants offense that has otherwise been scuffling. On Monday, following a review of the game film and counseling from Padres pitching guru Ruben Niebla, Marquez was a different pitcher. The veteran right-hander tossed five scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates in a 5-0 victory. He yielded six hits and one walk, while striking out four. Of his 92 pitches, 56 went for strikes to pick up the win, his first after 12 consecutive winless starts. In addition to hiding whatever he was doing to that tipped off Giants hitters what he was throwing, Marquez also mixed up his repertoire in the Pirates game. After relying more on his four-seamer against the Giants (46%), Marquez threw his trademark knuckle curve most often vs. the Pirates (41%). His four-seamer was close behind at 38%. His sinker usage (15%) was the same in both games, while he mixed in a few sliders in the Pirates start after shelving it vs. the Giants. The velocity was almost identical on his top three pitches, with the one changeup he threw in vs. the Pirates 2.3 mph faster than the one he threw to the Giants. The reliability of his pitches also helped him wiggle out of trouble in three of his five innings. The Pirates outing was important for Marquez, but not just to stave off the pitchforks being wielded by fans on social media. The 31-year-old signed with the Padres at the beginning of spring training for a scant $1.75 million. That was his market value following a 2025 campaign in which he had a 5.47 FIP, the highest of his career in which he made multiple starts in a season. That performance came in a 26-start sample, after making just one in 2024 in a return from a 2023 Tommy John surgery. His 2025 was limited a bit due to tendinitis in his right bicep. Thus, it's not a stretch to say he's apparently healthy for the first time since 2023. Last year, Marquez used his four-seamer 35% of the time, his knuckle curve 32%, the sinker 20%, slider 11% and changeup 2%, with the velocities in the ballpark of what they are this year. So if you can come to any determinations after two starts (hint: you can't), it would seem that the slider has been put on the back burner. But his confidence has to be restored at least somewhat following Monday. His rocky opener followed a spring training in which he allowed 13 runs in 16⅓ innings, walking seven and striking out 23. It also comes at an opportune time. Marquez has spent his entire career in the NL West, but his first 10 seasons came with the Colorado Rockies. The 2021 NL All-Star, who owns a career FIP of 4.21, is set to face his old club in his start Saturday when the Rockies visit Petco Park for four games this weekend. That is certainly bound to be an emotional outing for someone with 200 starts under his belt for that franchise. View the full article

It's a Friday, 1:20 start at Wrigley Field, the outfield ivy has yet to grow in, showing its exposed brick. Scanning your surroundings, you look around, your eyes greeted by thousands of jerseys of red, white, and blue, with the number "4" on the back. The Chicago Cubs' young, would-be superstar has started to capture the imaginations of supporters of North Side baseball in a way few others have since the curse-breaking 2016 squad still reigned over Wrigleyville. Though he's not yet cemented himself as one of the current greats of the game, or certainly the franchise, Pete Crow-Armstrong has not only the raw potential but also the attitude to forge a Cubs legacy unlike any other. There is a distinct line of delineation between the kind of player Crow-Armstrong is now and superstardom. In fact, our very own Matt Trueblood recently penned a terrific piece centered around what that line looks like. In the piece, Trueblood delves into the aggressive free-swinging nature of Crow-Armstrong, citing that, across all levels of competition the center fieldeer has faced so far in 2026, he has swung at 55.3% of the pitches he's seen. Accounting for the absence of a World Baseball Classic in 2025, that figure is down from 60% a year ago. Crow-Armstrong is a hyper-aggressive swinger who understands the value of jumping all over the opposition early and often. He became a 30/30 player because of his readiness and all-around approach in each at-bat. He's a player with unexpected power and an insatiable obsession with inflicting pain on the opposition. Those pain-inflicting results haven't quite come in 2026 just yet, nor have they for any of the squad's biggest boppers. The combined batting average of the Cubs' regular top four in the lineup, consisting of Ian Happ, Michael Busch, Alex Bregman, and Crow-Armstrong, is just .194 ten games into the season. One could both hope for and count on that alarming figure ticking up in the near future. And Crow-Armstrong's inevitable breakout will likely be the catalyst that changes everything. Crow-Armstrong fits the identity and tenor of this team and city because he never wants to fall short. His talent is matched by his intensity, and it often manifests in the pure emotion he spills out onto the field. Recently, in a win against the Angels, Ian Happ and Alex Bregman sent back-to-back homers into the iconic Wrigley bleachers. Then, it was Crow-Armstrong's turn. He yearned so badly to make it three in a row that he nearly swung out of his cleats at the first pitch he saw. No, he didn't go yard, but the intent with which he plays, and his love for the team and the city from which they hail, make him the most important player in Cubby pinstripes. Since the 2021 exodus of Anthony Rizzo, Kris Bryant, and Javier Baez, the Chicago Cubs have felt more like a collection of players, rather than a cohesive core team with one collective mission, until now. When Cody Bellinger was a Cub, the city desperately wanted to ignite a love affair with the enigmatic power lefty. The only trouble was, he didn't reciprocate that desire. Bellinger's time in Wrigleyville was spent with one eye on his bank account and the other on the next best thing. It never really felt like he was the leader of the next wave of Chicago legends. With his endearing personality, famous approachability, and competitive edge, Crow-Armstrong couldn't be farther from Bellinger's archetype. Along with his fellow extended teammate, Nico Hoerner, Crow-Armstrong embraces the role of being a Chicagoan, and in reality, lives a lifestyle that citizens from all corners of Cook County would pine for. Without overstepping my bounds here, Crow-Armstrong and Hoerner have at least the blueprint to become the best offensive tandem at Wrigley since "Bryzzo". Debate that idea all you want, but the top brass wanted Crow-Armstrong here for a reason. Perhaps, the crux of that reason is that Jed Hoyer, Carter Hawkins, and the rest of the front office in Chicago knew that he was the face of this squad's new core. This team, as it stands, possesses the foundation to make a run at the World Series. If that dream should be realized, Crow-Armstrong will lead them to that end. View the full article

The Cubs had seen some arm injuries early this season, but then the season-shaking news happened: Cade Horton will have season-ending surgery. Mitch and Jason break down what it means for the Cubs, and what options they have in its wake. Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-north-side-baseball-podcast/id1798599313 Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75wMGhBwlrDDYPt3kaF453 Listen on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/263-the-north-side-baseball-po-268998437/ Listen on Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/eey7h6ih Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@northsidebaseball View the full article

The way it happened was excruciating. Jacob Misiorowski was cruising, overpowering Red Sox batters and (if anything) outpitching fellow Cy Young Award candidate Garrett Crochet. When he lost control in the sixth inning, though, it was simply gone; he couldn't find his release point again. Normally, with the bases loaded but the game still scoreless when Misiorowski departed, Pat Murphy would have gone to one of his most trusted relievers, but plainly, the plan on Tuesday night was to give back a bit to the baseball gods. Murphy has used Aaron Ashby, Abner Uribe, Trevor Megill, Ángel Zerpa and Grant Anderson as heavily as anyone involved is comfortable with, this spring—if not more than that. He needed to let them each get a day off Tuesday night, so in a high-leverage spot that might normally have called for Ashby or Zerpa, Murphy went to DL Hall. Unfortunately, Hall let all three runners Misiorowski had bequeathed come home, which turned out to be decisive. Even in defeat, the Brewers offense was delightfully tenacious. They chased Crochet from the game in the very next half-inning, and patched together a two-run rally made up of two singles, a walk, a hit batsman and an RBI fielder's choice. They couldn't quite cash in their chance, though, and it turned out to be their last one. That raises the other reason (besides Murphy's desire to give his relievers some relief) why Boston had the upper hand on the Crew in this game: Crochet, and the lineup the visitors were forced to field against him. Murphy used the occasion (a top-flight lefty starter who's especially tough on lefties) to give both Brice Turang and Christian Yelich a rest. That part's fine. It was necessary, and didn't deprive the club of anyone who was likely to do much against Crochet. The real problem is that, with Jackson Chourio and Andrew Vaughn on the injured list, this team is not as dangerous against lefties as it would be at full strength. William Contreras is a legitimate star slugger, and can mash lefties when he's going well. With Chourio and Vaughn sidelined, though, Murphy wrote in Brandon Lockridge as his leadoff man Tuesday night, and placed Joey Ortiz fifth on the card. Those guys are fine complementary players, especially against lefties. They have athleticism and defensive value, as well as the platoon advantage on southpaws. Pressed into what were essentially the third- and fourth-most important roles in the offense, though, they were a bit stretched. The bottom third of the order included Sal Frelick, Blake Perkins and David Hamilton. Though Frelick is a full-time player, the three of them weren't in the lineup because Murphy thinks they're good matchups for the likes of Crochet. They weren't even there for their defense, per se. It was just the right night for Muprhy to give two regulars a night off, in addition to staying away from his highest-volume relievers. Winning that game was unlikely, and the way Murphy managed it didn't make it more likely. That wasn't his goal. 'Win Tonight' is a wonderful and massively successful paradigm. Murphy has made the Brewers the envy of every other team in the league with it. However, he's also learning to notice when the time is right to accept a loss. No team in baseball history has won more than 116 games in a regular season. Trying to be the first team to reach 120 is not only impractical; it's self-defeating. More even than in the NBA, in baseball, one has to occasionally accept a loss, to make wins on other days more likely. The Brewers are 8-3. They're off to a sizzling start. They just can't afford—especially now, while two of their best hitters are down and some of their pitchers are still getting up to speed—to try so relentlessly to win every game that they risk hurting their chances to keep winning over the long haul. View the full article

The biggest positive development for the Marlins during the early portion of the 2026 season has been Sandy Alcantara looking like the best pitcher on the planet. A berth in the MLB postseason is a lot more viable if Alcantara continues to put the team on his back every fifth day. However, the future of Miami's starting rotation is in flux. The club only has its former Cy Young Award winner under contract through 2027, and extending him again probably won't be in the Marlins' budget if this dominance sustains. Fortunately, the Marlins have a young stud with comparable upside in right-hander Eury Pérez. Still a week shy of his 23rd birthday, the former top prospect hasn't yet performed like an ace—in fact, since returning from Tommy John surgery last June, his production is approximately league average (97 ERA+). On the other hand, that may make him receptive to a long-term deal at a reasonable price. Pérez is on track to become arbitration-eligible for the first time next winter and enter free agency after the 2029 season. For the Marlins to extend their next contention window beyond that, signing Pérez to a deal that covers more of his prime years is imperative. It is rare for teams to make long-term commitments to players in this demographic. A couple pre-arb pitchers who have received extensions recently are Hunter Greene (Cincinnati Reds) and Spencer Strider (Atlanta Braves). Greene signed his deal on April 18, 2023. The Reds guaranteed $53M for his entire 20s, buying out his arbitration years and potentially two years of free agency if the 2029 club option is exercised. Strider owns the record for largest payday for a pre-arb pitcher. Coming off an electrifying rookie season in 2022, his six-year deal was worth $75M. The structure of Strider's extension was more backloaded than Greene's. In Pérez's case, I would attempt to buy out an additional free agent year. As seen below, this deal would run through 2032, with that row highlighted in light blue representing a club option. He would edge out Strider by receiving $76.5M guaranteed, with a maximum value of $102.5M if the Marlins pick up his option. This would be the longest pitching contract in franchise history and the first player extension of any kind since Peter Bendix took over as president of baseball operations. Season Age Base Salary 2026—Pre-Arb 23 $2.0M 2027—Arb1 24 $5.0M 2028—Arb2 25 $10.5M 2029—Arb3 26 $15.0M 2030—FA 27 $22.0M 2031—FA 28 $22.0M 2032—FA 29 $26.0M Total $102.5M Eury Pérez considers Sandy Alcantara to be a friend and a mentor. Ideally, they'll co-lead the Marlins rotation for years to come. If the resources aren't there to keep both, extending Pérez should be the priority. View the full article

Twins System Recap: Tonight's minor league action included a couple of nice pitching performances from under-the-radar arms and a big game from a once highly-touted bat. Mike Paredes is in his sixth year in the org, and he's done nothing but deliver quality innings. He struck out seven batters over four innings in a spot start for Wichita. Eli Jones, 2024 seventh-round pick, backed up an impressive first outing of 2026 with five frames of one-run ball. Eduardo Beltre, who was a big signing in the 2024 international class, hit a homer and drove in three runs in a Fort Myers extra-inning victory. View the full article

It's not often that a team can say it got the better of the Tampa Bay Rays in a trade. Around baseball, that front office has built a reputation for being a step ahead; squeezing value out of every move; and rarely, if ever, coming out on the losing end of a deal. Yet, the Minnesota Twins may have done it not once, but twice in a span of four years. Back at the 2021 trade deadline, the Twins were staring down a lost season and made the decision to move on from franchise icon Nelson Cruz. In return, they acquired a relatively under-the-radar pitching prospect in Joe Ryan. At the time, Ryan was intriguing, but far from a sure thing—more of a fringe top-100 prospect than a headline return. What followed could not have gone better for Minnesota. Cruz struggled to make a significant impact in Tampa Bay, while Ryan quickly blossomed into an anchor of the Twins' rotation. Now in his fifth full season, Ryan has posted a 3.80 ERA, a 110 ERA+, earned an All-Star appearance, and taken the ball as Opening Day starter twice, all while providing surplus value on a team-friendly salary that has helped the Twins build out the rest of their roster. That deal alone would be enough to raise eyebrows. Putting one over on the Rays is rare. Doing it in convincing fashion is even rarer. The assumption across the league is that if Tampa Bay is calling, you should proceed with caution. More often than not, they're the ones spotting something others have missed. So when the two clubs linked up again at the 2025 trade deadline, it was fair to wonder if lightning could really strike twice. This time, the Twins sent high-octane reliever Griffin Jax to Tampa Bay in exchange for former top prospect Taj Bradley. Unlike the Cruz deal, this one surrendered long-term value. Jax was not a rental. He still had two and a half years of team control remaining and had been one of the most dominant relievers in the American League. Bradley, meanwhile, was no longer a prospect, but not yet a finished product, either. Across parts of three seasons with the Rays, he had flashed electric stuff, but struggled to put it all together, posting a 4.70 ERA over more than 350 innings. Still, the Twins saw something. Bradley was only 24 years old, armed with elite velocity and bat-missing ability. On a team headed nowhere in 2025, the value of a high-leverage reliever like Jax was diminished. Turning that into a controllable starting pitcher with upside fitted into the bigger picture. Early on, it looks like that bet is paying off in a big way. Bradley showed flashes late last season after arriving in Minnesota, but the real buzz began during spring training. Reports out of camp suggested that something had clicked. Bradley even withdrew from pitching for Team Mexico in the World Baseball Classic to stay with the Twins and continue his buildup for the season. That decision is already looking like a wise one. Through his first three starts of 2026, Bradley has been dominant. He's allowed just two runs over 16 2/3 innings while striking out 22 hitters. His latest outing came at Target Field against two-time defending American League Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal, and Bradley more than held his own. He worked 6 1/3 innings, allowed just one run, and struck out 10, consistently overpowering hitters and generating nine swings and misses. He's already touched 100 MPH multiple times and now owns the fastest pitch recorded by a Twins starting pitcher in the pitch-tracking era. There's a different look to Bradley now. The raw stuff was always there, but the Twins appear to have helped him refine it, harness it, and elevate it. At 24 years old, there is still room for growth, which makes the early results even more exciting. On the other side of the deal, the early returns have been rough for Jax. In his first four appearances of 2026, he's allowed five earned runs and carries an 11.25 ERA, along with a -0.97 Win Probability Added mark that ranks third-worst in the league. It's a very small sample, and Jax has a track record that suggests he will settle in, but the contrast in early performance only adds fuel to the narrative. None of this is to say the book is written on this trade. Baseball has a way of humbling early conclusions, and both players will have plenty of time to shape how this deal is ultimately viewed. But in the early going, the Twins look like they may have identified and unlocked something the Rays were willing to move on from. For an organization like Tampa Bay, that almost never happens. And if Bradley continues on this trajectory, the Twins may once again be able to say they got the better of one of the smartest teams in baseball. What do you think? Have the Twins pulled off another fleece, or is it too early to make that call? View the full article

Major League bullpens can be volatile entities, and the Kansas City Royals' bullpen is no exception. In 2024, the Royals' bullpen ranked 20th in ERA and 17th in fWAR. Last year, they ranked 7th in ERA and 14th in fWAR. Two years ago, many Royals fans felt that the Royals' bullpen was an area of weakness, especially before Lucas Erceg arrived at the Trade Deadline. Last year, it was seen as a strength, especially with Carlos Estevez being the second Royals reliever in franchise history to lead the league in saves (Dan Quisenberry being the other). This year, it's not been the greatest start, much to the chagrin of Royals fans and management. Through 11 games, the Royals rank 26th in bullpen ERA (6.17) and are tied for 25th in reliever fWAR (-0.5). In terms of the former, the Nationals, Diamondbacks, Astros, and Rays have been worse in reliever ERA. Regarding the latter, they are tied with the Rays and Cardinals. The biggest regression from 2025 with this group has been BB/9. After ranking 4th in BB/9 as a bullpen last year with a 3.15 mark, they rank 27th with a 5.91 BB/9. That has contributed not only to their high reliever ERA but also to their WHIP (1.63, which ranks 20th). While the Royals' bullpen hasn't been the sole reason for the Royals' 5-6 record this season, it certainly hasn't helped. Kansas City's bullpen has allowed two walk-off victories, including today in Cleveland. The numbers haven't been good, which begs Royals fans to ask the question: Is this bullpen something to panic about? Or are the Royals just going through a tough stretch and are due for positive regression soon? Let's break down the positives and negatives of the Royals' bullpen and what to look for with this group going forward in 2026, using TJ Stats data and charts. Strahm, Schreiber, and Erceg Off to Rough Starts The Royals lost Estevez to the IL early in the season. The Dominican-born closer only made one appearance before being hit by a line drive in the foot and going on the IL due to a foot contusion. That said, there were concerns about his velocity this offseason, so going on the IL and a possible rehab assignment could help him get back to where he was a season ago in terms of velocity and stuff (his Statcast percentiles after one outing were NOT impressive, to put it kindly). That said, while Estevez's early IL stint was concerning, it seemed like the back of the Royals' bullpen was in good hands. Not only did Erceg and John Schreiber return (they both pitched in high-leverage situations in 2024 and 2025), but they also welcomed Matt Strahm from the Phillies. Strahm thrived in Philadelphia as a setup man and fireman, and it seemed like he would serve in a similar role in Kansas City in 2026. Unfortunately, the results haven't been great so far for the bullpen trio. Here's how the three relievers have fared thus far in 2026 with the Royals. Erceg: 3.86 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 16.7% K%, 11.1% BB%, 5.6% K-BB% in 4.2 IP. Strahm: 5.79 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 23.8% K%, 9.5% BB%, 14.3% K-BB% in 4.2 IP. Schreiber: 6.23 ERA, 2.31 WHIP, 11.1% K%, 22.2% BB%, -11.1 K-BB% in 4.1 IP. Erceg has performed the best of the three relievers, as his ERA is under four. However, he's struggled to strike out batters, and he isn't generating much chase or whiffs either, as seen below via his TJ Stats Statcast percentiles. Erceg ranks in the fourth percentile in whiff rate, first percentile in CSW%, and 32nd percentile in O-Swing%. That's not what one wants to see from someone pitching in high-leverage situations. On a positive note, his fastball velocity ranks in the 92nd percentile, as does his hard-hit allowed. He is also generating a 53.8% GB%, which ranks in the 75th percentile, and his average exit velocity also ranks in that percentile as well Thus, the former Athletics reliever is doing a lot of things right. His TJ Stuff+ has also been above average, with an overall mark of 103, which ranks in the 66th percentile. That said, Erceg needs to find a way to generate more strikeouts, as he posted a 19.3% K rate last season. In 2024, with the Athletics and Royals, he had a 28.5% K%. As for Strahm, he started strong, but he's struggled in recent outings, which is why his ERA is inflated at 5.79. However, some of his Statcast percentiles suggest he may be due for a bounce-back soon, as illustrated below by TJ Stats. Strahm's 30.3% CSW% ranks in the 63rd percentile, and his .235 xwOBA not only ranks in the 85th percentile but is 106 points lower than his actual wOBA. He also has a hard-hit rate allowed 38.5%, which ranks in the 60th percentile. Thus, he hasn't been a total disaster, though the ERA may suggest that. There are concerns with Strahm that still have to be taken into consideration. His 100 overall TJ Stuff+ ranks in the 36th percentile, his fastball velocity is poor (5th percentile), and his extension is lackluster (31st percentile). He still generates a decent amount of whiff (25%, 44th percentile) despite his lack of elite stuff or velocity. However, his pull% allowed is 53.8%. It's never been above 40% since 2021, so one has to wonder if he's tipping hitters off to begin the year, since they are pulling the ball on him so much. The most concerning reliever has been Schreiber, who has looked like a shell of his 2024 and 2025 self. He's been a favorite of Matt Quatraro, especially in crucial spots. Since 2024, he has been tied for fourth in gmLI, which measures the leverage index at the start of an appearance. His 1.51 mark is tied with James McArthur, and he trailed only Estevez (1.81), Erceg (1.70), and Hunter Harvey (1.53). Despite confidence in Schreiber, he has been poor at the beginning of 2026. That is demonstrated not only in his lackluster ERA and K-BB%, but also in his Statcast percentiles below. As Royals fans can see, not a lot has gone right for Schreiber in terms of Statcast data. His hard-hit rate allowed ranks in the 30th percentile, his average EV allowed ranks in the 23rd percentile (as does his TJ Stuff+), his O-Swing% and CSW% rank in the 7th percentile, and his wiff rate ranks in the 1st percentile. Thus, it's not a surprise that the results have been so poor for Schreiber at this point in the season. It's still early, but while Strahm and Erceg have shown promise in some categories in their Statcast summary profiles, the same can't be said for Schreiber. His stuff and batted-ball profile are not trending in the right direction. Schreiber's sweeper, sinker, and changeup all have TJ Stuff+ marks of 102 or higher. However, his four-seamer and cutter have TJ Stuff+ marks of 94 and 93, respectively. It will be tough for Schreiber to be successful as a high-leverage reliever with two of his main pitches being such poor offerings, stuff-wise. Mears and Lynch IV Showing Promise While the Royals haven't gotten great results from those expected to command high-leverage innings this year, they have seen some interesting growth from two relievers who could be ready for more innings in pressure situations. Those two relievers are newcomer Nick Mears and lefty Daniel Lynch IV. Mears came over in the Angel Zerpa deal and has succeeded as a middle-innings reliever capable of pitching in medium-leverage situations. His 1.04 gmLI ranks fourth behind Estevez (1.81), Erceg (1.23), and Strahm (1.21), according to Fangraphs. Despite not being a high-leverage guy, he has produced stellar results. He has a 0.00 ERA, a 0.80 WHIP, and 21.4% K% in 5 IP. His Statcast percentiles have been a little bit mixed, though he has particularly excelled in limiting hard contact, as illustrated in his TJ Stats summary below. Mears hasn't allowed a barrel, and his average exit velocity allowed on batted balls ranks in the 70th percentile (86.6 MPH). He also has a 70% GB%, which is encouraging to see from a middle-innings reliever who can come in with men on base. Mears can take advantage of the stellar infield defense behind him (the Royals rank 5th in infielder Fielding Run Value). The main concern with Mears is that his profile is similar to Erceg: the stuff is decent (101 overall TJ Stuff+), but he doesn't generate a whole lot of whiff (15th percentile), CSW% (24th percentile), or chase (24th percentile O-Swing%). Thus, while Mears has been good, Quatraro may be hesitant to bring him in until he can show more effectiveness when it comes to generating chases, whiffs, and ultimately, strikeouts. On the lefty end, Lynch IV has stepped up and been the most valuable lefty reliever so far, which says something with Strahm in this bullpen. In four innings of work, Lynch has a 2.25 ERA, a 2.43 FIP, a 1.25 WHIP, and 16.7% K-BB% (fueled by a 33.3% K%). When it comes to his TJ Stats Statcast summary, the former Virginia lefty has thrived by generating strikes, minimizing barrels, and average exit velocity on batted balls so far this season. Not only does Lynch rank in the 86th percentile in xwOBA, 83rd percentile in K%, and 71st percentile in whiff%, but he also ranks in the 100th percentile in barrel rate allowed and 78th percentile in average EV allowed. That shows Lynch doesn't rely solely on whiffs to be successful. He can allow contact and keep the ball in the yard, which is needed from a reliever in certain situations. The main concern with Lynch is that control has been somewhat sporadic. His zone rate ranks in the 22nd percentile, and his 16.7% BB% ranks in the 16th percentile. As a result of that erratic control, hitters haven't chased too much, as illustrated by 22.2% O-Swing%, which ranks in the 16th percentile. The better Lynch can find the strike zone as he pitches more innings, the more effective he will be as a pitcher overall. His whiff ability and ability to minimize hard contact are already encouraging and will only be amplified if his control settles down. Final Thoughts on the Royals Bullpen The early results haven't been good, but I don't think Royals fans should hit the panic button with the bullpen just yet. Yes, Estevez wasn't good, but so much of his struggles were tied to velocity. If he comes back healthy and with velocity, I think he will show the closer form that made him so effective in 2025. Estevez wasn't a big-strikeout or whiff-generating guy. That said, he flooded the zone, induced weak and ineffective contact, and seemed willing to take the ball in the biggest moments and biggest spots. Notice how different Estevez's 2025 Season Pitching Percentiles chart below is from his 2026 one that I showcased earlier in this post. Estevez wasn't a savant when it came to generating chase (19th percentile), minimizing barrels (31st percentile), or hard hits (27th percentile). However, he attacked hitters and generated strikes (70th-percentile CSW%) with premium velocity (89th percentile) and stuff (80th-percentile TJ Stuff+). The Royals are missing that, and haven't gotten that so far from Erceg and Strahm, though it's a small sample. Even if Estevez doesn't come back 100 percent, the Royals have big "stuff" guys available who could fill that role, though they are less proven. Steven Cruz has given up some barrels and home runs, which explains his high 7.36 ERA. That said, his velocity and TJ Stuff+ have been some of the best marks in the Royals bullpen thus far. The same was true for Luinder Avila in his lone start, a rough one on Saturday against the Brewers. While he was tagged for five earned runs in three innings of work, the velocity, TJ Stuff+, and extension were all impressive, as illustrated in his Statcast summary below. Avila wasn't immediately sent down to Omaha after his Saturday start. Thus, the Royals may be keeping the promising Venezuelan arm up in Kansas City, with the hope that he can succeed in the bullpen, much like he did a year ago (1.29 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 14 IP last season). Therefore, the Royals' bullpen certainly hasn't been stellar or pretty so far this year. However, fans shouldn't throw the towel on this group just yet. Schreiber is a concern, and his role may be lessened, especially if Mears, Lynch, Avila, and Cruz trend upward and Estevez returns healthy. However, there's enough depth to absorb Schreiber's regression, which is something the Royals couldn't say with their bullpen in 2025 or even 2024. That's a sign that better days are ahead for this group of Royals relievers. View the full article

The fastest player in the league hit a sharp one-hopper, almost perfectly placed. With a runner going and Nico Hoerner breaking toward second base to cover a potential throw Tuesday night, Chandler Simpson hit behind the runner. It was still (more or less) up the middle, but Hoerner was moving away from the play. He changed direction gorgeously and speared the ball cleanly on a dive. However, his internal clock got overwound, as he processed the way he'd had to arrest his own momentum and the fact that Simpson gets up the line better than almost anyone else in the league. He rushed and bobbled the exchange, and wasn't able to get the out. It's too bad. He had time, after all, but no way to know that. That play is notable in only one way, really: It's the only hit Javier Assad gave up on Tuesday night. In his first start in the stead of injured Cubs ace Cade Horton, Assad got 17 outs, issued two walks and allowed Simpson to collect that one infield single. With slightly better luck—or if the Cubs had played things more traditionally, with Dansby Swanson covering second with a left-handed batter at the plate—he could easily have gotten through at least six innings without giving up a knock. That's how good he was. Assad only struck out three Rays batters, and the Rays are a team prone to a fair number of whiffs, so don't get ahead of yourself. However, in addition to showing great command of his sinker and feeling out the whole seven-pitch mix that makes him effective in multiple roles, Assad broke out something especially intriguing Tuesday night: a better changeup. Though I can't fully confirm this, it sure looks like Assad has gone to more of a kick-change, after being a standard-issue circle-change guy in the past. The pitch has about two inches more depth than it did in the past, despite being slightly firmer. He throws it with similar initial spin to his fastball, but it deflects more than it used to from that flight plan. This wasn't an anomaly born of pitching in the dome at Tropicana Field, either. He's shown this pitch and its movement profile all spring, including during his stint with Triple-A Iowa. He just got a chance to put it on full display Tuesday. TUFYS05fWGw0TUFRPT1fQVFGUlhBQldWQVFBWGxzTEJ3QUhWMUpUQUFBSEJRSUFWbEFDQUFvRVYxWlFWQXRW.mp4 A changeup that good would be a difference-maker for Assad. He's an adroit, fascinating pitcher who manages contact by surprising opposing batters constantly, but he's never really had an out pitch against hitters on either side. If the changeup can develop into that caliber of a weapon—especially given the way he leans on a sinker, which isn't a pitch you want to feature too heavily against opposite-handed batters. A changeup with enough separation from the sinker to miss bats would be huge for him; it could make his mysterious brand of success more conventional and sustainable. Though Statcast erroneously tagged them all as cutters, Assad also showed feel for his cutter-slider slurry Tuesday. He has both of those pitches, at this point, taking a bit off to achieve more movement at sometimes and speeding it up to get in on the hands of a lefty or freeze a righty sitting on his sinker. He's become a true seven-pitch guy. His sweeper and curveball are virtually show-me pitches, forcing hitters to cover a wider velocity band and a larger hitting zone but rarely serving as out pitches. He'll try to use his sinker, cutter and four-seamer to get most of his big outs, but bringing along the changeup could turn him into a reliable mid-rotation stud. Unexpectedly, the Cubs need that kind of step forward from him pretty badly. Therefore, while it was just the first step of a long journey, Tuesday felt like movement in the right direction. View the full article

The Greenville Drive opened their season last week, with highly touted pitching prospect Juan Valera getting the call for Opening Day. The right-hander, who is currently TalkSox's fifth-ranked prospect, looked impressive in his 2026 debut in an abbreviated outing. Lasting just 3 1/3 innings, Valera put on a show with his pitching. The right-hander struck out seven, including a strikeout of the side to open the game. He also allowed two runs on two hits including a two-run home run in the third. Overall, he tossed 53 pitches with 32 of them going for strikes. Despite the limited pitch count as the Drive build up Valera's stamina, the young pitcher looked fantastic on the mound with only one major hiccup. The outing was a promising sign, as the right-hander missed significant time in 2025 due to elbow soreness. Limited to just 10 starts, Valera made just two limited starts after May and had mixed results. His season debut was not mixed, despite him not making it out of the fourth inning. The main takeaway from the start was Valera’s ability to get opposing batters to swing and miss. The young right-hander led not just the game but all of High-A with 13 whiffs thanks in part to a fastball that topped out at 99.6 mph. His secondaries also looked much sharper than in the past, playing well off his signature heater. Valera had an issue last year of throwing too many pitches and having long at-bats due to an inability to consistently locate his pitches within the strike zone. While he still needs to work on the latter, Valera only needed 53 pitches for his outing on April 2, an improvement over several of his starts in 2025. Unfortunately, Valera still suffered with location within the strike zone, a trait that also hurt him in 2025. While he could get away with some mistakes in Salem, in Greenville he was hurt when he left his fastball over the heart of the plate. With a runner on second with one out, Valera was facing the batter in a 3-1 count and attempted to get a fastball past him on the inside part of the plate. A slightly missed spot later, and Yordany De Los Santos hit it off of the apartment building in left-center field. This was his lone mistake during that Opening Day start, but he was punished for it all the same. For the most part, Valera managed to mix his pitches avoid leaving them in locations that could lead to damage, but the home run was a reminder that he's still a work in progress on the mound. Regardless of how fast he can throw it, pitching is more than just velocity, especially if he wants to stick in the rotation as he moves up the minor-league levels. Still, there's no denying just how talented Valera is and the potential laden within his right arm. Should Valera continue to put up outings like his first, there is no doubt he will be making an appearance in Double-A before the end of 2026. View the full article

“This is not our brand of baseball.” That was manager John Schneider’s message after the Blue Jays were shut out by the Chicago White Sox on Sunday, a loss that capped off a series sweep and dropped the Blue Jays to a 4-5 record. It marked the first time the team had been below .500 since May 28, 2025. A 4-5 start (now 4-6)* isn't disastrous, but it feels underwhelming after three series against the A’s, Rockies, and White Sox, especially with the latter two teams having lost 100-plus games in 2025. The concern isn't necessarily the results; it's how they’ve gotten there. Injuries have played a role, and the roster has changed, but the Blue Jays simply don't look like the team we’ve come to expect. In 2025, the Blue Jays relied on their team chemistry, elite defense all around the diamond, and their ability to put the bat on the ball and put pressure on opponents' defenses to succeed. It's a formula that worked well, leading the team into the Fall Classic. A large part of the success belongs to hitting coach David Popkins and his staff. They helped spark a resurgence from George Springer, breakout performances from Addison Barger and Daulton Varsho, and meaningful offensive contributions from the back half of their roster. They also had the Blue Jays swinging harder in the second half. A report from Eno Sarris of The Athletic noted that every Blue Jay was swinging harder in the second half of the season (aside from Andrés Giménez) and that number carried over into the postseason. Elite contact ability, combined with the intent to swing hard at hittable pitches, drove the Blue Jays’ success in 2025. Fast forward to 2026, and that identity is starting to slip. Their contact rate is stable, but take a look at how their fast-swing rate compares between the second half of 2025 and where we are in 2026: Fast-Swing Rate 2025: 29.1% 2026: 25.8% The situation only gets worse when you look at what pitches they're swinging the bat at. As a team, the Blue Jays have been swinging too much at pitches out of the zone. Their out-of-zone swing rate (per SIS) has climbed from 33.2% in the second half of 2025 to 36.5% so far in 2026. It doesn't matter how hard you swing when you're swinging at pitchers' pitches. Every Blue Jay that has had extended playing time over the past three seasons has seen their chase rate rise in 2026. Regular small-sample caveats apply, but it's not an encouraging sign, especially when it's happening across the board. Defensively, this team should be better than it was in 2025. Gone is Bo Bichette, who, according to Baseball Savant, ranked in the 4th percentile in fielding run value last season. He’s been replaced by Giménez at shortstop, who ranked in the 86th percentile in fielding run value in 2025. Ernie Clement has taken over at second, and Varsho remains in center field. The Blue Jays have won the team Gold Glove award in two of the past three seasons, and the good news is, they can do it again! Statcast's outs above average and fielding run value both have the Blue Jays ranked among the top five in the league early on. The issue is that the team is still making its fair share of errors. Fielding percentage is a flawed stat in many ways because not all errors are created equal, yet it's still worth noting that the Blue Jays have posted a .978 fielding percentage, ranking 23rd in baseball. Take Tyler Heineman, for example. He's stepped in as the Blue Jays' catcher after Alejandro Kirk left a game with a thumb injury, and made a bad throw that helped the White Sox push across a run and hand the Blue Jays another loss. The very next day, it was more of the same; the Blue Jays were down a run late, and another bad throw allowed the White Sox to add some insurance runs. The Jays couldn't catch up. Speaking of catcher defense, the Blue Jays have had their issues throwing out baserunners. In 2025, they allowed 110 stolen bases, 16th-most in baseball, right in the middle of the pack. So far in 2026, Kirk has allowed 10 baserunners to steal, while Heineman has allowed three, and Valenzuela one. Those 14 stolen bases against are the second-highest in baseball so far. Errors will happen, and just because they've happened early doesn’t mean they’ll continue. Still, that's not how the Blue Jays were built to play, and in the early part of the season, it's been costing them games. Right now, they aren’t being beaten; they're beating themselves. The good news? It's April. A slow start isn't insurmountable, and one strong week can reset everything. But if the Blue Jays want to get back on track, it starts with rediscovering their identity, controlling the zone, and swinging with intent. If that returns, so will the wins, and the Blue Jays will be back to playing their brand of baseball Stats updated before games on April 7. View the full article